Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $51.4700 (-0.16%) ($51.2900 - $51.6200) on Fri. Feb. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $51.4700(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(26%)    TIP(22%)    TLT(20%)    SHY(19%)    LQD(14%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-7%)    IWM(-7%)    EWJ(-7%)    XLY(-6%)    XAR(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.38(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.36(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.3(0.33%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2013	51.42	51.3	51.36	51.38			51.47(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	4	-6	1.18	47%	0	-9.8	0.42%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Jan_31_2013	51.42	51.28	51.35	51.34			51.55(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	5	-7	0.27	52%	0	-23.3	0.47%	0	1.2	54	0
3	Jan_30_2013	51.42	51.28	51.34	51.28			51.44(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	1	-3	0.05	52%	0	-37.2	0.49%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Jan_29_2013	51.42	51.27	51.32	51.27			51.37(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.08	52%	0	-46.5	0.5%	0	0.5	57	0
5	Jan_28_2013	51.42	51.29	51.34	51.29			51.05(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-3	12	0.1	50%	0	-51.1	0.49%	0	-1	52	0

6	Jan_25_2013	51.42	51.32	51.38	51.33			51.31(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-2	32	0.03	52%	0.02	-51.1	0.49%	0	-0	62	0
7	Jan_24_2013	51.41	51.33	51.39	51.35			51.24(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-4	42	0.04	52%	0	-54.9	0.49%	0	-0.3	56	0
8	Jan_23_2013	51.41	51.35	51.35	51.4			51.4(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	2	38	0.07	52%	0.02	-51	0.49%	0	0.2	46	0
9	Jan_22_2013	51.4	51.38	51.32	51.38			51.44(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-2	25	0.03	52%	0.02	-52.8	0.49%	0	0.2	49	0
10	Jan_18_2013	51.39	51.41	51.29	51.41			51.28(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-2	14	0.04	52%	0.02	-40	0.49%	0	-0.4	42	0

11	Jan_17_2013	51.38	51.44	51.24	51.44			51.38(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	1	0	0.06	54%	0.02	-29.4	0.49%	0	-0.2	44	0
12	Jan_16_2013	51.37	51.47	51.24	51.43			51.5(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	10	-7	0.05	54%	0.02	-24.3	0.49%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Jan_15_2013	51.36	51.49	51.2	51.3			51.28(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-10000	3	-34	0.03	54%	0.04	-26.9	0.49%	0	-0.5	40	0
14	Jan_14_2013	51.34	51.52	51.2	51.26			51.59(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	9	-49	0.02	56%	0.02	-25	0.48%	0	0.2	43	0
15	Jan_11_2013	51.33	51.53	51.22	51.15			51.43(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	10	-72	0.04	56%	0.02	-31.7	0.48%	0	-0.2	37	0

16	Jan_10_2013	51.32	51.55	51.24	51.02			51.34(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-21	-10000	6	-101	0.07	56%	0.02	-42	0.48%	0	-0.5	37	0
17	Jan_9_2013	51.31	51.56	51.25	50.95			50.86(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-11	-133	0.03	53%	0.02	-49.4	0.47%	0	-1.7	29	0
18	Jan_8_2013	51.3	51.6	51.35	51.09			51.06(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-7	-116	0.61	51%	0.04	-48.6	0.47%	0	-1.4	33	0
19	Jan_7_2013	51.28	51.63	51.43	51.17			51.05(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-11	-110	0.06	51%	0.04	-44.3	0.47%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Jan_4_2013	51.26	51.66	51.54	51.31			50.8(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.04	51%	0.02	-35.9	0.47%	0	-2.6	34	0

21	Jan_3_2013	51.25	51.72	51.67	51.49			50.98(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-19	-10000	-7	-56	0.06	51%	0.04	-18	0.47%	0	-2.8	35	0
22	Jan_2_2013	51.23	51.77	51.77	51.58			51.57(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.16	56%	0.08	5.1	0.44%	0	-1	49	0
23	Dec_31_2012	51.19	51.78	51.81	51.64			51.47(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-8	-19	0.09	56%	0.02	27	0.45%	0	-1.6	54	0
24	Dec_28_2012	51.18	51.79	51.86	51.73			51.73(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-5	-10000	-7	3	0.05	59%	0.06	45.9	0.44%	0	-0.3	55	0
25	Dec_27_2012	51.15	51.78	51.87	51.81			51.68(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-6	15	0.03	59%		74.4	0.44%	0	-0.5	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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