Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $106.5600 (-0.15%) ($106.5000 - $106.9300) on Fri. Mar. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $106.5600(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(72%)    LQD(69%)    BND(61%)    BNDX(60%)    TIP(56%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-71%)    XLF(-30%)    OIH(-25%)    IVE(-23%)    XOP(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $106.76
5 Day Moving Average   $106.46(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.4(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.76(-0.19%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2015	106.71	106.76	106.4	106.46			106.56(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	8	-56	0.85	48%	0.02	-50.9	0.48%	0	-0.4	45	0
2	Mar_12_2015	106.69	106.81	106.5	106.25			106.72(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	1	-61	0.92	50%	0	-70.9	0.49%	0	-0.2	51	0
3	Mar_11_2015	106.69	106.84	106.54	106.22			106.62(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	1	-57	0.95	50%	0.01	-86	0.5%	0	-0.4	50	0
4	Mar_10_2015	106.68	106.89	106.65	106.22			106.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	0	-50	1.31	51%	0	-98.3	0.5%	0	-0.7	46	0
5	Mar_9_2015	106.68	106.95	106.78	106.2			105.98(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.22	52%	0	-111.7	0.5%	0	-1.5	48	0

6	Mar_6_2015	106.68	107.05	106.9	106.34			105.49(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-16	-36	1.73	53%	-0.01	-128.8	0.5%	0	-2.5	38	0
7	Mar_5_2015	106.69	107.23	107.03	106.77			106.58(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-5	-16	2.25	54%	0	-108.1	0.48%	0	-1	42	0
8	Mar_4_2015	106.69	107.36	107.05	106.91			106.52(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-10	-17	1.87	55%	0	-89.3	0.49%	0	-1.1	42	0
9	Mar_3_2015	106.69	107.5	107.1	107.18			106.44(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-10	-6	1.22	55%	0.01	-74.1	0.49%	0	-1.2	40	0
10	Mar_2_2015	106.68	107.68	107.11	107.45			106.67(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-3	0	10.27	54%	0.01	-50.5	0.49%	0	-1	40	0

11	Feb_27_2015	106.67	107.86	107.17	107.54			107.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	9	2	2.9	56%	0.03	-38	0.47%	0	-0.2	46	0
12	Feb_26_2015	106.64	107.95	107.15	107.33			107.26(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	5	-29	0.87	56%	0.02	-38.4	0.48%	0	-0.6	31	0
13	Feb_25_2015	106.62	108.08	107.17	107.21			107.9(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	8	-58	0.6	58%	0.04	-34.7	0.47%	0	-0.1	32	0
14	Feb_24_2015	106.58	108.14	107.12	107.02			107.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	11	-90	1.18	58%	0.04	-39.8	0.47%	0	-0.3	33	0
15	Feb_23_2015	106.54	108.2	107.11	106.74			107.09(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-1	-144	0.82	56%	0.03	-46.2	0.46%	0	-0.9	20	0

16	Feb_20_2015	106.51	108.31	107.18	106.76			106.6(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-50	-10000	-8	-177	1.89	55%	0.03	-49.2	0.46%	0	-1.3	13	0
17	Feb_19_2015	106.48	108.42	107.41	106.95			106.66(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-7	-172	1.46	55%	0.02	-49.1	0.46%	0	-1.5	28	0
18	Feb_18_2015	106.46	108.53	107.68	107.11			106.93(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-5	-170	8.2	55%	0.03	-47.6	0.46%	0	-1.4	27	0
19	Feb_17_2015	106.43	108.66	107.91	107.24			106.42(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-10000	-11	-166	2.17	54%	0.06	-44.4	0.46%	0	-2.1	33	0
20	Feb_13_2015	106.37	108.8	108.29	107.51			107.18(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-6	-138	1.3	56%	0.04	-36.8	0.45%	0	-1.7	38	0

21	Feb_12_2015	106.33	108.94	108.62	107.65			107.54(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-13	-122	1.85	56%	0.05	-23.2	0.44%	0	-1.6	38	0
22	Feb_11_2015	106.28	109.02	108.83	107.96			107.5(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-16	-92	1.29	56%	0.04	-9.2	0.44%	0	-1.8	45	0
23	Feb_10_2015	106.24	109.08	109.09	108.35			107.54(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-15	-52	1.24	55%	0.04	7	0.44%	0	-2	43	0
24	Feb_9_2015	106.2	109.13	109.27	108.71			107.81(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-20	-33	1.6	55%	0.05	29.7	0.45%	0	-1.9	41	0
25	Feb_6_2015	106.15	109.15	109.4	109.19			107.86(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-22	-2	2.02	55%		60.3	0.45%	0	-1.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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