Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $49.8400 (0.04%) ($49.7800 - $49.9100) on Tue. Mar. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $49.8400(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(27%)    TIP(21%)    SHY(19%)    TLT(18%)    LQD(14%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
XAR(-5%)    PEJ(-5%)    IWM(-5%)    EWJ(-5%)    XLY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.54(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.4(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.46(0.77%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2012	49.58	49.46	49.4	49.54			49.84(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	9	5	0.04	48%	-0.04	-61.8	0.66%	0	0.9	60	0
2	Mar_26_2012	49.6	49.5	49.37	49.39			49.82(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	6	-3	0.02	48%	-0.04	-67.4	0.66%	0	0.7	61	0
3	Mar_23_2012	49.62	49.52	49.35	49.29			49.49(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.04	46%	-0.06	-69.9	0.66%	0	-0.1	55	0
4	Mar_22_2012	49.65	49.56	49.34	49.27			49.28(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	1	-5	0.03	46%	-0.06	-62.6	0.66%	0	-0.5	55	0
5	Mar_21_2012	49.68	49.65	49.34	49.26			49.25(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	1	-1	0.1	46%	-0.06	-55.6	0.66%	0	-0.6	46	0

6	Mar_20_2012	49.71	49.73	49.39	49.24			49.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-28	0.02	46%	-0.06	-51.1	0.66%	0	-0.9	29	0
7	Mar_19_2012	49.74	49.82	49.39	49.35			49.32(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.04	46%	-0.1	-45.7	0.66%	0	-0.7	28	0
8	Mar_16_2012	49.79	49.88	49.4	49.41			49.4(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.02	46%	-0.08	-39.3	0.67%	0	-0.7	37	0
9	Mar_15_2012	49.83	49.95	49.37	49.43			49.23(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-6	-79	0.02	46%	-0.08	-33.8	0.67%	0	-1	34	0
10	Mar_14_2012	49.87	50.03	49.4	49.53			49.14(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-2	-97	0.05	46%	-0.08	-26.8	0.67%	0	-1.3	27	0

11	Mar_13_2012	49.91	50.08	49.53	49.56			49.66(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	6	-100	0.08	48%	-0.06	-27.9	0.65%	0	-0.6	36	0
12	Mar_12_2012	49.94	50.13	49.63	49.46			49.61(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	4	-112	0.02	48%	-0.06	-26.5	0.66%	0	-0.8	35	0
13	Mar_9_2012	49.97	50.16	49.7	49.39			49.5(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	5	-125	0.06	51%	-0.06	-29.5	0.66%	0	-1	37	0
14	Mar_8_2012	50	50.19	49.79	49.31			49.75(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-32	-10000	4	-140	0.02	47%	-0.04	-33.1	0.67%	0	-0.7	38	0
15	Mar_7_2012	50.02	50.22	49.93	49.25			49.26(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-10000	-16	-146	0.02	44%	-0.06	-33.9	0.68%	0	-1.5	33	0

16	Mar_6_2012	50.05	50.27	50.08	49.51			49.19(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-19	-115	0.04	44%	-0.06	-17.6	0.68%	0	-1.8	42	0
17	Mar_5_2012	50.08	50.31	50.26	49.83			49.23(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-79	0.02	44%	-0.08	1.8	0.69%	0	-2	38	0
18	Mar_2_2012	50.12	50.36	50.41	50.07			49.1(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-16	-50	0.05	44%	-0.06	22.2	0.69%	0	-2.5	43	0
19	Mar_1_2012	50.15	50.41	50.59	50.34			49.47(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-19	-10000	-20	-15	0.3	43%	-0.08	59	0.69%	0	-2.2	46	0
20	Feb_29_2012	50.19	50.43	50.73	50.69			50.55(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-3	36	0.04	53%	-0.04	102.6	0.67%	0	0.3	57	0

21	Feb_28_2012	50.21	50.38	50.7	50.74			50.81(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-1	42	0.02	53%	-0.02	97.8	0.66%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Feb_27_2012	50.22	50.3	50.68	50.76			50.41(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-3	57	0.02	51%	-0.04	97	0.66%	0	0.2	60	0
23	Feb_24_2012	50.24	50.24	50.66	50.81			50.47(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	65	0.09	48%	-0.02	95.5	0.68%	0	0.4	58	0
24	Feb_23_2012	50.25	50.16	50.63	50.88			51.21(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	6	83	0.02	47%	-0.02	89.1	0.65%	0	1.6	68	0
25	Feb_22_2012	50.26	50.04	50.52	50.78			50.82(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	8	75	0.04	45%		83.3	0.69%	0	1.2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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