Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $49.9300 (-0.38%) ($49.7500 - $50.2600) on Mon. Aug. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $49.9300(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(25%)    TIP(21%)    TLT(20%)    SHY(18%)    LQD(13%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-8%)    SPY(-7%)    PEJ(-7%)    IWM(-7%)    XLY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.89(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.65(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.46(0.95%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2013	49.6	49.46	49.65	49.89			49.93(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	8	53	0.02	48%	0	102.7	0.59%	0	1.3	60	0
2	Aug_9_2013	49.6	49.4	49.6	49.77			50.12(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	11	44	0.07	43%	0	98.7	0.61%	0	1.9	69	0
3	Aug_8_2013	49.6	49.32	49.54	49.6			50.04(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	10	35	0.12	43%	0	104.2	0.62%	0	2.1	72	0
4	Aug_7_2013	49.6	49.26	49.48	49.45			49.82(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	5	29	0.02	43%	0.02	83.1	0.62%	0	1.4	71	0
5	Aug_6_2013	49.59	49.17	49.42	49.45			49.53(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	0	23	0.03	43%	-0.02	62.2	0.61%	0	0.7	61	0

6	Aug_5_2013	49.6	49.09	49.41	49.38			49.34(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-1	30	0.02	43%	0	50.9	0.61%	0	0.5	58	0
7	Aug_2_2013	49.6	49.03	49.4	49.4			49.25(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-5	40	0.01	42%	-0.02	46.6	0.61%	0	0.4	64	0
8	Aug_1_2013	49.61	48.96	49.38	49.47			49.33(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	56	0.43	42%	0	44.1	0.62%	0	0.6	68	0
9	Jul_31_2013	49.61	48.92	49.34	49.51			49.43(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	65	0.01	42%	0	47.9	0.62%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Jul_30_2013	49.61	48.87	49.31	49.47			49.57(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	2	82	0.04	43%	0	47.9	0.62%	0	1.2	77	0

11	Jul_29_2013	49.61	48.82	49.26	49.44			49.43(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	3	105	0.02	45%	-0.02	52.3	0.62%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Jul_26_2013	49.62	48.76	49.19	49.4			49.57(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	8	115	0.03	46%	0	44.1	0.63%	0	1.5	73	0
13	Jul_25_2013	49.62	48.71	49.09	49.28			49.53(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	8	117	0.02	46%	-0.02	36.9	0.63%	0	1.6	75	0
14	Jul_24_2013	49.63	48.65	49.02	49.16			49.23(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	3	110	0.01	46%	-0.02	17.5	0.63%	0	1.2	58	0
15	Jul_23_2013	49.64	48.6	48.9	49.12			49.44(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	5	102	0.02	46%	-0.02	-5.4	0.62%	0	1.9	62	0

16	Jul_22_2013	49.65	48.54	48.74	49.05			49.22(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	80	0.07	46%	0	-36.6	0.62%	0	1.7	56	0
17	Jul_19_2013	49.65	48.53	48.62	48.95			48.99(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	67	0.02	46%	-0.04	-65	0.62%	0	1.2	59	0
18	Jul_18_2013	49.67	48.52	48.51	48.87			48.9(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	46	0.03	46%	-0.02	-86.3	0.62%	0	1	54	0
19	Jul_17_2013	49.68	48.56	48.47	48.86			49.07(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	15	53	0.02	44%	-0.02	-72.7	0.62%	0	1.1	58	0
20	Jul_16_2013	49.69	48.63	48.4	48.63			49.06(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	17	32	0.07	45%	-0.04	-59.7	0.63%	0	0.7	58	0

21	Jul_15_2013	49.71	48.69	48.35	48.38			48.73(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	9	6	0.11	44%	-0.02	-53.8	0.63%	0	0.1	54	0
22	Jul_12_2013	49.72	48.78	48.3	48.24			48.6(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	10	-22	0.03	44%	-0.04	-48.4	0.62%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	Jul_11_2013	49.74	48.86	48.28	48.09			48.82(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	4	-53	0.04	45%	-0.02	-48.5	0.62%	0	-0	44	0
24	Jul_10_2013	49.75	48.92	48.23	48.03			47.95(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-8	-96	0.75	40%	-0.06	-46	0.58%	0	-1	25	0
25	Jul_9_2013	49.78	49.02	48.27	48.14			47.78(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-10000	-13	-131	0.08	40%		-40.4	0.58%	0	-1.3	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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