Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $107.2600 (-0.59%) ($107.2500 - $107.8600) on Thu. Feb. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $107.2600(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(72%)    LQD(69%)    BND(61%)    BNDX(60%)    TIP(56%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-71%)    XLF(-30%)    OIH(-24%)    IVE(-23%)    XOP(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $107.95
5 Day Moving Average   $107.33(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.15(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.95(-0.64%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2015	106.64	107.95	107.15	107.33			107.26(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	5	-29	0.87	56%	0.02	-38.4	0.48%	0	-0.6	31	0
2	Feb_25_2015	106.62	108.08	107.17	107.21			107.9(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	8	-58	0.6	58%	0.04	-34.7	0.47%	0	-0.1	32	0
3	Feb_24_2015	106.58	108.14	107.12	107.02			107.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	11	-90	1.18	58%	0.04	-39.8	0.47%	0	-0.3	33	0
4	Feb_23_2015	106.54	108.2	107.11	106.74			107.09(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-1	-144	0.82	56%	0.03	-46.2	0.46%	0	-0.9	20	0
5	Feb_20_2015	106.51	108.31	107.18	106.76			106.6(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-50	-10000	-8	-177	1.89	55%	0.03	-49.2	0.46%	0	-1.3	13	0

6	Feb_19_2015	106.48	108.42	107.41	106.95			106.66(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-7	-172	1.46	55%	0.02	-49.1	0.46%	0	-1.5	28	0
7	Feb_18_2015	106.46	108.53	107.68	107.11			106.93(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-5	-170	8.2	55%	0.03	-47.6	0.46%	0	-1.4	27	0
8	Feb_17_2015	106.43	108.66	107.91	107.24			106.42(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-10000	-11	-166	2.17	54%	0.06	-44.4	0.46%	0	-2.1	33	0
9	Feb_13_2015	106.37	108.8	108.29	107.51			107.18(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-6	-138	1.3	56%	0.04	-36.8	0.45%	0	-1.7	38	0
10	Feb_12_2015	106.33	108.94	108.62	107.65			107.54(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-13	-122	1.85	56%	0.05	-23.2	0.44%	0	-1.6	38	0

11	Feb_11_2015	106.28	109.02	108.83	107.96			107.5(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-16	-92	1.29	56%	0.04	-9.2	0.44%	0	-1.8	45	0
12	Feb_10_2015	106.24	109.08	109.09	108.35			107.54(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-15	-52	1.24	55%	0.04	7	0.44%	0	-2	43	0
13	Feb_9_2015	106.2	109.13	109.27	108.71			107.81(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-20	-33	1.6	55%	0.05	29.7	0.45%	0	-1.9	41	0
14	Feb_6_2015	106.15	109.13	109.4	109.19			107.86(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-22	-2	2.02	55%	0.06	60.3	0.45%	0	-1.9	44	0
15	Feb_5_2015	106.09	109.15	109.56	109.73			109.08(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-4	37	1.39	59%	0.07	86.6	0.43%	0	-0.1	44	0

16	Feb_4_2015	106.02	109.1	109.52	109.83			109.48(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-4	40	1.66	59%	0.06	98.6	0.43%	0	0.5	54	0
17	Feb_3_2015	105.96	109.02	109.46	109.93			109.3(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	-10000	1	55	1.47	59%	0.07	110.8	0.43%	0	0.3	57	0
18	Feb_2_2015	105.89	108.92	109.47	109.9			110.23(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	11	72	11.54	62%	0.08	108.4	0.41%	0	1.5	63	0
19	Jan_30_2015	105.81	108.74	109.35	109.65			110.55(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	12	69	2.22	62%	0.07	100	0.41%	0	1.8	68	0
20	Jan_29_2015	105.74	108.52	109.26	109.39			109.59(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	10	81	1.39	59%	0.07	104.8	0.4%	0	1.2	67	0

21	Jan_28_2015	105.67	108.34	109.19	109.18			109.98(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	11	79	3.35	59%	0.06	84.4	0.4%	0	1.6	65	0
22	Jan_27_2015	105.61	108.13	109.04	108.94			109.14(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-2	67	0.86	56%	0.06	71.8	0.39%	0	0.9	61	0
23	Jan_26_2015	105.55	107.95	108.96	108.98			108.99(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10000	-1	87	1.55	56%	0.05	67	0.39%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Jan_23_2015	105.5	107.77	108.87	108.99			109.24(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-6	107	1.25	55%	0.06	58.2	0.39%	0	1.1	71	0
25	Jan_22_2015	105.44	107.58	108.7	109.12			108.53(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-4	144	1.33	53%		55.7	0.38%	0	0.7	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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