Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $113.7100 (0.55%) ($113.4700 - $113.9100) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $113.7100(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    LQD(68%)    BNDX(60%)    BND(58%)    BWX(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-67%)    XLF(-27%)    OIH(-24%)    XOP(-21%)    IWD(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.12(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.44(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.96(1.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	110.33	111.96	112.44	113.12			113.71(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	5	109	2.93	63%	0.04	84	0.37%	0	1.9	65	0
2	Jul_1_2016	110.29	111.81	112.19	113.02			113.09(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	9	102	5.29	61%	0.01	92.1	0.36%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Jun_30_2016	110.28	111.69	112.05	112.84			112.95(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	22	99	5.69	63%	0.02	89.9	0.36%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Jun_29_2016	110.26	111.54	111.95	112.39			112.7(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	15	73	2.67	65%	0.03	75.6	0.36%	0	1.3	64	0
5	Jun_28_2016	110.23	111.38	111.87	112.09			113.16(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	21	65	1.8	67%	0.02	65.5	0.37%	0	1.9	70	0

6	Jun_27_2016	110.21	111.21	111.7	111.65			113.18(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	-10000	18	41	4.65	67%	0.04	58.4	0.37%	0	2.3	71	0
7	Jun_24_2016	110.17	111.03	111.53	111.27			112.21(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	5	20	4.39	64%	0.02	48.6	0.36%	0	1.5	67	0
8	Jun_23_2016	110.15	110.91	111.45	111.17			110.68(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-10000	-16	13	1.71	61%	0.02	48.6	0.31%	0	-0.3	49	0
9	Jun_22_2016	110.13	110.86	111.5	111.45			111.21(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-9	64	1.38	64%	0.02	55.3	0.31%	0	0.4	69	0
10	Jun_21_2016	110.11	110.78	111.48	111.61			110.99(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	19	-10000	-8	101	1.49	64%	0.02	54.4	0.31%	0	0.2	70	0

11	Jun_20_2016	110.09	110.72	111.47	111.74			111.24(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-5	135	1.96	64%	0.02	53.7	0.31%	0	0.6	70	0
12	Jun_17_2016	110.07	110.64	111.42	111.82			111.72(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	3	166	3.14	67%	0.03	49.4	0.31%	0	1.2	78	0
13	Jun_16_2016	110.04	110.53	111.33	111.77			112.1(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	-10000	13	191	3.09	72%	0.04	45.1	0.3%	0	1.7	79	0
14	Jun_15_2016	110	110.39	111.12	111.56			111.98(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	-10000	13	176	2.38	72%	0.04	33.8	0.31%	0	1.9	81	0
15	Jun_14_2016	109.96	110.3	110.88	111.34			111.64(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	10	157	1.39	72%	0.03	28.6	0.31%	0	1.7	78	0

16	Jun_13_2016	109.93	110.23	110.69	111.17			111.67(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	13	145	1.03	72%	0.04	23.4	0.31%	0	2.1	74	0
17	Jun_10_2016	109.89	110.18	110.48	110.95			111.45(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	6	124	1.88	72%	0.04	20.7	0.31%	0	2	73	0
18	Jun_9_2016	109.85	110.12	110.31	110.84			111.06(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	14	122	1.33	68%	0.02	15.4	0.31%	0	1.6	71	0
19	Jun_8_2016	109.83	110.1	110.15	110.6			110.89(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	15	100	1.28	70%	0.03	8	0.32%	0	1.4	71	0
20	Jun_7_2016	109.8	110.08	110.01	110.33			110.76(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	61	2.67	70%	0.01	-2.1	0.32%	0	1.3	52	0

21	Jun_6_2016	109.79	110.06	109.89	110.12			110.6(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	11	31	1.72	70%	0.03	-4.3	0.32%	0	1	48	0
22	Jun_3_2016	109.76	110.05	109.79	109.92			110.89(0.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	7	-10000	12	-8	1.97	70%	0.04	-10.6	0.33%	0	1.6	46	0
23	Jun_2_2016	109.72	110.03	109.65	109.71			109.87(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-48	5.04	66%	0.02	-17.8	0.3%	0	-0.3	40	0
24	Jun_1_2016	109.7	110.06	109.6	109.71			109.53(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	0	-82	2.79	59%	0.02	-17.8	0.3%	0	-1.1	32	0
25	May_31_2016	109.68	110.09	109.68	109.63			109.73(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	1	-85	1.73	65%		-6.7	0.31%	0	-0.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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