Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IGOV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $53.1500 (-1.59%) ($53.1500 - $53.8700) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $53.1500(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IGOV declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(27%)    TIP(18%)    SHY(17%)    EWI(15%)    EWP(15%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(-0%)    XLK(0%)    SPY(1%)    QQQ(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.75(-1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.75(-1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.09(0.11%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20110904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2011	52.93	53.09	53.75	53.75			53.15(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	22	-10000	-6	105	0.02	41%	0	31.7	0.62%	0	0.1	61	0
2	Aug_3_2011	52.93	53.05	53.77	53.86			54.01(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	1	145	0.04	44%	0.04	32.7	0.59%	0	1.2	73	0
3	Aug_2_2011	52.91	52.97	53.63	53.85			53.7(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	-10000	-4	148	0.03	43%	0.02	32.9	0.59%	0	1	68	0
4	Aug_1_2011	52.9	52.93	53.5	53.92			53.8(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-10000	2	169	0.07	43%	0.04	38.6	0.59%	0	1.2	73	0
5	Jul_29_2011	52.88	52.89	53.34	53.89			54.08(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	8	174	0.08	44%	0.06	43.4	0.59%	0	1.7	79	0

6	Jul_28_2011	52.85	52.84	53.16	53.76			53.72(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	7	160	0.05	45%	0.04	45.7	0.59%	0	1.3	63	0
7	Jul_27_2011	52.83	52.8	53.01	53.65			53.93(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	17	151	0.01	45%	0.06	43.8	0.6%	0	1.8	66	0
8	Jul_26_2011	52.8	52.73	52.85	53.37			54.09(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	-10000	22	125	0.02	45%	0.04	32.7	0.6%	0	2.3	69	0
9	Jul_25_2011	52.78	52.64	52.64	53.02			53.64(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	-10000	21	73	0.04	43%	0.02	16.1	0.59%	0	2	55	0
10	Jul_22_2011	52.77	52.58	52.45	52.7			53.42(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	-10000	14	14	0.02	43%	0.04	-6.1	0.59%	0	2	50	0

11	Jul_21_2011	52.75	52.53	52.35	52.48			53.17(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	-10000	12	-24	0.02	43%	0.02	-23	0.59%	0	1.6	45	0
12	Jul_20_2011	52.74	52.52	52.26	52.29			52.54(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	2	-60	0.04	41%	0.02	-34.3	0.57%	0	0.1	43	0
13	Jul_19_2011	52.73	52.54	52.25	52.26			52.33(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	4	-69	0.02	43%	0.02	-37.8	0.58%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Jul_18_2011	52.72	52.56	52.3	52.19			52.02(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-16	-10000	2	-70	0.01	40%	0	-48.6	0.58%	0	-1.4	45	0
15	Jul_15_2011	52.72	52.61	52.41	52.16			52.34(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-66	0.02	41%	0.02	-54.3	0.58%	0	-0.7	48	0

16	Jul_14_2011	52.71	52.62	52.5	52.19			52.23(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-3	-51	0.01	41%	0	-64.3	0.58%	0	-1.1	46	0
17	Jul_13_2011	52.71	52.64	52.57	52.23			52.37(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-1	-46	0.02	41%	0.02	-81.8	0.58%	0	-0.8	41	0
18	Jul_12_2011	52.7	52.69	52.61	52.24			52.01(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-13	-57	0.02	39%	0	-87.1	0.57%	0	-1.8	34	0
19	Jul_11_2011	52.7	52.75	52.66	52.44			51.85(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-17	-44	0.05	39%	0	-83.8	0.57%	0	-2.5	37	0
20	Jul_8_2011	52.7	52.81	52.74	52.7			52.5(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-10	-21	0.02	44%	0.04	-96.4	0.55%	0	-1.1	42	0

21	Jul_7_2011	52.68	52.86	52.75	52.85			52.44(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0.02	44%	0.02	-75.4	0.55%	0	-1.3	50	0
22	Jul_6_2011	52.67	52.93	52.81	52.96			52.42(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-4	18	0.02	44%	0.06	-52.9	0.55%	0	-1.4	49	0
23	Jul_5_2011	52.64	53.01	52.87	53.02			52.97(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	7	26	0.03	46%	0.08	-34.2	0.54%	0	-0.1	44	0
24	Jul_1_2011	52.6	53.05	52.85	52.92			53.15(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	9	6	0.12	46%	0.04	-28.7	0.53%	0	0.2	46	0
25	Jun_30_2011	52.58	53.09	52.82	52.79			53.27(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	10	-10	0.02	46%		-22.9	0.53%	0	0.4	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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