Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $119.1950 (0.9%) ($119.1950 - $119.1950) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.39% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $119.1950(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SHY(78%)    LQD(66%)    BNDX(60%)    TLT(60%)    BWX(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-59%)    UUP(-23%)    OIH(-21%)    XLF(-18%)    XOP(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.195% (StdDev 0.39%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $118(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.72(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.06(3.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -0.98%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2020	112.18	115.06	116.72	118	118.35	118.82	119.2(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	187	40	128	365	5.27	82%	0.06	61.4	0.39%	1	2	91	-2.1
2	Mar_4_2020	112.11	114.72	116.17	117.36	117.85	118.34	118.13(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	189	40	137	345	7.63	81%	0.06	56.6	0.38%	0.2	1.9	90	-1.6
3	Mar_3_2020	112.04	114.46	115.71	116.81	117.2	117.88	118.42(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	192	50	150	319	11.41	82%	0.06	54.5	0.38%	1.5	2.4	88	-2.3
4	Mar_2_2020	111.97	114.21	115.2	116.22	116.52	117.35	116.99(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	200	60	169	291	19.36	77%	0.04	56.7	0.37%	0.4	2	81	-1.9
5	Feb_28_2020	111.92	114.04	114.82	115.85	116.01	116.53	117.29(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	204	40	181	272	12.46	77%	0.04	62.9	0.37%	1.6	2.7	85	-2.8

6	Feb_27_2020	111.87	113.84	114.38	115.24	115.51	115.7	115.96(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	115	20	86	202	8.63	74%	0.02	68.7	0.35%	1	2.3	84	-3.1
7	Feb_26_2020	111.85	113.69	114.07	114.81	115.1	115.49	115.4(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	103	30	79	175	19.65	73%	0.02	75.7	0.34%	0.4	2.1	82	-2.4
8	Feb_25_2020	111.83	113.56	113.84	114.42	114.71	115.32	115.47(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	162	40	157	176	10.01	73%	0.02	77.8	0.34%	1	2.7	73	-3.2
9	Feb_24_2020	111.81	113.44	113.63	114.02	114.18	114.71	115.12(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	148	40	152	137	6.79	73%	0.02	95.9	0.34%	1.2	3	60	-3.1
10	Feb_21_2020	111.79	113.3	113.43	113.64	113.76	114.06	114.26(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	98	20	105	77	5.38	71%	0	105	0.33%	1.2	2.1	49	-0.8

11	Feb_20_2020	111.79	113.19	113.27	113.4	113.51	113.6	113.81(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	10	45	20	2.23	69%	0.01	92.9	0.33%	1.4	1.3	52	0.4
12	Feb_19_2020	111.78	113.09	113.15	113.22	113.32	113.48	113.44(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	14	10	23	-14	1.68	68%	0.01	75	0.33%	0	0.6	51	1
13	Feb_18_2020	111.77	113.01	113.12	113.18	113.19	113.42	113.49(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	33	10	46	-5	8.35	68%	0.01	71.7	0.33%	0.9	0.8	57	0.8
14	Feb_14_2020	111.76	112.91	113.14	113.17	113.12	113.16	113.23(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	0	24	-7	2.04	70%	0.01	62.9	0.33%	0.9	0.5	51	0.9
15	Feb_13_2020	111.75	112.82	113.21	113.18	113.17	112.97	113.04(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-10	-18	0	1.87	70%	0.01	61.2	0.33%	-0.1	0.3	57	0.6

16	Feb_12_2020	111.74	112.75	113.26	113.12	113.23	113.07	112.92(-0.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-27	-10	-38	8	1.47	70%	0	60.6	0.33%	-1.2	0.2	60	1
17	Feb_11_2020	111.74	112.68	113.3	113.07	113.17	113.37	113.21(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	10	46	1.66	70%	0.01	55.3	0.33%	-0.7	0.6	65	0.1
18	Feb_10_2020	111.73	112.58	113.27	113.05	113.06	113.38	113.48(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	20	69	86	1.97	70%	0.01	52.5	0.33%	1	1	68	0.2
19	Feb_7_2020	111.72	112.47	113.24	113.11	112.95	112.97	113.26(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-0	19	100	6.18	64%	0.02	52.4	0.33%	1.4	0.9	70	-0.1
20	Feb_6_2020	111.7	112.36	113.17	113.27	113.06	112.72	112.74(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-24	-30	-63	95	1.7	63%	0.02	56.5	0.34%	-0.4	0.4	65	0.2

21	Feb_5_2020	111.68	112.28	113.11	113.42	113.35	112.92	112.64(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-45	-30	-95	105	9.02	59%	0.01	63.6	0.34%	-1.2	0.4	62	0.1
22	Feb_4_2020	111.67	112.21	113.04	113.56	113.56	113.39	113.15(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-10	-55	137	2.57	59%	0.03	68.9	0.35%	-1.2	0.9	70	-0.7
23	Feb_3_2020	111.64	112.12	112.91	113.5	113.58	113.78	113.79(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	10	31	184	5.72	62%	0.03	72.7	0.34%	0.2	1.7	79	-1.4
24	Jan_31_2020	111.61	111.99	112.67	113.38	113.37	113.74	114.05(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	109	20	81	194	7.34	65%	0.03	79.3	0.35%	1.5	2.2	81	-2.4
25	Jan_30_2020	111.58	111.82	112.4	113.06	113.2	113.39	113.48(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	115	20	93	179	4.4	65%		82.2	0.35%	0.9	2	80	-0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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