Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IGOV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $49.1200 (0.49%) ($48.8900 - $49.1300) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $49.1200(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(27%)    TIP(21%)    SHY(18%)    TLT(17%)    LQD(14%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-5%)    XLY(-4%)    XAR(-4%)    SPY(-4%)    IWM(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.26(-3.79%)
Resistance Level   $49.18
5 Day Moving Average   $48.77(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.97(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.18(-0.12%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2011	52.18	49.18	48.97	48.77			49.12(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	3	-42	0.03	36%	-0.1	-80.2	0.73%	0	-0.1	51	0
2	Dec_16_2011	52.23	49.23	48.99	48.71			48.88(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-4	-48	0.04	36%	-0.08	-88.5	0.73%	0	-0.7	48	0
3	Dec_15_2011	52.27	49.27	49	48.78			48.7(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.04	39%	-0.11	-91.5	0.73%	0	-1.1	50	0
4	Dec_14_2011	52.33	49.35	49.06	48.8			48.54(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-12	-44	0.03	39%	-0.1	-94.5	0.74%	0	-1.5	42	0
5	Dec_13_2011	52.38	49.45	49.19	49.01			48.62(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-11	-31	0.04	39%	-0.1	-93.8	0.74%	0	-1.5	35	0

6	Dec_12_2011	52.43	49.57	49.24	49.2			48.83(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-5	-30	0.02	39%	-0.1	-84	0.74%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Dec_9_2011	52.48	49.69	49.27	49.29			49.19(0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	2	-35	0.03	36%	-0.08	-77	0.73%	0	-0.7	41	0
8	Dec_8_2011	52.52	49.76	49.24	49.25			48.82(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.04	33%	-0.08	-86	0.75%	0	-1.3	41	0
9	Dec_7_2011	52.56	49.87	49.3	49.35			49.59(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.02	37%	-0.06	-88.9	0.73%	0	-0.4	42	0
10	Dec_6_2011	52.59	49.98	49.35	49.39			49.57(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	5	-59	0.03	34%	-0.04	-75.3	0.74%	0	-0.5	39	0

11	Dec_5_2011	52.61	50.09	49.4	49.29			49.29(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	2	-81	0.01	34%	-0.06	-73.2	0.76%	0	-0.8	32	0
12	Dec_2_2011	52.64	50.22	49.48	49.25			49(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-24	-10000	2	-102	0.02	34%	-0.06	-78.9	0.76%	0	-1.2	27	0
13	Dec_1_2011	52.67	50.38	49.56	49.21			49.3(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-1	-120	0.13	32%	-0.06	-83.5	0.76%	0	-1	38	0
14	Nov_30_2011	52.7	50.51	49.66	49.23			49.81(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-37	-10000	-5	-131	0.02	33%	-0.06	-85.7	0.77%	0	-0.7	38	0
15	Nov_29_2011	52.73	50.63	49.72	49.32			49.03(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-13	-156	0.03	28%	-0.06	-83.4	0.74%	0	-1.5	23	0

16	Nov_28_2011	52.76	50.8	49.92	49.56			49.09(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-10000	-11	-151	0.03	28%	-0.06	-80	0.74%	0	-1.6	24	0
17	Nov_25_2011	52.79	51.02	50.14	49.76			48.84(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-44	-10000	-10	-144	0.04	30%	-0.06	-66.8	0.74%	0	-1.9	22	0
18	Nov_23_2011	52.82	51.26	50.33	49.95			49.37(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-10	-153	0.01	31%	-0.08	-57.4	0.73%	0	-1.6	23	0
19	Nov_22_2011	52.86	51.44	50.5	50.14			50.25(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-3	-158	0.06	33%	-0.04	-53.2	0.7%	0	-1.1	29	0
20	Nov_21_2011	52.88	51.56	50.66	50.19			50.23(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-10000	-9	-160	0.03	33%	-0.06	-51.2	0.7%	0	-1.2	28	0

21	Nov_18_2011	52.91	51.69	50.84	50.35			50.11(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-10000	-13	-157	0.01	33%	-0.08	-47.4	0.7%	0	-1.5	24	0
22	Nov_17_2011	52.95	51.82	51.02	50.59			49.8(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-47	-10000	-9	-160	0.07	36%	-0.06	-44.1	0.7%	0	-2	15	0
23	Nov_16_2011	52.98	51.95	51.26	50.76			50.29(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-10000	-8	-168	0.05	37%	-0.04	-46.8	0.7%	0	-1.8	17	0
24	Nov_15_2011	53	52.04	51.44	50.9			50.53(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-10000	-17	-173	0.04	40%	-0.04	-50	0.7%	0	-1.9	30	0
25	Nov_14_2011	53.02	52.14	51.61	51.2			51.03(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-11	-155	0.02	42%		-46.4	0.7%	0	-1.5	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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