Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $105.3700 (-0.7%) ($105.3500 - $105.7200) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $105.3700(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(71%)    LQD(68%)    BND(60%)    BNDX(60%)    TIP(55%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-69%)    XLF(-30%)    OIH(-25%)    IVE(-24%)    XOP(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.45(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.08(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.02(0.33%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2015	106.65	105.02	105.08	105.45			105.37(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	9	35	1.21	38%	-0.02	52.1	0.46%	0	0.7	51	0
2	Jul_8_2015	106.67	104.95	105.03	105.24			106.11(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	9	15	1.99	40%	0	30.2	0.46%	0	2.1	54	0
3	Jul_7_2015	106.67	104.85	104.86	105.02			105.69(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	4	-9	2.08	40%	-0.01	10.2	0.45%	0	1.6	52	0
4	Jul_6_2015	106.68	104.79	104.77	104.94			105.41(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	12	-11	1.72	40%	-0.03	-11.1	0.45%	0	1.3	54	0
5	Jul_2_2015	106.71	104.73	104.78	104.67			104.67(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	0	-23	1.92	37%	-0.03	-52.3	0.44%	0	-0.1	52	0

6	Jul_1_2015	106.74	104.76	104.83	104.66			104.3(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-5	-20	3.74	37%	-0.03	-70.5	0.44%	0	-1	48	0
7	Jun_30_2015	106.77	104.78	104.93	104.77			105.01(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	5	9	1.6	39%	-0.03	-80.4	0.43%	0	0.5	62	0
8	Jun_29_2015	106.8	104.8	104.95	104.67			105.3(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	4	14	1.5	39%	-0.02	-83.3	0.43%	0	0.9	59	0
9	Jun_26_2015	106.82	104.84	104.9	104.59			104.09(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-10000	-15	4	1.44	32%	-0.06	-70.6	0.41%	0	-1.1	47	0
10	Jun_25_2015	106.88	104.97	104.96	104.92			104.59(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	38	0.92	33%	-0.05	-48.7	0.41%	0	-0.5	53	0

11	Jun_24_2015	106.93	105.08	104.97	105.04			104.85(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	41	1.18	33%	-0.04	-36.6	0.41%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Jun_23_2015	106.97	105.16	104.88	105.12			104.54(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-6	37	0.93	33%	-0.06	-26.1	0.41%	0	-0.7	50	0
13	Jun_22_2015	107.03	105.27	104.85	105.26			104.86(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	34	0.86	33%	-0.06	-18	0.41%	0	-0.4	44	0
14	Jun_19_2015	107.09	105.34	104.82	105.25			105.75(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	12	17	1.85	35%	-0.04	-21.1	0.4%	0	0.4	43	0
15	Jun_18_2015	107.13	105.36	104.68	105.01			105.19(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	6	-37	1.48	38%	-0.04	-26.1	0.4%	0	-0.2	34	0

16	Jun_17_2015	107.17	105.39	104.67	104.89			105.27(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	13	-62	1.99	38%	-0.04	-28.3	0.43%	0	-0.1	35	0
17	Jun_16_2015	107.21	105.4	104.6	104.6			105.21(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	-10000	9	-112	0.78	38%	-0.04	-38	0.43%	0	-0.2	35	0
18	Jun_15_2015	107.25	105.44	104.61	104.4			104.81(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	-10000	3	-147	1.48	38%	-0.05	-41.9	0.43%	0	-0.6	31	0
19	Jun_12_2015	107.3	105.54	104.74	104.34			104.56(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	1	-153	1.58	38%	-0.04	-43.2	0.43%	0	-1	37	0
20	Jun_11_2015	107.34	105.61	104.96	104.31			104.62(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-10000	-5	-155	3.07	38%	-0.04	-47.8	0.43%	0	-1	36	0

21	Jun_10_2015	107.38	105.67	105.17	104.42			103.8(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-10000	-7	-141	0.97	34%	-0.06	-46.7	0.42%	0	-2	36	0
22	Jun_9_2015	107.44	105.77	105.47	104.58			104.2(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-10000	-12	-119	0.82	34%	-0.03	-51.9	0.42%	0	-1.9	41	0
23	Jun_8_2015	107.47	105.86	105.73	104.85			104.54(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-16	-92	0.88	34%	-0.05	-52.8	0.42%	0	-1.7	40	0
24	Jun_5_2015	107.52	105.97	105.9	105.2			104.39(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-22	-74	1.38	31%	-0.05	-44.8	0.44%	0	-2.2	34	0
25	Jun_4_2015	107.57	106.07	106.12	105.71			105.15(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-15	-33	1.59	33%		-37.9	0.43%	0	-1.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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