Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $49.2200 (0.47%) ($49.2200 - $49.4900) on Mon. Jul. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $49.2200(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(25%)    TIP(21%)    TLT(20%)    SHY(19%)    LQD(13%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-8%)    SPY(-7%)    PEJ(-7%)    IWM(-7%)    XLY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.05(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.74(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.54(1.4%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2013	49.65	48.54	48.74	49.05			49.22(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	80	0.07	46%	0	-36.6	0.62%	0	1.7	56	0
2	Jul_19_2013	49.65	48.53	48.62	48.95			48.99(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	67	0.02	46%	-0.04	-65	0.62%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Jul_18_2013	49.67	48.52	48.51	48.87			48.9(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	46	0.03	46%	-0.02	-86.3	0.62%	0	1	54	0
4	Jul_17_2013	49.68	48.56	48.47	48.86			49.07(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	15	53	0.02	44%	-0.02	-72.7	0.62%	0	1.1	58	0
5	Jul_16_2013	49.69	48.63	48.4	48.63			49.06(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	17	32	0.07	45%	-0.04	-59.7	0.63%	0	0.7	58	0

6	Jul_15_2013	49.71	48.69	48.35	48.38			48.73(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	9	6	0.11	44%	-0.02	-53.8	0.63%	0	0.1	54	0
7	Jul_12_2013	49.72	48.78	48.3	48.24			48.6(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	10	-22	0.03	44%	-0.04	-48.4	0.62%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Jul_11_2013	49.74	48.86	48.28	48.09			48.82(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	4	-53	0.04	45%	-0.02	-48.5	0.62%	0	-0	44	0
9	Jul_10_2013	49.75	48.92	48.23	48.03			47.95(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-8	-96	0.75	40%	-0.06	-46	0.58%	0	-1	25	0
10	Jul_9_2013	49.78	49.02	48.27	48.14			47.78(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-10000	-13	-131	0.08	40%	-0.04	-40.4	0.58%	0	-1.3	18	0

11	Jul_8_2013	49.8	49.12	48.34	48.32			48.05(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-3	-151	0.09	39%	-0.06	-35.4	0.58%	0	-1.2	18	0
12	Jul_5_2013	49.83	49.21	48.43	48.36			47.87(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-54	-10000	-9	-188	0.03	41%	-0.08	-32.4	0.57%	0	-1.5	15	0
13	Jul_3_2013	49.87	49.32	48.55	48.48			48.52(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-49	-10000	2	-202	0.05	44%	-0.06	-28.8	0.55%	0	-1	26	0
14	Jul_2_2013	49.9	49.37	48.67	48.45			48.46(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-53	-10000	1	-215	0.04	44%	-0.04	-28.9	0.55%	0	-1.1	31	0
15	Jul_1_2013	49.92	49.41	48.87	48.43			48.69(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-49	-10000	4	-208	0.4	45%	-0.04	-29	0.55%	0	-0.9	34	0

16	Jun_28_2013	49.94	49.45	49.05	48.38			48.24(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-61	-10000	-11	-209	0.02	42%	-0.06	-31.6	0.54%	0	-1.6	34	0
17	Jun_27_2013	49.97	49.51	49.29	48.52			48.5(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-52	-10000	-9	-179	0.04	43%	-0.04	-27.2	0.54%	0	-1.4	33	0
18	Jun_26_2013	49.99	49.57	49.48	48.64			48.38(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-10000	-22	-165	0.04	43%	-0.06	-20.6	0.54%	0	-1.7	31	0
19	Jun_25_2013	50.02	49.61	49.65	48.93			48.35(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-10000	-34	-124	0.07	42%	-0.06	-11.1	0.54%	0	-1.9	42	0
20	Jun_24_2013	50.05	49.65	49.83	49.38			48.41(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-10000	-33	-53	0.06	42%	-0.06	5.5	0.54%	0	-2	46	0

21	Jun_21_2013	50.08	49.7	49.97	49.83			48.97(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-17	-10000	-26	12	0.06	46%	-0.06	29.6	0.53%	0	-1.3	49	0
22	Jun_20_2013	50.11	49.7	50.08	50.17			49.09(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	4	-10000	-19	72	0.17	46%	-0.04	46	0.53%	0	-1.1	50	0
23	Jun_19_2013	50.13	49.71	50.18	50.42			49.82(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	30	-10000	-4	130	0.03	50%	-0.04	57.4	0.5%	0	0.2	57	0
24	Jun_18_2013	50.15	49.68	50.15	50.47			50.61(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	11	164	0.05	54%	0	58.1	0.46%	0	1.6	76	0
25	Jun_17_2013	50.15	49.61	50.01	50.34			50.65(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10000	17	158	0.12	54%		55	0.46%	0	1.9	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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