Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $112.6400 (0.05%) ($112.3600 - $112.7400) on Thu. Jul. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $112.6400(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(68%)    TLT(68%)    BNDX(59%)    BND(58%)    BWX(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-67%)    XLF(-27%)    OIH(-24%)    IWD(-21%)    IVE(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.29(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.18(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.64(0%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2016	110.77		112.18	112.29			112.64(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	4	-39	1.22	54%	0.03	-7	0.37%	0	0	33	0
2	Jul_27_2016	110.74	112.64	112.14	112.21			112.58(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	6	-62	1.96	56%	0.03	0	0.37%	0	-0.1	36	0
3	Jul_26_2016	110.71	112.67	112.15	112.08			112.1(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-1	-88	1.69	55%	0.04	8.6	0.37%	0	-0.9	28	0
4	Jul_25_2016	110.67	112.73	112.19	112.1			112.03(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-10000	2	-103	0.89	55%	0.03	24.6	0.37%	0	-1.1	28	0
5	Jul_22_2016	110.64	112.74	112.3	112.07			112.12(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	2	-106	1.14	55%	0.02	26.8	0.37%	0	-1	40	0

6	Jul_21_2016	110.62	112.68	112.46	112.03			112.21(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-2	-101	1.94	55%	0.03	13.2	0.37%	0	-0.6	42	0
7	Jul_20_2016	110.59	112.65	112.59	112.06			111.96(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-8	-92	2.21	52%	0.03	9.5	0.37%	0	-0.8	44	0
8	Jul_19_2016	110.56	112.61	112.76	112.23			112.19(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-3	-69	4.17	52%	0.01	10.1	0.38%	0	-0.5	40	0
9	Jul_18_2016	110.55	112.61	112.91	112.3			111.89(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-12	-62	4.17	52%	0.02	9.5	0.38%	0	-0.7	37	0
10	Jul_15_2016	110.53	112.57	113.04	112.56			111.92(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-18	-34	2.81	52%	0.01	19	0.38%	0	-0.7	50	0

11	Jul_14_2016	110.52	112.59	113.16	112.94			112.35(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-12	25	2.76	54%	0.02	36.1	0.38%	0	-0.3	67	0
12	Jul_13_2016	110.5	112.57	113.21	113.19			112.82(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-9	68	3.08	56%	0.02	48.8	0.37%	0	0.3	64	0
13	Jul_12_2016	110.48	112.52	113.25	113.37			112.53(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-11	112	4.12	54%	0.02	57.6	0.37%	0	0	64	0
14	Jul_11_2016	110.46	112.48	113.32	113.6			113.2(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	42	-10000	1	164	2.73	57%	0.03	69	0.37%	0	0.7	67	0
15	Jul_8_2016	110.43	112.39	113.24	113.58			113.8(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	8	180	2.1	60%	0.03	71.3	0.36%	0	1.4	66	0

16	Jul_7_2016	110.4	112.25	112.94	113.41			113.58(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	8	152	1.32	62%	0.04	74.4	0.36%	0	1.4	61	0
17	Jul_6_2016	110.36	112.12	112.71	113.24			113.73(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	6	126	1.92	62%	0.03	77.6	0.37%	0	1.7	63	0
18	Jul_5_2016	110.33	111.96	112.44	113.12			113.71(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	5	109	2.93	63%	0.04	84	0.37%	0	1.9	65	0
19	Jul_1_2016	110.29	111.81	112.19	113.02			113.09(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	9	102	5.29	61%	0.01	92.1	0.36%	0	1.5	61	0
20	Jun_30_2016	110.28	111.69	112.05	112.84			112.95(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	22	99	5.69	63%	0.02	89.9	0.36%	0	1.4	62	0

21	Jun_29_2016	110.26	111.54	111.95	112.39			112.7(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	15	73	2.67	65%	0.03	75.6	0.36%	0	1.3	64	0
22	Jun_28_2016	110.23	111.38	111.87	112.09			113.16(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	21	65	1.8	67%	0.02	65.5	0.37%	0	1.9	70	0
23	Jun_27_2016	110.21	111.21	111.7	111.65			113.18(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	-10000	18	41	4.65	67%	0.04	58.4	0.37%	0	2.3	71	0
24	Jun_24_2016	110.17	111.03	111.53	111.27			112.21(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	5	20	4.39	64%	0.02	48.6	0.36%	0	1.5	67	0
25	Jun_23_2016	110.15	110.91	111.45	111.17			110.68(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-10000	-16	13	1.71	61%		48.6	0.31%	0	-0.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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