Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $102.6600 (0.37%) ($101.8600 - $102.6700) on Mon. Feb. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $102.6600(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(73%)    LQD(70%)    BNDX(59%)    TIP(58%)    GLD(40%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-25%)    XOP(-22%)    XLE(-22%)    SPY(-20%)    IWM(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.06(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.63(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.02(1.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2014	101.3	101.02	101.63	102.06			102.66(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	14	121	4.63	45%	0.03	78	0.36%	0	2	68	0
2	Jan_31_2014	101.27	100.86	101.46	101.8			102.28(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	7	98	0.67	40%	0.03	74.4	0.37%	0	1.8	69	0
3	Jan_30_2014	101.24	100.72	101.3	101.67			101.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	103	0.69	38%	0.02	73.3	0.37%	0	1.5	73	0
4	Jan_29_2014	101.22	100.59	101.15	101.55			101.98(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	15	110	1.42	38%	0.03	66.7	0.37%	0	1.9	76	0
5	Jan_28_2014	101.19	100.47	101.01	101.27			101.5(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	7	94	0.45	35%	0.03	53.5	0.36%	0	1.5	65	0

6	Jan_27_2014	101.16	100.37	100.94	101.14			101.35(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	4	98	0.76	35%	0.02	44.9	0.36%	0	1.4	66	0
7	Jan_24_2014	101.14	100.27	100.87	101.06			101.66(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	11	111	0.57	35%	0.03	36.8	0.36%	0	2	71	0
8	Jan_23_2014	101.11	100.17	100.68	100.87			101.25(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	9	99	1.08	32%	0.02	23	0.36%	0	1.8	68	0
9	Jan_22_2014	101.09	100.11	100.51	100.71			100.57(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	1	90	1.15	32%	0.01	14	0.35%	0	0.8	67	0
10	Jan_21_2014	101.08	100.1	100.46	100.7			100.85(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	-1	91	1.93	32%	0	10.5	0.36%	0	1.3	63	0

11	Jan_17_2014	101.08	100.06	100.36	100.71			100.96(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	4	106	0.75	36%	0.01	9.4	0.35%	0	1.7	67	0
12	Jan_16_2014	101.07	100.06	100.22	100.64			100.72(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	10	104	0.33	39%	0	4.2	0.36%	0	1.4	64	0
13	Jan_15_2014	101.07	100.06	100.11	100.46			100.44(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	11	86	1	39%	-0.01	-8.5	0.36%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Jan_14_2014	101.08	100.06	99.99	100.27			100.53(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	56	0.37	39%	0.01	-19.6	0.36%	0	1	53	0
15	Jan_13_2014	101.07	100.03	99.91	100.17			100.91(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	12	38	0.58	40%	0	-25.5	0.36%	0	1.7	52	0

16	Jan_10_2014	101.07	100.03	99.75	99.96			100.62(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	12	8	0.71	40%	0.02	-40.8	0.36%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Jan_9_2014	101.05	100.01	99.63	99.75			99.78(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	0.81	35%	0	-54.2	0.35%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Jan_8_2014	101.05	100.07	99.62	99.72			99.52(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	-10000	4	-55	1.22	35%	-0.01	-52.9	0.34%	0	-1.1	32	0
19	Jan_7_2014	101.06	100.14	99.67	99.66			100.01(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	4	-71	1.06	37%	0	-53.6	0.34%	0	-0.2	41	0
20	Jan_6_2014	101.06	100.17	99.71	99.6			99.85(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	5	-81	0.67	37%	0	-64.9	0.34%	0	-0.6	39	0

21	Jan_3_2014	101.06	100.2	99.73	99.51			99.57(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	1	-98	0.64	37%	-0.01	-77.6	0.34%	0	-1.1	38	0
22	Jan_2_2014	101.07	100.27	99.82	99.49			99.63(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10000	-1	-108	1.16	37%	-0.01	-91.1	0.34%	0	-1.1	35	0
23	Dec_31_2013	101.08	100.35	99.94	99.51			99.24(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-11	-119	1.55	34%	-0.03	-93	0.33%	0	-1.9	26	0
24	Dec_30_2013	101.11	100.44	100.08	99.69			99.69(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-9	-105	1.33	36%	-0.03	-98.1	0.33%	0	-1.4	37	0
25	Dec_27_2013	101.14	100.54	100.18	99.84			99.42(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-8	-92	0.64	36%		-83.9	0.33%	0	-2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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