Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $50.6800 (-0.06%) ($50.5700 - $50.7400) on Tue. Oct. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $50.6800(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(25%)    TIP(20%)    TLT(19%)    SHY(18%)    LQD(12%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-8%)    SPY(-7%)    PEJ(-7%)    IWM(-7%)    XLY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.66(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.51(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.05(1.26%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20131108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2013	49.4	50.05	50.51	50.66			50.68(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	3	78	0.02	63%	0.04	73.8	0.51%	0	1	73	0
2	Oct_7_2013	49.38	49.96	50.45	50.62			50.71(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	5	91	0.07	63%	0.04	72	0.52%	0	1.1	81	0
3	Oct_4_2013	49.36	49.88	50.39	50.56			50.55(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	3	98	0.07	55%	0.02	68.7	0.54%	0	1	81	0
4	Oct_3_2013	49.35	49.79	50.33	50.52			50.73(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	9	115	0.03	55%	0.04	60	0.55%	0	1.3	88	0
5	Oct_2_2013	49.33	49.67	50.26	50.39			50.63(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	4	122	0.17	55%	0.02	49.6	0.55%	0	1.4	87	0

6	Oct_1_2013	49.32	49.58	50.18	50.33			50.5(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	6	137	0.22	59%	0.02	43.8	0.55%	0	1.4	87	0
7	Sep_30_2013	49.31	49.49	50.07	50.25			50.38(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	4	139	0.05	59%	0.02	38.2	0.56%	0	1.4	88	0
8	Sep_27_2013	49.3	49.42	49.95	50.19			50.34(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	5	138	0.03	56%	0	34.4	0.56%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Sep_26_2013	49.3	49.36	49.82	50.12			50.1(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10000	1	135	0.13	56%	-0.02	31.7	0.56%	0	1.3	75	0
10	Sep_25_2013	49.31	49.33	49.72	50.11			50.33(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	7	153	0.05	56%	0	32.5	0.56%	0	1.8	85	0

11	Sep_24_2013	49.31	49.28	49.57	50.01			50.11(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	11	147	0.13	52%	0	28.3	0.56%	0	1.6	68	0
12	Sep_23_2013	49.31	49.24	49.43	49.85			50.06(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	12	126	0.08	52%	-0.02	19.6	0.58%	0	1.7	68	0
13	Sep_20_2013	49.32	49.21	49.33	49.67			49.98(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	13	108	0.03	47%	-0.02	7.7	0.58%	0	1.7	62	0
14	Sep_19_2013	49.33	49.17	49.2	49.48			50.05(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	-10000	14	75	0.09	42%	-0.02	-9.6	0.61%	0	2.1	58	0
15	Sep_18_2013	49.34	49.17	49.03	49.27			49.84(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	12	30	0.05	42%	-0.02	-22.7	0.63%	0	1.9	51	0

16	Sep_17_2013	49.35	49.14	48.92	49.08			49.31(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	9	-7	0.04	39%	-0.04	-29.9	0.62%	0	0.4	42	0
17	Sep_16_2013	49.37	49.15	48.86	48.95			49.18(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.06	39%	-0.02	-41.8	0.62%	0	0.1	45	0
18	Sep_13_2013	49.38	49.17	48.84	48.93			49.02(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.05	43%	-0.02	-45.8	0.62%	0	-0.4	42	0
19	Sep_12_2013	49.39	49.21	48.86	48.88			48.98(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	9	-52	0.03	43%	-0.04	-49.4	0.63%	0	-0.5	44	0
20	Sep_11_2013	49.41	49.23	48.9	48.88			48.89(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	0	-72	0.24	45%	-0.02	-67.1	0.63%	0	-0.8	40	0

21	Sep_10_2013	49.42	49.25	48.97	48.74			48.7(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-1	-79	0.53	44%	-0.02	-69.4	0.63%	0	-1.3	32	0
22	Sep_9_2013	49.43	49.31	49.04	48.74			49.04(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-21	-10000	0	-83	0.05	45%	-0.04	-63.5	0.63%	0	-0.6	41	0
23	Sep_6_2013	49.45	49.36	49.08	48.75			48.79(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-6	-92	0.09	49%	-0.02	-51.6	0.63%	0	-1.3	37	0
24	Sep_5_2013	49.46	49.43	49.14	48.84			48.3(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-15	-93	0.03	46%	-0.04	-39.6	0.64%	0	-2.5	27	0
25	Sep_4_2013	49.48	49.51	49.28	49.08			48.85(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-11	-64	0.02	49%		-25.3	0.62%	0	-1.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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