Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ INCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $77.6100 (0.23%) ($75.6701 - $78.2500) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $77.6100(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(65%)    XBI(57%)    XLV(49%)    QQQ(43%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.94(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.12(3.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.07(4.78%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   47.9%
Market Cap   $16.924b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	63.58	74.07	75.12	75.94			77.61(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	3	40	0.86	71%	0.41	13.3	2.77%	0	2	60	0
2	Jan_21_2015	63.32	73.95	74.78	75.58			77.43(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	2	38	1.37	73%	0.4	17.8	2.77%	0	2	60	0
3	Jan_20_2015	63.07	73.89	74.18	75.33			77.4(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	8	30	1.16	73%	0.38	18.8	2.78%	0	2	56	0
4	Jan_16_2015	62.83	73.83	73.82	74.51			74.38(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	5	17	1.37	71%	0.34	8.9	2.76%	0	0.3	52	0
5	Jan_15_2015	62.62	73.88	73.76	74.04			72.9(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-1	12	1.4	72%	0.3	-2	2.87%	0	-0.5	55	0

6	Jan_14_2015	62.43	73.83	73.79	74.1			75.78(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	3	25	1.33	75%	0.34	-17.7	2.83%	0	1	67	0
7	Jan_13_2015	62.22	73.65	73.5	73.83			76.18(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	9	16	1.64	75%	0.39	-33.1	2.83%	0	1.3	50	0
8	Jan_12_2015	61.98	73.55	73.27	72.9			73.3(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0.9	74%	0.37	-49.6	2.81%	0	-0.1	43	0
9	Jan_9_2015	61.75	73.67	73.32	73.08			72.03(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-16	1.27	72%	0.36	-42.8	2.85%	0	-0.9	40	0
10	Jan_8_2015	61.53	73.92	73.31	73.43			73.21(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-20	1.1	72%	0.38	-32.7	2.85%	0	-0.4	46	0

11	Jan_7_2015	61.3	74.18	72.98	73.41			74.45(4.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	3	-25	1.01	72%	0.38	-22.2	2.84%	0	0.1	57	0
12	Jan_6_2015	61.07	74.3	73.07	73.12			71.49(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-5	-24	2.25	71%	0.33	-17.3	2.83%	0	-1.2	51	0
13	Jan_5_2015	60.87	74.3	73.59	73.67			74.22(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	1	-7	0.97	74%	0.4	-11.6	2.77%	0	-0.1	50	0
14	Jan_2_2015	60.63	74.5	73.83	73.61			73.76(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	4	-4	0.78	72%	0.56	-14.1	2.77%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Dec_31_2014	60.29	74.55	74	73.17			73.11(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	-10000	7	-14	1.06	70%	0.42	-17.2	2.81%	0	-0.6	43	0

16	Dec_30_2014	60.04	74.63	73.89	72.46			73.02(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-48	0.5	68%	0.43	-27.8	2.83%	0	-0.7	39	0
17	Dec_29_2014	59.78	74.7	73.83	73.02			74.26(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-5	-53	0.47	68%	0.45	-17.6	2.85%	0	-0.2	45	0
18	Dec_26_2014	59.51	74.77	73.85	73.54			73.89(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-6	-48	0.51	68%	0.66	-3.4	2.86%	0	-0.4	49	0
19	Dec_24_2014	59.12	74.83	74.04	74.18			71.57(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-8	-35	0.44	68%	0.41	12.3	2.83%	0	-1.5	47	0
20	Dec_23_2014	58.88	74.93	74.58	74.98			69.58(-8.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-7	-10000	-4	-16	1.64	67%	0.36	31.4	2.85%	0	-2.5	42	0

21	Dec_22_2014	58.67	75.26	75.53	75.39			75.82(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	8	6	0.92	70%	0.51	61.9	2.62%	0	0.3	54	0
22	Dec_19_2014	58.37	75.09	75.65	74.65			76.86(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	4	0	2.25	70%	0.5	53.9	2.67%	0	1	58	0
23	Dec_18_2014	58.08	74.84	75.48	74.21			77.05(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.17	70%	0.48	46.3	2.67%	0	1.2	54	0
24	Dec_17_2014	57.8	74.56	75.18	73.98			75.58(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-3	-17	1.06	70%	0.47	40.6	2.66%	0	0.5	52	0
25	Dec_16_2014	57.53	74.28	75.09	74.27			71.62(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-15	-14	1.59	69%		37.3	2.6%	0	-1.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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