Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $100.5300 (-0.38%) ($100.5100 - $100.7800) on Tue. Jan. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $100.5300(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(73%)    LQD(70%)    BNDX(59%)    TIP(58%)    GLD(40%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-25%)    XOP(-22%)    SPY(-21%)    IWM(-20%)    EWP(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.27(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.99(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.03(0.5%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.51% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2014	101.08		99.99	100.27			100.53(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	56	0.37	39%	0.01	-19.6	0.36%	0	1	53	0
2	Jan_13_2014	101.07	100.03	99.91	100.17			100.91(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	12	38	0.58	40%	0	-25.5	0.36%	0	1.7	52	0
3	Jan_10_2014	101.07	100.03	99.75	99.96			100.62(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	12	8	0.71	40%	0.02	-40.8	0.36%	0	1.2	53	0
4	Jan_9_2014	101.05	100.01	99.63	99.75			99.78(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	0.81	35%	0	-54.2	0.35%	0	-0.5	39	0
5	Jan_8_2014	101.05	100.07	99.62	99.72			99.52(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	-10000	4	-55	1.22	35%	-0.01	-52.9	0.34%	0	-1.1	32	0

6	Jan_7_2014	101.06	100.14	99.67	99.66			100.01(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	4	-71	1.06	37%	0	-53.6	0.34%	0	-0.2	41	0
7	Jan_6_2014	101.06	100.17	99.71	99.6			99.85(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	5	-81	0.67	37%	0	-64.9	0.34%	0	-0.6	39	0
8	Jan_3_2014	101.06	100.2	99.73	99.51			99.57(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	1	-98	0.64	37%	-0.01	-77.6	0.34%	0	-1.1	38	0
9	Jan_2_2014	101.07	100.27	99.82	99.49			99.63(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10000	-1	-108	1.16	37%	-0.01	-91.1	0.34%	0	-1.1	35	0
10	Dec_31_2013	101.08	100.35	99.94	99.51			99.24(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-11	-119	1.55	34%	-0.03	-93	0.33%	0	-1.9	26	0

11	Dec_30_2013	101.11	100.44	100.08	99.69			99.69(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-9	-105	1.33	36%	-0.03	-98.1	0.33%	0	-1.4	37	0
12	Dec_27_2013	101.14	100.54	100.18	99.84			99.42(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-8	-92	0.64	36%	-0.02	-83.9	0.33%	0	-2	36	0
13	Dec_26_2013	101.16	100.66	100.29	99.98			99.48(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-13	-83	0.79	36%	-0.03	-80.4	0.33%	0	-2.3	38	0
14	Dec_24_2013	101.19	100.78	100.43	100.19			99.73(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-15	-64	0.77	36%	-0.02	-63.6	0.33%	0	-1.9	37	0
15	Dec_23_2013	101.21	100.88	100.58	100.43			100.12(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-6	-39	5.24	38%	-0.02	-58.5	0.33%	0	-1.4	35	0

16	Dec_20_2013	101.23	100.96	100.65	100.53			100.44(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-32	0.51	38%	0	-57.7	0.33%	0	-1	41	0
17	Dec_19_2013	101.23	101.01	100.67	100.58			100.13(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-4	-47	0.98	38%	-0.02	-62	0.33%	0	-1.7	31	0
18	Dec_18_2013	101.25	101.07	100.72	100.65			100.55(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-3	-59	2	48%	-0.02	-63.8	0.33%	0	-1.1	33	0
19	Dec_17_2013	101.27	101.14	100.75	100.7			100.93(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.69	50%	-0.01	-55.3	0.36%	0	-0.4	34	0
20	Dec_16_2013	101.28	101.2	100.78	100.75			100.61(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-71	0.57	50%	-0.01	-38.5	0.36%	0	-1.1	33	0

21	Dec_13_2013	101.29	101.26	100.82	100.79			100.66(0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-10000	1	-78	0.43	50%	-0.02	-30.8	0.36%	0	-1.1	36	0
22	Dec_12_2013	101.31	101.33	100.92	100.78			100.51(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-1	-75	1.16	50%	-0.01	-35.3	0.36%	0	-1.6	39	0
23	Dec_11_2013	101.32	101.38	101.04	100.79			100.8(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.37	50%	-0.02	-41.7	0.36%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Dec_10_2013	101.34	101.38	101.15	100.8			101.19(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-18	-10000	-1	-69	0.33	53%	-0.01	-51.1	0.36%	0	-0.4	40	0
25	Dec_9_2013	101.35	101.4	101.2	100.81			100.77(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-77	0.54	50%		-59.6	0.36%	0	-1.3	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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