Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $110.2700 (0.12%) ($110.1100 - $110.3400) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $110.2700(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    LQD(68%)    BNDX(60%)    BND(59%)    BWX(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-68%)    XLF(-28%)    OIH(-24%)    IWD(-22%)    IVE(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.16(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.68(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.31(0.88%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2016	108.08	109.31	109.68	110.16			110.27(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	10	107	3.04	74%	0.04	29.6	0.35%	0	1.6	74	0
2	Apr_1_2016	108.04	109.24	109.58	109.97			110.14(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	9	102	5.49	74%	0.05	12	0.36%	0	1.6	74	0
3	Mar_31_2016	107.99	109.2	109.48	109.78			110.34(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	11	94	3.76	74%	0.06	-10.6	0.36%	0	2.2	70	0
4	Mar_30_2016	107.93	109.15	109.34	109.57			109.94(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	11	78	2.81	73%	0.04	-37.5	0.36%	0	1.8	59	0
5	Mar_29_2016	107.89	109.12	109.19	109.35			110.09(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	-10000	11	46	2.98	70%	0.06	-65.8	0.36%	0	2.4	54	0

6	Mar_28_2016	107.83	109.13	109.03	109.35			109.35(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	0	19	1.29	68%	0.06	-69.8	0.35%	0	0.5	55	0
7	Mar_24_2016	107.77	109.18	108.93	109.13			109.19(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	9	1.55	68%	0.03	-51.7	0.35%	0	0	50	0
8	Mar_23_2016	107.74	109.25	108.89	109.12			109.3(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	3	-2	1.41	68%	0.03	-46.2	0.35%	0	0.1	46	0
9	Mar_22_2016	107.71	109.31	108.86	109.07			108.8(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-10000	3	-11	1.44	66%	0.02	-42	0.35%	0	-0.7	43	0
10	Mar_21_2016	107.69	109.4	108.92	109			109.03(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	6	-16	1.73	66%	0.02	-42.9	0.35%	0	-0.5	42	0

11	Mar_18_2016	107.67	109.46	108.91	108.89			109.34(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	10	-49	2.43	68%	0.03	-47.2	0.35%	0	-0.2	34	0
12	Mar_17_2016	107.64	109.52	108.88	108.7			109.15(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	4	-86	2.75	69%	0.02	-56.8	0.35%	0	-0.5	35	0
13	Mar_16_2016	107.62	109.58	108.91	108.62			109.03(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-10000	-1	-115	2.05	69%	0.01	-63.5	0.36%	0	-0.7	30	0
14	Mar_15_2016	107.61	109.63	108.93	108.63			108.46(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-11	-142	2.96	67%	0	-66.2	0.35%	0	-1.4	28	0
15	Mar_14_2016	107.61	109.72	109.04	108.84			108.48(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-5	-137	2.66	63%	0.02	-64.8	0.35%	0	-1.6	28	0

16	Mar_11_2016	107.59	109.83	109.24	108.93			108.4(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-7	-124	1.79	65%	0	-61.2	0.37%	0	-1.9	31	0
17	Mar_10_2016	107.59	109.98	109.44	109.07			108.71(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-8	-114	2.8	65%	0.01	-45.5	0.38%	0	-1.7	32	0
18	Mar_9_2016	107.58	110.1	109.66	109.23			109.1(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-3	-96	1.54	65%	0.01	-31.7	0.38%	0	-1.4	34	0
19	Mar_8_2016	107.57	110.18	109.81	109.23			109.53(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	0	-86	1.75	67%	0.02	-25.4	0.37%	0	-1	46	0
20	Mar_7_2016	107.55	110.23	109.91	109.28			108.9(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-17	-90	2.35	66%	0.01	-12.1	0.37%	0	-2.1	36	0

21	Mar_4_2016	107.54	110.28	110.07	109.62			109.12(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-12	-65	1.78	67%	0.01	7.7	0.37%	0	-2	34	0
22	Mar_3_2016	107.53	110.28	110.21	109.87			109.49(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-14	-61	2.09	61%	0.01	31.3	0.36%	0	-1.6	29	0
23	Mar_2_2016	107.52	110.32	110.32	110.16			109.36(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-12	-39	3.01	61%	0.01	53.1	0.39%	0	-1.8	36	0
24	Mar_1_2016	107.51	110.34	110.4	110.41			109.55(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-10	-27	5.9	62%	0.02	79.2	0.39%	0	-1.5	42	0
25	Feb_29_2016	107.49	110.31	110.48	110.62			110.57(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	3.86	67%		82.1	0.37%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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