Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $102.1100 (0.17%) ($101.8400 - $102.1100) on Mon. Sep. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $102.1100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(74%)    LQD(70%)    BNDX(59%)    TIP(59%)    GLD(40%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-25%)    XOP(-22%)    SPY(-20%)    EWP(-20%)    EWI(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.92(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.45(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.45(1.65%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2013	102.46	100.45	101.45	101.92			102.11(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	152	3.79	48%	-0.05	35.1	0.49%	0	1.4	87	0
2	Sep_27_2013	102.51	100.35	101.22	101.77			101.94(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	8	150	2.35	50%	-0.06	34.3	0.49%	0	1.5	77	0
3	Sep_26_2013	102.57	100.27	100.99	101.58			101.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	7	145	0.57	50%	-0.06	36.6	0.49%	0	1.5	78	0
4	Sep_25_2013	102.63	100.2	100.76	101.4			102.02(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	6	144	0.57	50%	-0.06	37.9	0.49%	0	1.9	84	0
5	Sep_24_2013	102.69	100.13	100.5	101.25			101.74(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	14	142	1.15	50%	-0.07	40.2	0.49%	0	1.9	70	0

6	Sep_23_2013	102.76	100.05	100.22	100.9			101.37(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	13	112	2	50%	-0.07	37.2	0.49%	0	1.7	63	0
7	Sep_20_2013	102.83	99.98	100.02	100.58			100.99(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	11	79	0.3	46%	-0.08	27.8	0.5%	0	1.4	52	0
8	Sep_19_2013	102.91	99.9	99.83	100.3			100.89(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	11	46	1.59	42%	-0.08	11.6	0.51%	0	1.4	50	0
9	Sep_18_2013	102.99	99.83	99.6	100.01			101.24(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	13	-10000	14	8	1.34	42%	-0.08	-9.2	0.53%	0	2.2	53	0
10	Sep_17_2013	103.07	99.77	99.4	99.65			100(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	8	-34	0.94	37%	-0.09	-34.5	0.51%	0	0.4	38	0

11	Sep_16_2013	103.16	99.76	99.35	99.44			99.8(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	3	-59	1.87	37%	-0.09	-63.2	0.51%	0	0.1	44	0
12	Sep_13_2013	103.25	99.77	99.4	99.36			99.58(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	3	-64	1.17	40%	-0.09	-81	0.5%	0	-0.3	45	0
13	Sep_12_2013	103.34	99.82	99.49	99.29			99.45(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.8	39%	-0.1	-93.3	0.51%	0	-0.6	50	0
14	Sep_11_2013	103.44	99.9	99.58	99.12			99.44(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	1	-61	0.89	39%	-0.09	-100	0.52%	0	-0.7	49	0
15	Sep_10_2013	103.53	99.97	99.72	99.1			98.95(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-6	-60	1.9	39%	-0.1	-101.5	0.51%	0	-1.5	39	0

16	Sep_9_2013	103.63	100.12	99.86	99.25			99.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-8	-46	0.76	39%	-0.09	-84.2	0.51%	0	-0.9	48	0
17	Sep_6_2013	103.72	100.25	99.94	99.45			99.2(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-11	-33	1.03	37%	-0.1	-67.1	0.52%	0	-1.2	43	0
18	Sep_5_2013	103.82	100.39	99.99	99.73			98.6(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-15	-28	1.72	37%	-0.1	-50.6	0.51%	0	-2	35	0
19	Sep_4_2013	103.92	100.55	100.12	100.11			99.36(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-12	-18	0.82	39%	-0.09	-42.9	0.51%	0	-1.4	35	0
20	Sep_3_2013	104.01	100.66	100.21	100.42			99.69(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-5	-3	0.8	39%	-0.13	-35.8	0.51%	0	-1.2	38	0

21	Aug_30_2013	104.15	100.76	100.23	100.55			100.41(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	2	-15	1.04	40%	-0.07	-35	0.5%	0	-0.4	35	0
22	Aug_29_2013	104.22	100.82	100.2	100.5			100.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	8	-39	0.47	42%	-0.08	-39.2	0.5%	0	-0.3	34	0
23	Aug_28_2013	104.3	100.84	100.18	100.29			100.5(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	7	-69	0.76	39%	-0.07	-50.6	0.5%	0	-0.4	34	0
24	Aug_27_2013	104.37	100.91	100.23	100.12			100.91(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	5	-89	0.53	39%	-0.08	-55.3	0.52%	0	0	39	0
25	Aug_26_2013	104.45	100.96	100.22	99.99			100.34(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	5	-104	0.51	37%		-62.1	0.52%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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