Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $49.9800 (0.38%) ($49.7900 - $49.9800) on Fri. Apr. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $49.9800(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(26%)    TIP(21%)    SHY(19%)    TLT(18%)    LQD(14%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
XAR(-5%)    PEJ(-5%)    IWM(-5%)    EWJ(-5%)    XLY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.8(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.74(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.73(0.5%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.4% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2012	49.5	49.73	49.74	49.8			49.98(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	6	12	0.02	52%	0.02	62.5	0.61%	0	1.3	50	0
2	Apr_19_2012	49.49	49.7	49.67	49.71			49.79(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.02	52%	0	47.7	0.61%	0	0.4	52	0
3	Apr_18_2012	49.49	49.67	49.67	49.75			49.74(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	1	-8	0.02	52%	0	50	0.61%	0	0.3	48	0
4	Apr_17_2012	49.49	49.64	49.64	49.73			49.7(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-10000	3	-10	0.01	52%	0.02	35.2	0.62%	0	0.2	48	0
5	Apr_16_2012	49.48	49.62	49.68	49.69			49.8(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.02	52%	0.02	25.9	0.62%	0	0.7	49	0

6	Apr_13_2012	49.47	49.6	49.69	49.67			49.5(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	3	-5	0.04	52%	0	22.2	0.62%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Apr_12_2012	49.47	49.59	49.71	49.62			49.99(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	6	-3	0.02	55%	0.02	8.6	0.6%	0	1.4	61	0
8	Apr_11_2012	49.46	49.59	49.69	49.53			49.68(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.07	54%	-0.02	-3.4	0.6%	0	0.4	58	0
9	Apr_10_2012	49.47	49.55	49.7	49.54			49.48(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10000	-9	6	0.02	54%	-0.02	7	0.6%	0	-0.3	58	0
10	Apr_9_2012	49.48	49.56	49.74	49.68			49.69(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10000	-3	34	0.03	50%	-0.02	25.4	0.6%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Apr_5_2012	49.49	49.55	49.72	49.72			49.26(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	6	-10000	-5	39	0.02	42%	-0.02	36.8	0.61%	0	-1	49	0
12	Apr_4_2012	49.5	49.57	49.73	49.8			49.52(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-4	50	0.03	40%	-0.02	50	0.62%	0	-0.2	57	0
13	Apr_3_2012	49.51	49.56	49.71	49.86			49.77(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-1	61	0.03	40%	-0.02	33.9	0.62%	0	0.7	64	0
14	Apr_2_2012	49.52	49.53	49.65	49.88			50.15(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	5	56	0.33	42%	-0.02	11.9	0.62%	0	2.1	57	0
15	Mar_30_2012	49.53	49.48	49.57	49.81			49.92(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	46	0.03	48%	-0.02	-14.5	0.62%	0	1.6	55	0

16	Mar_29_2012	49.54	49.44	49.51	49.73			49.63(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	4	33	0.02	48%	-0.02	-49	0.66%	0	0.8	52	0
17	Mar_28_2012	49.55	49.43	49.47	49.66			49.85(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	7	18	0.03	48%	-0.06	-65.2	0.65%	0	1.2	50	0
18	Mar_27_2012	49.58	49.46	49.4	49.54			49.84(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	9	5	0.04	48%	-0.04	-61.8	0.66%	0	0.9	60	0
19	Mar_26_2012	49.6	49.5	49.37	49.39			49.82(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	6	-3	0.02	48%	-0.04	-67.4	0.66%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Mar_23_2012	49.62	49.52	49.35	49.29			49.49(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.04	46%	-0.06	-69.9	0.66%	0	-0.1	55	0

21	Mar_22_2012	49.65	49.56	49.34	49.27			49.28(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	1	-5	0.03	46%	-0.06	-62.6	0.66%	0	-0.5	55	0
22	Mar_21_2012	49.68	49.65	49.34	49.26			49.25(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	1	-1	0.1	46%	-0.06	-55.6	0.66%	0	-0.6	46	0
23	Mar_20_2012	49.71	49.73	49.39	49.24			49.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-28	0.02	46%	-0.06	-51.1	0.66%	0	-0.9	29	0
24	Mar_19_2012	49.74	49.82	49.39	49.35			49.32(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.04	46%	-0.1	-45.7	0.66%	0	-0.7	28	0
25	Mar_16_2012	49.79	49.88	49.4	49.41			49.4(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.02	46%		-39.3	0.67%	0	-0.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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