Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $50.5200 (0.34%) ($50.2500 - $50.7900) on Tue. Dec. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $50.5200(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(24%)    TIP(20%)    TLT(19%)    SHY(18%)    LQD(12%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-8%)    SPY(-7%)    PEJ(-7%)    IWM(-7%)    XLY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.28(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.24(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.21(0.62%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.3% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2013	50.01	50.21	50.24	50.28			50.52(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	7	21	2.76	57%	0.02	16.7	0.42%	0	2.1	51	0
2	Dec_9_2013	50	50.19	50.19	50.21			50.35(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	9	5	0.07	57%	0.02	-14.3	0.43%	0	1.1	50	0
3	Dec_6_2013	49.99	50.16	50.18	50.11			50.21(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.07	61%	0.04	-53.3	0.43%	0	0.3	49	0
4	Dec_5_2013	49.97	50.16	50.16	50.11			50.26(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-5	-10000	0	-18	0.03	55%	0.02	-65.6	0.44%	0	0.6	50	0
5	Dec_4_2013	49.96	50.17	50.14	50.13			50.07(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-20	0.12	55%	0.02	-93.8	0.47%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Dec_3_2013	49.95	50.19	50.17	50.19			50.17(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	3	-3	0.16	55%	0.02	-106.3	0.47%	0	-0.1	53	0
7	Dec_2_2013	49.94	50.21	50.18	50.16			49.83(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-7	-10000	-8	-3	1.26	52%	0.02	-113.2	0.46%	0	-2	48	0
8	Nov_29_2013	49.93	50.24	50.23	50.25			50.33(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	24	0.08	57%	0.08	-123.7	0.45%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Nov_27_2013	49.89	50.27	50.22	50.18			50.26(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	3	9	0.06	57%	0.04	-85.9	0.45%	0	-0	47	0
10	Nov_26_2013	49.87	50.32	50.21	50.15			50.34(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	-1	2	0.06	57%	0.06	-79.7	0.46%	0	0.1	50	0

11	Nov_25_2013	49.84	50.36	50.21	50.16			50.04(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-6	0.09	54%	0.04	-70.6	0.45%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Nov_22_2013	49.82	50.42	50.19	50.16			50.26(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	0	-11	0.23	54%	0	-56.8	0.45%	0	-0.3	40	0
13	Nov_21_2013	49.82	50.48	50.15	50.21			49.99(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.03	47%	0.04	-48.5	0.45%	0	-0.9	32	0
14	Nov_20_2013	49.8	50.55	50.19	50.26			50.13(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-2	-37	0.02	51%	0.04	-41.1	0.46%	0	-0.8	27	0
15	Nov_19_2013	49.78	50.62	50.19	50.28			50.39(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	6	-55	0.03	53%	0.02	-29.4	0.46%	0	-0.4	26	0

16	Nov_18_2013	49.77	50.66	50.2	50.21			50.3(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	5	-85	0.03	53%	0.04	-23.9	0.46%	0	-0.7	24	0
17	Nov_15_2013	49.75	50.7	50.22	50.15			50.26(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	6	-114	0.08	58%	0.04	-24.3	0.46%	0	-0.8	21	0
18	Nov_14_2013	49.73	50.74	50.26	50.08			50.23(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-2	-145	0.03	58%	0.04	-24	0.48%	0	-1	18	0
19	Nov_13_2013	49.71	50.77	50.33	50.1			50.2(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-2	-153	0.08	52%	0.04	-17.3	0.48%	0	-1.1	20	0
20	Nov_12_2013	49.69	50.78	50.42	50.12			50.07(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-6	-155	0.07	52%	0.04	-19.2	0.5%	0	-1.3	15	0

21	Nov_11_2013	49.67	50.8	50.54	50.19			50(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-10000	-10	-153	0.04	52%	0.02	-19	0.5%	0	-1.6	19	0
22	Nov_8_2013	49.66	50.83	50.67	50.31			49.89(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10000	-11	-132	0.06	52%	0	-15.6	0.5%	0	-1.9	32	0
23	Nov_7_2013	49.66	50.86	50.84	50.45			50.36(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-11	-107	0.08	57%	0.02	-9.1	0.49%	0	-1.1	37	0
24	Nov_6_2013	49.65	50.87	50.95	50.58			50.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-16	-81	0.27	57%	0	-5.7	0.5%	0	-1.3	39	0
25	Nov_5_2013	49.65	50.88	51.07	50.78			50.4(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-12	-28	0.06	57%		4.7	0.5%	0	-1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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