Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $110.3700 (0.18%) ($110.0000 - $110.3900) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $110.3700(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    LQD(68%)    BNDX(60%)    BND(59%)    BWX(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-68%)    XLF(-28%)    OIH(-24%)    IWD(-22%)    IVE(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.02(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.72(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.07(0.27%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.49% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	108.98	110.07	109.72	110.02			110.37(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	7	-7	1.18	63%	0.05	-16.3	0.35%	0	0.6	50	0
2	May_3_2016	108.93	110.08	109.72	109.88			110.17(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	11	-30	2.33	63%	0.04	-20	0.35%	0	0.2	44	0
3	May_2_2016	108.89	110.1	109.65	109.66			109.52(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	-10000	3	-57	2.23	64%	0.03	-26	0.34%	0	-1.1	37	0
4	Apr_29_2016	108.86	110.14	109.73	109.61			110(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	6	-64	2.86	66%	0.04	-20.4	0.35%	0	-0.3	36	0
5	Apr_28_2016	108.82	110.15	109.78	109.49			110.04(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-17	-10000	5	-82	2.81	66%	0.04	-20.4	0.35%	0	-0.2	36	0

6	Apr_27_2016	108.78	110.16	109.79	109.39			109.66(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-27	-10000	-1	-105	1.73	64%	0.03	-16.3	0.35%	0	-0.9	28	0
7	Apr_26_2016	108.75	110.18	109.87	109.4			109.06(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-13	-111	1.13	63%	0.03	-6.4	0.35%	0	-2.2	32	0
8	Apr_25_2016	108.72	110.24	110.01	109.64			109.29(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-12	-98	1.42	63%	0.04	15.6	0.34%	0	-1.9	31	0
9	Apr_22_2016	108.68	110.24	110.17	109.87			109.41(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-12	-70	0.95	63%	0.04	31	0.35%	0	-1.8	41	0
10	Apr_21_2016	108.64	110.24	110.31	110.1			109.53(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-7	-39	1.64	63%	0.03	45.5	0.35%	0	-1.5	45	0

11	Apr_20_2016	108.61	110.25	110.47	110.24			109.71(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-8	-19	1.94	64%	0.04	52.2	0.35%	0	-1.1	44	0
12	Apr_19_2016	108.57	110.22	110.55	110.4			110.27(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-2	4	1.22	67%	0.04	55.6	0.35%	0	0.1	56	0
13	Apr_18_2016	108.53	110.16	110.6	110.43			110.45(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10000	-4	16	1.3	67%	0.04	56.9	0.35%	0	0.5	56	0
14	Apr_15_2016	108.49	110.11	110.59	110.51			110.56(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-3	37	1.66	69%	0.02	67.8	0.35%	0	0.7	66	0
15	Apr_14_2016	108.47	110.04	110.55	110.57			110.23(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-8	53	1.4	69%	0.04	72.1	0.35%	0	0.3	65	0

16	Apr_13_2016	108.43	109.98	110.57	110.57			110.49(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	0	87	1.47	70%	0.05	75	0.35%	0	0.7	67	0
17	Apr_12_2016	108.38	109.88	110.52	110.73			110.41(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-3	103	1.36	71%	0.04	63.8	0.35%	0	0.7	71	0
18	Apr_11_2016	108.34	109.79	110.49	110.79			110.85(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	6	129	0.88	74%	0.05	60.3	0.35%	0	1.3	73	0
19	Apr_8_2016	108.29	109.67	110.35	110.67			110.87(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	7	119	1.31	74%	0.05	52.7	0.36%	0	1.5	67	0
20	Apr_7_2016	108.24	109.56	110.19	110.53			111.04(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	7	111	2.07	74%	0.06	46.5	0.36%	0	1.9	71	0

21	Apr_6_2016	108.18	109.46	110.01	110.39			110.47(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	6	107	1.65	74%	0.05	43.8	0.35%	0	1.4	68	0
22	Apr_5_2016	108.13	109.4	109.85	110.28			110.71(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	6	102	1.95	74%	0.05	43.3	0.36%	0	2	76	0
23	Apr_4_2016	108.08	109.31	109.68	110.16			110.27(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	10	107	3.04	74%	0.04	29.6	0.35%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Apr_1_2016	108.04	109.24	109.58	109.97			110.14(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	9	102	5.49	74%	0.05	12	0.36%	0	1.6	74	0
25	Mar_31_2016	107.99	109.2	109.48	109.78			110.34(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	11	94	3.76	74%		-10.6	0.36%	0	2.2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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