Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $51.6500 (0.1%) ($51.5800 - $51.7900) on Thu. Mar. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $51.6500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(24%)    GDX(20%)    SIL(19%)    TIP(19%)    GDXJ(18%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-38%)    XLF(-11%)    EWJ(-8%)    XLV(-7%)    XLI(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.53(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.6(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.56(0.17%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2014	50.58	51.56		51.53			51.65(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	9	-5	0.04	55%	0.04	48.8	0.36%	0	0.4	52	0
2	Mar_26_2014	50.56	51.54	51.6	51.44			51.6(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	3	-22	0.03	55%	0.02	42.2	0.36%	0	0.3	50	0
3	Mar_25_2014	50.55	51.51	51.59	51.41			51.61(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-9	-29	0.1	55%	0.02	38.3	0.36%	0	0.4	54	0
4	Mar_24_2014	50.54	51.49	51.58	51.5			51.51(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-9	-7	0.04	55%	0.02	44.4	0.37%	0	0.1	57	0
5	Mar_21_2014	50.53	51.46	51.59	51.58			51.27(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-11	9	0.08	53%	0	48.2	0.36%	0	-0.7	46	0

6	Mar_20_2014	50.53	51.45	51.62	51.68			51.2(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-9	32	0.04	53%	0	60	0.37%	0	-0.8	47	0
7	Mar_19_2014	50.53	51.44	51.62	51.77			51.46(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-2	63	0.05	55%	0	69.4	0.36%	0	0.1	56	0
8	Mar_18_2014	50.53	51.42	51.67	51.79			52.08(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-10000	15	93	0.03	59%	0.02	73.4	0.33%	0	2	75	0
9	Mar_17_2014	50.52	51.37	51.59	51.66			51.87(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	70	0.1	57%	0	77.6	0.33%	0	1.7	68	0
10	Mar_14_2014	50.52	51.32	51.55	51.61			51.81(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	5	82	0.06	57%	0.02	78.9	0.33%	0	1.7	72	0

11	Mar_13_2014	50.51	51.27	51.51	51.57			51.64(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	1	86	0.17	55%	0	83.6	0.33%	0	1.3	64	0
12	Mar_12_2014	50.51	51.22	51.47	51.56			51.56(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	4	98	0.05	52%	0	81.4	0.33%	0	1.1	64	0
13	Mar_11_2014	50.51	51.18	51.42	51.53			51.43(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	4	95	0.13	52%	0.02	80.3	0.34%	0	0.8	63	0
14	Mar_10_2014	50.5	51.14	51.4	51.5			51.63(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	2	91	0.03	54%	0	79.4	0.34%	0	1.5	60	0
15	Mar_7_2014	50.5	51.09	51.32	51.48			51.57(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	88	0.05	54%	0.02	86.9	0.34%	0	1.5	64	0

16	Mar_6_2014	50.49	51.04	51.27	51.45			51.6(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	93	0.1	54%	0.02	84.1	0.34%	0	1.8	67	0
17	Mar_5_2014	50.48	50.98	51.2	51.38			51.43(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	9	90	0.06	54%	0.04	82	0.34%	0	1.5	67	0
18	Mar_4_2014	50.46	50.93	51.15	51.3			51.26(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	2	84	0.03	54%	0	73	0.34%	0	1	66	0
19	Mar_3_2014	50.46	50.89	51.14	51.28			51.53(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	105	0.93	61%	0.04	69.2	0.33%	0	1.9	71	0
20	Feb_28_2014	50.44	50.83	51.07	51.14			51.42(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	9	79	0.05	55%	0.02	61	0.36%	0	2	70	0

21	Feb_27_2014	50.43	50.77	51.01	51.06			51.26(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	7	74	0.03	55%	0.02	54.4	0.36%	0	1.7	72	0
22	Feb_26_2014	50.42	50.73	50.95	51			51.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	2	67	0.1	56%	0	62.3	0.36%	0	1.1	66	0
23	Feb_25_2014	50.42	50.69	50.91	51			51.16(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	0	72	0.05	56%	0	67.9	0.36%	0	1.7	73	0
24	Feb_24_2014	50.42	50.66	50.86	50.98			50.85(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-1	81	0.05	53%	0.02	81.6	0.36%	0	0.8	67	0
25	Feb_21_2014	50.41	50.64	50.85	50.99			51.01(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	97	0.08	55%		89.8	0.36%	0	1.5	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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