Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $102.2400 (0.35%) ($101.9400 - $102.2700) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $102.2400(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(74%)    LQD(70%)    BNDX(59%)    TIP(59%)    GLD(40%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-25%)    XOP(-22%)    SPY(-20%)    EWP(-20%)    EWI(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.72(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.71(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.23(0.01%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2013	101.44		101.71	101.72			102.24(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	11	-54	2.85	58%	0	-12.1	0.4%	0	0	39	0
2	Nov_15_2013	101.44	102.23	101.7	101.5			101.88(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	7	-86	0.36	55%	-0.01	-15.2	0.4%	0	-0.5	37	0
3	Nov_14_2013	101.45	102.25	101.71	101.36			101.96(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0.69	55%	0	-15.4	0.41%	0	-0.4	37	0
4	Nov_13_2013	101.45	102.27	101.77	101.44			101.47(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-6	-118	1.12	49%	0	-6.1	0.4%	0	-1.2	34	0
5	Nov_12_2013	101.45	102.29	101.91	101.56			101.05(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-7	-109	1.05	47%	-0.01	-1.5	0.42%	0	-1.8	26	0

6	Nov_11_2013	101.46	102.31	102.11	101.7			101.14(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-10	-98	0.14	47%	-0.01	1.5	0.42%	0	-1.7	30	0
7	Nov_8_2013	101.47	102.33	102.3	101.92			101.19(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-8	-73	2.5	47%	-0.02	6.3	0.42%	0	-1.8	42	0
8	Nov_7_2013	101.49	102.36	102.5	102.08			102.34(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.42	53%	-0.01	12.9	0.39%	0	-0	51	0
9	Nov_6_2013	101.5	102.31	102.56	102.16			102.07(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-8	-42	0.69	53%	-0.03	10.9	0.39%	0	-0.4	49	0
10	Nov_5_2013	101.53	102.31	102.67	102.32			101.76(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-14	-12	0.66	53%	-0.03	15.6	0.39%	0	-0.8	54	0

11	Nov_4_2013	101.56	102.3	102.79	102.6			102.22(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-8	37	0.44	55%	-0.03	28.1	0.39%	0	-0.1	66	0
12	Nov_1_2013	101.59	102.29	102.81	102.76			102.02(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-10	62	0.68	54%	-0.03	33.8	0.4%	0	-0.4	65	0
13	Oct_31_2013	101.62	102.28	102.85	102.97			102.75(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-2	93	0.89	57%	-0.02	41.5	0.41%	0	0.7	69	0
14	Oct_30_2013	101.64	102.24	102.81	103.01			102.87(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	110	1.75	57%	-0.02	45.3	0.41%	0	1	72	0
15	Oct_29_2013	101.66	102.19	102.71	103.06			103.14(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	2	119	0.27	57%	-0.02	49.2	0.41%	0	1.5	71	0

16	Oct_28_2013	101.68	102.12	102.53	103.02			103(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	7	114	0.6	57%	-0.02	50.8	0.41%	0	1.5	66	0
17	Oct_25_2013	101.7	102.07	102.35	102.87			103.1(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	8	95	0.55	57%	-0.02	52.7	0.41%	0	1.8	66	0
18	Oct_24_2013	101.72	102	102.2	102.71			102.92(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	81	0.59	54%	-0.03	58	0.41%	0	1.8	66	0
19	Oct_23_2013	101.75	101.94	102.04	102.59			103.13(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	13	67	0.28	54%	-0.02	65.2	0.42%	0	2.5	63	0
20	Oct_22_2013	101.77	101.88	101.88	102.3			102.95(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	-10000	16	44	0.48	54%	-0.02	70.3	0.42%	0	2.8	63	0

21	Oct_21_2013	101.79	101.81	101.75	101.96			102.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	10	16	0.32	51%	-0.03	83.3	0.41%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Oct_18_2013	101.82	101.77	101.71	101.75			102.31(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	4	-10000	7	-6	0.58	53%	-0.04	78.8	0.42%	0	1.6	51	0
23	Oct_17_2013	101.86	101.7	101.64	101.6			102.3(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	2	-10000	9	-19	2.95	53%	-0.03	82.9	0.42%	0	1.7	54	0
24	Oct_16_2013	101.89	101.63	101.61	101.42			101.72(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-34	2.34	51%	-0.04	93.9	0.42%	0	0.3	49	0
25	Oct_15_2013	101.93	101.61	101.62	101.4			101.23(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-6	-42	0.37	48%		80.9	0.41%	0	-0.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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