Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $108.3100 (0.41%) ($108.1200 - $108.3100) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $108.3100(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(72%)    LQD(69%)    BND(61%)    BNDX(60%)    TIP(56%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-70%)    XLF(-30%)    OIH(-25%)    IVE(-24%)    XOP(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.73(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.14(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.02(1.21%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2015	106.83	107.02	107.14	107.73			108.31(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	13	90	1.19	53%	0.03	36.2	0.49%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Mar_19_2015	106.8	106.93	106.86	107.38			107.87(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	9	45	0.99	54%	0.03	18.8	0.49%	0	1.4	49	0
3	Mar_18_2015	106.77	106.87	106.72	107.15			108.38(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	16	-10000	13	26	1.96	52%	0.03	3.3	0.49%	0	2.4	56	0
4	Mar_17_2015	106.74	106.79	106.52	106.8			107.15(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	6	-14	0.77	47%	0.02	-17.3	0.48%	0	0.7	41	0
5	Mar_16_2015	106.72	106.75	106.44	106.65			106.93(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	8	-37	0.64	48%	0.01	-36.5	0.48%	0	0.3	40	0

6	Mar_13_2015	106.71	106.76	106.4	106.46			106.56(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	8	-56	0.85	48%	0.02	-50.9	0.48%	0	-0.4	45	0
7	Mar_12_2015	106.69	106.81	106.5	106.25			106.72(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	1	-61	0.92	50%	0	-70.9	0.49%	0	-0.2	51	0
8	Mar_11_2015	106.69	106.84	106.54	106.22			106.62(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	1	-57	0.95	50%	0.01	-86	0.5%	0	-0.4	50	0
9	Mar_10_2015	106.68	106.89	106.65	106.22			106.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	0	-50	1.31	51%	0	-98.3	0.5%	0	-0.7	46	0
10	Mar_9_2015	106.68	106.95	106.78	106.2			105.98(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.22	52%	0	-111.7	0.5%	0	-1.5	48	0

11	Mar_6_2015	106.68	107.05	106.9	106.34			105.49(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-16	-36	1.73	53%	-0.01	-128.8	0.5%	0	-2.5	38	0
12	Mar_5_2015	106.69	107.23	107.03	106.77			106.58(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-5	-16	2.25	54%	0	-108.1	0.48%	0	-1	42	0
13	Mar_4_2015	106.69	107.36	107.05	106.91			106.52(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-10	-17	1.87	55%	0	-89.3	0.49%	0	-1.1	42	0
14	Mar_3_2015	106.69	107.5	107.1	107.18			106.44(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-10	-6	1.22	55%	0.01	-74.1	0.49%	0	-1.2	40	0
15	Mar_2_2015	106.68	107.68	107.11	107.45			106.67(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-3	0	10.27	54%	0.01	-50.5	0.49%	0	-1	40	0

16	Feb_27_2015	106.67	107.86	107.17	107.54			107.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	9	2	2.9	56%	0.03	-38	0.47%	0	-0.2	46	0
17	Feb_26_2015	106.64	107.95	107.15	107.33			107.26(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	5	-29	0.87	56%	0.02	-38.4	0.48%	0	-0.6	31	0
18	Feb_25_2015	106.62	108.08	107.17	107.21			107.9(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	8	-58	0.6	58%	0.04	-34.7	0.47%	0	-0.1	32	0
19	Feb_24_2015	106.58	108.14	107.12	107.02			107.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	11	-90	1.18	58%	0.04	-39.8	0.47%	0	-0.3	33	0
20	Feb_23_2015	106.54	108.2	107.11	106.74			107.09(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-1	-144	0.82	56%	0.03	-46.2	0.46%	0	-0.9	20	0

21	Feb_20_2015	106.51	108.31	107.18	106.76			106.6(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-50	-10000	-8	-177	1.89	55%	0.03	-49.2	0.46%	0	-1.3	13	0
22	Feb_19_2015	106.48	108.42	107.41	106.95			106.66(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-7	-172	1.46	55%	0.02	-49.1	0.46%	0	-1.5	28	0
23	Feb_18_2015	106.46	108.53	107.68	107.11			106.93(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-5	-170	8.2	55%	0.03	-47.6	0.46%	0	-1.4	27	0
24	Feb_17_2015	106.43	108.66	107.91	107.24			106.42(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-10000	-11	-166	2.17	54%	0.06	-44.4	0.46%	0	-2.1	33	0
25	Feb_13_2015	106.37	108.8	108.29	107.51			107.18(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-6	-138	1.3	56%		-36.8	0.45%	0	-1.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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