Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $109.3400 (0.17%) ($109.2100 - $109.4700) on Fri. Mar. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $109.3400(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(69%)    LQD(68%)    BNDX(60%)    BND(59%)    BWX(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-68%)    XLF(-28%)    OIH(-24%)    IWD(-22%)    IVE(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $109.46
5 Day Moving Average   $108.89(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.91(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.46(-0.11%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2016	107.67	109.46	108.91	108.89			109.34(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	10	-49	2.43	68%	0.03	-47.2	0.35%	0	-0.2	34	0
2	Mar_17_2016	107.64	109.52	108.88	108.7			109.15(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	4	-86	2.75	69%	0.02	-56.8	0.35%	0	-0.5	35	0
3	Mar_16_2016	107.62	109.58	108.91	108.62			109.03(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-10000	-1	-115	2.05	69%	0.01	-63.5	0.36%	0	-0.7	30	0
4	Mar_15_2016	107.61	109.63	108.93	108.63			108.46(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-11	-142	2.96	67%	0	-66.2	0.35%	0	-1.4	28	0
5	Mar_14_2016	107.61	109.72	109.04	108.84			108.48(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-5	-137	2.66	63%	0.02	-64.8	0.35%	0	-1.6	28	0

6	Mar_11_2016	107.59	109.83	109.24	108.93			108.4(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-7	-124	1.79	65%	0	-61.2	0.37%	0	-1.9	31	0
7	Mar_10_2016	107.59	109.98	109.44	109.07			108.71(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-8	-114	2.8	65%	0.01	-45.5	0.38%	0	-1.7	32	0
8	Mar_9_2016	107.58	110.1	109.66	109.23			109.1(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-3	-96	1.54	65%	0.01	-31.7	0.38%	0	-1.4	34	0
9	Mar_8_2016	107.57	110.18	109.81	109.23			109.53(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	0	-86	1.75	67%	0.02	-25.4	0.37%	0	-1	46	0
10	Mar_7_2016	107.55	110.23	109.91	109.28			108.9(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-17	-90	2.35	66%	0.01	-12.1	0.37%	0	-2.1	36	0

11	Mar_4_2016	107.54	110.28	110.07	109.62			109.12(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-12	-65	1.78	67%	0.01	7.7	0.37%	0	-2	34	0
12	Mar_3_2016	107.53	110.28	110.21	109.87			109.49(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-14	-61	2.09	61%	0.01	31.3	0.36%	0	-1.6	29	0
13	Mar_2_2016	107.52	110.32	110.32	110.16			109.36(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-12	-39	3.01	61%	0.01	53.1	0.39%	0	-1.8	36	0
14	Mar_1_2016	107.51	110.34	110.4	110.41			109.55(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-10	-27	5.9	62%	0.02	79.2	0.39%	0	-1.5	42	0
15	Feb_29_2016	107.49	110.31	110.4	110.62			110.57(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	3.86	67%	0.03	82.1	0.37%	0	0.4	50	0

16	Feb_26_2016	107.46	110.24	110.48	110.58			110.39(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-1	-5	2.96	67%	0.04	82	0.37%	0	0.2	58	0
17	Feb_25_2016	107.42	110.15	110.57	110.6			110.93(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	4	23	1.98	70%	0.03	76.8	0.37%	0	1	66	0
18	Feb_24_2016	107.39	110.03	110.57	110.51			110.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	6	38	2.95	70%	0.03	69.3	0.37%	0	0.7	66	0
19	Feb_23_2016	107.36	109.92	110.57	110.39			110.6(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	42	2.26	70%	0.03	63.8	0.37%	0	0.8	64	0
20	Feb_22_2016	107.33	109.81	110.56	110.32			110.38(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-2	61	1.01	70%	0.02	59.3	0.37%	0	0.6	69	0

21	Feb_19_2016	107.31	109.69	110.51	110.36			110.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-9	71	1.34	70%	0.03	58.7	0.37%	0	0.8	64	0
22	Feb_18_2016	107.28	109.57	110.43	110.55			110.49(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-4	105	3.13	70%	0.02	64.2	0.37%	0	0.9	68	0
23	Feb_17_2016	107.26	109.47	110.32	110.63			109.98(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	-10000	-6	131	4.86	69%	0.03	72.6	0.36%	0	0.5	67	0
24	Feb_16_2016	107.23	109.37	110.28	110.75			110.25(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	38	-10000	-3	160	2.82	69%	0.03	77	0.36%	0	0.8	70	0
25	Feb_12_2016	107.2	109.25	110.14	110.82			110.58(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	52	-10000	8	182	3.26	70%		82.2	0.36%	0	1.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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