Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $51.5600 (0.43%) ($51.5100 - $51.6600) on Tue. Oct. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $51.5600(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(26%)    TIP(22%)    TLT(20%)    SHY(19%)    LQD(14%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-7%)    EWJ(-7%)    XLY(-6%)    XAR(-6%)    SPY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.38(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.48(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.44(0.23%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2012	49.62	51.44	51.48	51.38			51.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	4	-46	0.1	69%	0.04	53.9	0.44%	0	0.3	51	0
2	Oct_1_2012	49.6	51.39	51.49	51.34			51.34(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-5	-51	0.31	69%	0.02	55.1	0.44%	0	-0.1	47	0
3	Sep_28_2012	49.59	51.36	51.53	51.39			51.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.15	73%	0.04	59.5	0.48%	0	0.1	61	0
4	Sep_27_2012	49.57	51.31	51.58	51.43			51.39(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-11	0.01	73%	0.02	56.4	0.48%	0	0.2	54	0
5	Sep_26_2012	49.56	51.26	51.62	51.49			51.2(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-9	24	0.03	73%	0.04	57.3	0.48%	0	-0.1	66	0

6	Sep_25_2012	49.54	51.23	51.66	51.6			51.38(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-6	63	0.02	73%	0.02	65.1	0.48%	0	0.3	71	0
7	Sep_24_2012	49.53	51.17	51.68	51.67			51.58(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-2	95	0.02	73%	0.02	69.2	0.48%	0	0.7	77	0
8	Sep_21_2012	49.52	51.11	51.64	51.69			51.6(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-5	112	0.31	70%	0.04	76	0.48%	0	0.8	73	0
9	Sep_20_2012	49.5	51.04	51.61	51.75			51.71(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-10000	-2	141	0.01	70%	0.02	82.9	0.49%	0	1.1	79	0
10	Sep_19_2012	49.49	50.96	51.51	51.78			51.75(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	41	-10000	3	155	0.02	72%	0.02	90.3	0.49%	0	1.3	80	0

11	Sep_18_2012	49.48	50.87	51.4	51.74			51.69(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	3	153	0.02	68%	0.04	87.5	0.51%	0	1.3	79	0
12	Sep_17_2012	49.46	50.76	51.28	51.7			51.72(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	-10000	10	159	0.01	68%	0.02	80.9	0.52%	0	1.4	82	0
13	Sep_14_2012	49.45	50.64	51.18	51.57			51.87(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	8	150	0.04	71%	0.04	73.2	0.53%	0	1.8	82	0
14	Sep_13_2012	49.43	50.52	51.02	51.46			51.85(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	-10000	18	145	0.13	71%	0.04	71.1	0.53%	0	2	80	0
15	Sep_12_2012	49.41	50.4	50.87	51.21			51.55(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	15	119	0.03	70%	0.02	63	0.53%	0	1.8	79	0

16	Sep_11_2012	49.4	50.3	50.75	51.01			51.49(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	15	108	0.03	70%	0.04	59.8	0.53%	0	2	83	0
17	Sep_10_2012	49.38	50.2	50.61	50.81			51.11(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	8	96	0.02	68%	0.02	54.6	0.53%	0	1.7	83	0
18	Sep_7_2012	49.37	50.13	50.52	50.71			51.3(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	37	-10000	14	106	0.03	68%	0.04	54	0.53%	0	2.3	89	0
19	Sep_6_2012	49.35	50.05	50.41	50.53			50.6(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	4	99	0.02	67%	0.02	58.3	0.51%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Sep_5_2012	49.34	50	50.37	50.48			50.55(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10000	3	110	0.01	65%	0	63.4	0.52%	0	1.3	78	0

21	Sep_4_2012	49.34	49.95	50.29	50.44			50.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	6	110	0.18	65%	0.02	65.4	0.52%	0	1.4	67	0
22	Aug_31_2012	49.33	49.91	50.19	50.36			50.62(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	5	99	0.03	64%	0.02	67.6	0.52%	0	1.9	71	0
23	Aug_30_2012	49.32	49.86	50.07	50.29			50.36(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	1	82	0.01	62%	0	69.4	0.52%	0	1.4	64	0
24	Aug_29_2012	49.32	49.8	49.99	50.28			50.35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	23	-10000	3	82	0.01	62%	0.02	66.7	0.52%	0	1.5	65	0
25	Aug_28_2012	49.31	49.74	49.9	50.24			50.35(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	8	74	0.02	62%		73.5	0.52%	0	1.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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