Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $107.2200 (0.27%) ($107.0100 - $107.3100) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $107.2200(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(70%)    LQD(68%)    BND(60%)    BNDX(60%)    TIP(54%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-69%)    XLF(-30%)    OIH(-25%)    IVE(-24%)    XOP(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.63(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.54(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.28(0.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.4% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	106.19	106.28	106.54	106.63			107.22(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	7	34	1.93	50%	-0.02	82.5	0.44%	0	2.2	57	0
2	Aug_19_2015	106.21	106.21	106.41	106.46			106.93(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	23	1.44	48%	-0.01	79.5	0.44%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Aug_18_2015	106.22	106.12	106.29	106.4			106.28(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-4	16	0.69	44%	-0.02	77.5	0.44%	0	0.4	57	0
4	Aug_17_2015	106.24	106.07	106.27	106.48			106.45(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	4	28	0.91	44%	-0.02	78.3	0.45%	0	0.8	57	0
5	Aug_14_2015	106.26	105.99	106.28	106.39			106.26(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-2	25	0.61	47%	-0.01	73.5	0.45%	0	0.5	51	0

6	Aug_13_2015	106.27	105.94	106.29	106.43			106.37(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	3	36	1.63	47%	-0.02	76.5	0.46%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Aug_12_2015	106.29	105.87	106.24	106.35			106.65(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	8	35	1.77	47%	-0.02	67.9	0.46%	0	1.4	60	0
8	Aug_11_2015	106.31	105.79	106.15	106.15			106.69(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	5	25	2.26	44%	-0.02	50	0.46%	0	1.6	64	0
9	Aug_10_2015	106.33	105.7	106.06	106.02			105.99(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-5	21	1.12	41%	-0.03	33.3	0.46%	0	0.5	61	0
10	Aug_7_2015	106.36	105.62	106.07	106.02			106.43(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	0	47	1.53	43%	-0.01	30.5	0.46%	0	1.3	69	0

11	Aug_6_2015	106.37	105.53	106.01	106.15			106.01(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	56	0.73	42%	-0.03	32.1	0.47%	0	0.8	63	0
12	Aug_5_2015	106.4	105.49	105.98	106.11			105.64(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	-10000	-0	61	1.28	42%	-0.01	38.6	0.47%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Aug_4_2015	106.41	105.51	105.95	106.12			106.05(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	67	1.04	42%	-0.01	47.4	0.46%	0	0.9	65	0
14	Aug_3_2015	106.42	105.49	105.87	106.08			106.6(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	20	-10000	3	72	2.63	43%	0	50.9	0.46%	0	1.9	79	0
15	Jul_31_2015	106.42	105.43	105.7	105.99			106.44(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	22	-10000	5	72	1.11	41%	0	62.7	0.46%	0	1.9	80	0

16	Jul_30_2015	106.42	105.34	105.56	105.86			105.82(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	1	67	0.68	39%	-0.01	60.4	0.47%	0	0.9	69	0
17	Jul_29_2015	106.43	105.26	105.48	105.84			105.7(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	4	65	2.11	39%	-0.01	51	0.47%	0	0.8	53	0
18	Jul_28_2015	106.44	105.23	105.42	105.75			105.85(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	6	50	6.21	38%	0	52	0.47%	0	1.2	44	0
19	Jul_27_2015	106.44	105.19	105.3	105.61			106.15(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	32	1.39	38%	0.01	52.1	0.47%	0	1.9	52	0
20	Jul_24_2015	106.43	105.09	105.12	105.35			105.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	6	1	1.1	38%	-0.01	22.4	0.47%	0	1.4	53	0

21	Jul_23_2015	106.44	105.03	105	105.2			105.7(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	5	-9	1.06	38%	-0.01	10.4	0.47%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Jul_22_2015	106.45	104.98	104.96	105.07			105.27(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	1	-9	0.52	36%	-0.01	0	0.47%	0	0.6	60	0
23	Jul_21_2015	106.46	104.95	105.03	105.04			105.14(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	4	2	0.68	36%	-0.02	-8.7	0.47%	0	0.4	51	0
24	Jul_20_2015	106.48	104.93	105.07	104.95			104.85(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	-10000	4	0	0.84	36%	-0.02	-13	0.47%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	Jul_17_2015	106.5	104.97	105.13	104.85			105.06(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	3	8	0.88	36%		-8.2	0.47%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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