Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $101.9200 (-0.2%) ($101.8800 - $102.2700) on Mon. Aug. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $101.9200(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(74%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(60%)    BNDX(59%)    GLD(40%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-24%)    XOP(-21%)    SPY(-20%)    XAR(-19%)    IWM(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $102.04
5 Day Moving Average   $101.9(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.78(0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.04(-0.12%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2013	105.16	102.04		101.9			101.92(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.4	35%	-0.05	12.2	0.5%	0	-0.3	41	0
2	Aug_9_2013	105.21	102.05		101.82			102.12(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	2	-24	0.56	34%	-0.05	19.5	0.51%	0	0.2	41	0
3	Aug_8_2013	105.26	102.04	101.78	101.76			102.05(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	9	-32	0.8	34%	-0.05	29.3	0.51%	0	0	40	0
4	Aug_7_2013	105.31	102.03	101.78	101.54			101.9(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-1	-52	0.49	34%	-0.05	10.6	0.51%	0	-0.3	47	0
5	Aug_6_2013	105.36	101.99	101.77	101.56			101.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.26	34%	-0.05	-2	0.5%	0	-0.9	38	0

6	Aug_5_2013	105.41	101.98	101.88	101.64			101.5(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-4	-53	0.39	34%	-0.05	-7.7	0.5%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	Aug_2_2013	105.46	101.97	102	101.73			101.82(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-41	4.36	32%	-0.04	-13.6	0.51%	0	-0.3	47	0
8	Aug_1_2013	105.5	101.91	102.09	101.8			100.96(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-9	-31	1.18	29%	-0.05	-24.6	0.5%	0	-1.5	43	0
9	Jul_31_2013	105.55	101.98	102.22	102.03			102(0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	1	-11	0.93	31%	-0.04	-14	0.49%	0	0	52	0
10	Jul_30_2013	105.59	102	102.29	102.01			101.93(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-6	4	0.31	31%	-0.04	-8.6	0.49%	0	-0.1	64	0

11	Jul_29_2013	105.63	102.02	102.32	102.15			101.96(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-7	23	0.42	31%	-0.04	1.7	0.49%	0	-0.1	59	0
12	Jul_26_2013	105.67	102.05	102.35	102.31			102.17(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-4	47	0.54	32%	-0.04	13.3	0.49%	0	0.2	63	0
13	Jul_25_2013	105.71	102.05	102.33	102.42			102.08(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-1	72	0.71	32%	-0.05	14.8	0.49%	0	0	68	0
14	Jul_24_2013	105.76	102.07	102.32	102.45			101.93(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-6	70	0.84	32%	-0.05	4.9	0.49%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Jul_23_2013	105.81	102.06	102.23	102.59			102.62(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	3	70	13.32	34%	-0.04	-12.9	0.48%	0	0.9	50	0

16	Jul_22_2013	105.85	102.01	102.1	102.51			102.74(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	55	0.45	34%	-0.05	-41	0.48%	0	1.2	51	0
17	Jul_19_2013	105.9	101.97	101.94	102.4			102.75(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	8	33	0.46	34%	-0.04	-74.1	0.48%	0	1.3	50	0
18	Jul_18_2013	105.94	101.98	101.94	102.22			102.19(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	2	-4	0.72	31%	-0.05	-93.4	0.48%	0	0.3	45	0
19	Jul_17_2013	105.99	102.04	101.72	102.17			102.67(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	-10000	14	-2	0.7	31%	-0.05	-90	0.48%	0	0.9	54	0
20	Jul_16_2013	106.04	102.14	101.67	101.82			102.22(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	8	-20	0.71	31%	-0.05	-76.6	0.47%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Jul_15_2013	106.09	102.27	101.68	101.63			102.17(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	9	-27	0.56	31%	-0.04	-67.9	0.47%	0	-0.1	53	0
22	Jul_12_2013	106.13	102.41	101.7	101.42			101.85(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	11	-36	1.92	34%	-0.05	-62.8	0.47%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Jul_11_2013	106.18	102.57	101.76	101.15			101.93(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-3	-65	0.82	34%	-0.04	-65	0.48%	0	-0.4	40	0
24	Jul_10_2013	106.22	102.69	101.77	101.21			100.92(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-13	-86	1.01	28%	-0.05	-66	0.46%	0	-1.2	28	0
25	Jul_9_2013	106.27	102.88	101.86	101.52			101.28(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-10	-103	0.56	28%		-61.1	0.46%	0	-1.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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