Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $49.5500 (0.1%) ($48.8800 - $49.9400) on Fri. May. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $49.5500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(58%)    XLV(49%)    QQQ(43%)    SPY(40%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $50.69
5 Day Moving Average   $48.87(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.76(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.69(-2.25%)
To recent high   -23.7%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $10.805b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 4.81% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2014	51.28	50.69	48.76	48.87			49.55(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	3	-65	1.77	44%	-0.08	7.9	3.84%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	May_29_2014	51.32	50.72	48.87	48.56			49.5(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	5	-68	1.17	44%	-0.06	9.8	3.88%	0	-0.5	49	0
3	May_28_2014	51.35	50.72	49.43	48.07			49.01(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	1	-68	1.16	44%	-0.1	7	3.91%	0	-0.7	44	0
4	May_27_2014	51.4	50.7	49.91	48			49.19(4.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-1	-68	1.11	44%	-0.08	5.1	3.95%	0	-0.6	41	0
5	May_23_2014	51.44	50.53	50.39	48.14			47.09(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-5	-66	1.12	41%	-0.17	2.1	3.93%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	May_22_2014	51.53	50.5	50.92	48.64			48.03(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-6	-58	1.41	41%	-0.14	8.4	3.97%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	May_21_2014	51.6	50.49	51.2	49.23			47.01(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-17	-53	1.92	41%	-0.19	19.2	3.99%	0	-1.2	46	0
8	May_20_2014	51.7	50.52	51.74	51			48.68(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-11	-14	2.09	41%	-0.14	44.3	4.01%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	May_19_2014	51.77	50.57	52.23	52.1			49.9(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-8	17	1.59	41%	-0.08	63.5	4.04%	0	-0.2	57	0
10	May_16_2014	51.81	50.47	52.61	53			49.59(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-5	55	1.83	41%	-0.1	73.7	4.09%	0	-0.3	65	0

11	May_15_2014	51.86	50.25	52.86	53.5			50.95(-8.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	22	-10000	1	84	5.29	41%	-0.04	69.3	4.12%	0	0.2	67	0
12	May_14_2014	51.88	49.93	52.82	53.38			55.9(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	7	98	2.85	46%	0.19	53.1	3.95%	0	1.7	71	0
13	May_13_2014	51.78	49.29	52.09	52.6			54.16(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	2	90	2.17	46%	0.1	39.1	3.96%	0	1.4	70	0
14	May_12_2014	51.73	48.79	51.54	52.44			54.39(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	2	87	2.52	46%	0.14	30.7	4.01%	0	1.6	61	0
15	May_9_2014	51.66	48.36	50.64	52.26			52.08(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	1	80	1.17	43%	0.02	25.4	3.99%	0	1.2	62	0

16	May_8_2014	51.65	48.1	50	52.17			50.38(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	22	-10000	1	84	1.33	43%	-0.06	19.3	4%	0	0.7	66	0
17	May_7_2014	51.68	48.15	49.71	52.1			51.99(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	96	1.83	43%	0.02	14.9	4.03%	0	1.2	71	0
18	May_6_2014	51.67	47.97	49.21	51.42			53.38(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	9	98	1.92	43%	0.08	0.6	4.06%	0	1.8	76	0
19	May_5_2014	51.63	47.77	48.74	50.46			53.48(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	17	100	2.72	43%	0.12	-14.3	4.12%	0	2	71	0
20	May_2_2014	51.57	47.57	48.09	48.78			51.61(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	13	74	3.07	43%	0	-32.7	4.12%	0	1.6	61	0

21	May_1_2014	51.57	47.52	47.38	47.54			50.05(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	6	43	2.66	43%	-0.1	-47.3	4.14%	0	1	56	0
22	Apr_30_2014	51.62	47.68	46.77	46.99			48.56(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	3	10	1.85	43%	-0.17	-42.8	4.15%	0	0.3	42	0
23	Apr_29_2014	51.71	47.95	46.24	46.67			48.61(7.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-13	1.94	43%	-0.19	-39.5	4.22%	0	0.2	49	0
24	Apr_28_2014	51.81	48.17	45.8	46.81			45.08(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-5	-30	1.71	36%	-0.44	-39	3.99%	0	-0.9	40	0
25	Apr_25_2014	52.04	48.42	45.92	47.29			45.41(-4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	2	-31	1.31	36%		-48.3	4.06%	0	-0.9	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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