Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $102.5000 (-0.12%) ($101.9700 - $102.5600) on Fri. Jun. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.41% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $102.5000(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(74%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(61%)    BNDX(59%)    GLD(40%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-24%)    XOP(-21%)    SPY(-19%)    IWM(-19%)    EWI(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.205% (StdDev 0.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $100.46(-1.99%)
Resistance Level   $103.95
5 Day Moving Average   $102.13(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.89(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.95(-1.39%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 0.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2013	106.54	103.95	102.89	102.13			102.5(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-45	-10000	5	-194	1.02	34%	-0.04	-64.2	0.41%	0	-1	34	0
2	Jun_27_2013	106.58	104.09	103.16	102.03			102.62(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-54	-10000	-5	-202	0.95	36%	-0.03	-70.7	0.41%	0	-1.1	33	0
3	Jun_26_2013	106.61	104.24	103.4	102.13			102.07(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-10000	-15	-209	1.02	34%	-0.04	-73.1	0.41%	0	-1.6	24	0
4	Jun_25_2013	106.65	104.42	103.65	102.44			101.66(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-77	-10000	-32	-210	0.77	34%	-0.05	-77.7	0.41%	0	-2.2	21	0
5	Jun_24_2013	106.7	104.61	103.98	103.11			101.78(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-65	-10000	-31	-165	2.73	34%	-0.04	-78.5	0.41%	0	-2.5	29	0

6	Jun_21_2013	106.74	104.85	104.29	103.77			102.03(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-55	-10000	-31	-125	1.78	34%	-0.04	-75.3	0.41%	0	-2.9	28	0
7	Jun_20_2013	106.78	105.08	104.59	104.43			103.12(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-36	-10000	-21	-81	1.98	35%	-0.03	-80.6	0.39%	0	-2.6	33	0
8	Jun_19_2013	106.81	105.24	104.86	104.85			103.59(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-8	-42	1.28	38%	-0.02	-82.3	0.39%	0	-2.5	33	0
9	Jun_18_2013	106.83	105.42	104.86	105.01			105.03(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	2	-28	0.43	44%	-0.01	-72.6	0.36%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Jun_17_2013	106.84	105.5	105.07	104.98			105.09(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	5	-31	0.48	44%	-0.02	-71.6	0.36%	0	-0.6	49	0

11	Jun_14_2013	106.86	105.59	105.09	104.89			105.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	5	-55	0.6	46%	-0.01	-72.2	0.36%	0	-0.3	39	0
12	Jun_13_2013	106.87	105.69	105.08	104.8			105.2(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-26	-10000	-6	-84	1.18	46%	-0.02	-70.4	0.36%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Jun_12_2013	106.89	105.78	105.12	104.9			104.41(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-13	-91	0.53	42%	-0.03	-70.2	0.35%	0	-1.5	31	0
14	Jun_11_2013	106.92	105.9	105.24	105.13			104.88(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-2	-93	0.76	44%	-0.02	-72.5	0.34%	0	-1.2	28	0
15	Jun_10_2013	106.94	106.01	105.28	105.17			104.62(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-8	-118	0.69	44%	-0.03	-76.3	0.34%	0	-1.6	29	0

16	Jun_7_2013	106.97	106.15	105.45	105.31			104.88(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-112	0.65	41%	-0.02	-80.5	0.35%	0	-1.5	30	0
17	Jun_6_2013	106.99	106.3	105.6	105.4			105.7(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	1	-123	2.47	42%	-0.02	-81.3	0.34%	0	-0.7	30	0
18	Jun_5_2013	107.01	106.41	105.65	105.4			105.57(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	0	-138	1.3	42%	-0.01	-82.4	0.34%	0	-0.9	36	0
19	Jun_4_2013	107.02	106.52	105.79	105.38			105.06(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-2	-139	1.24	40%	-0.02	-86.2	0.33%	0	-1.6	35	0
20	Jun_3_2013	107.04	106.66	105.97	105.41			105.33(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-12	-148	3.27	40%	-0.02	-92.9	0.33%	0	-1.5	33	0

21	May_31_2013	107.06	106.8	106.13	105.62			105.32(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-13	-138	1.64	40%	-0.01	-91.7	0.33%	0	-1.6	32	0
22	May_30_2013	107.07	106.99	106.34	105.84			105.61(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-121	0.58	40%	-0.01	-78.7	0.34%	0	-1.5	29	0
23	May_29_2013	107.08	107.16	106.48	105.97			105.6(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-16	-128	1.59	40%	-0.01	-71.4	0.34%	0	-1.6	29	0
24	May_28_2013	107.09	107.32	106.6	106.27			105.17(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-10000	-19	-124	1.16	37%	-0.01	-63.3	0.33%	0	-2.2	26	0
25	May_24_2013	107.1	107.51	106.81	106.61			106.42(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-109	0.35	46%		-57.1	0.31%	0	-1.2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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