Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $97.0600 (0.19%) ($96.5100 - $97.0800) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $97.0600(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(78%)    LQD(69%)    TIP(63%)    GLD(33%)    PCY(29%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    EWI(-28%)    SPY(-27%)    XOP(-26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.92(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.61(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.05(1.05%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2011	93.8	96.05	96.61	96.92			97.06(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	6	117	1.71	67%	0.03	73.2	0.35%	0	1.5	65	0
2	Jun_6_2011	93.77	95.96	96.49	96.82			96.88(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	5	110	1.11	67%	0.03	80.9	0.36%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Jun_3_2011	93.74	95.88	96.37	96.73			96.94(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	5	106	1.53	65%	0.03	86.4	0.37%	0	1.7	70	0
4	Jun_2_2011	93.71	95.79	96.22	96.64			96.56(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	7	105	1.74	64%	0.03	93.7	0.37%	0	1.3	71	0
5	Jun_1_2011	93.68	95.7	96.11	96.51			97.14(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	14	100	3	67%	0.04	92.2	0.37%	0	2.4	76	0

6	May_31_2011	93.64	95.56	95.97	96.26			96.59(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	9	95	2.92	65%	0.02	91.5	0.36%	0	1.8	76	0
7	May_27_2011	93.62	95.44	95.87	96.11			96.44(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	83	0.94	65%	0.03	82.5	0.37%	0	1.7	64	0
8	May_26_2011	93.59	95.34	95.76	95.95			96.45(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	11	74	0.81	65%	0.04	85.5	0.37%	0	1.9	65	0
9	May_25_2011	93.55	95.23	95.62	95.75			95.92(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	53	1.35	63%	0.02	83.9	0.37%	0	1.2	61	0
10	May_24_2011	93.53	95.13	95.55	95.75			95.91(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	0	49	0.64	63%	0.03	79.4	0.37%	0	1.3	67	0

11	May_23_2011	93.5	95.05	95.45	95.64			95.81(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	58	0.93	63%	0.02	81.5	0.37%	0	1.2	69	0
12	May_20_2011	93.48	94.95	95.4	95.6			95.68(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	69	0.67	67%	0.02	84.4	0.39%	0	1.2	70	0
13	May_19_2011	93.46	94.84	95.35	95.54			95.45(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	4	77	0.72	67%	0.02	81.4	0.39%	0	0.9	63	0
14	May_18_2011	93.44	94.74	95.32	95.46			95.35(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	2	82	0.79	67%	0.03	74.7	0.39%	0	0.9	64	0
15	May_17_2011	93.41	94.66	95.26	95.43			95.9(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	34	-10000	11	101	0.99	71%	0.02	81.6	0.38%	0	1.7	76	0

16	May_16_2011	93.39	94.55	95.12	95.23			95.62(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	3	83	0.59	71%	0.02	87.5	0.39%	0	1.6	68	0
17	May_13_2011	93.37	94.44	94.98	95.18			95.39(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	2	88	0.49	71%	0.02	97.2	0.38%	0	1.4	70	0
18	May_12_2011	93.35	94.31	94.89	95.14			95.02(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	99	0.65	70%	0.02	92.2	0.38%	0	1	71	0
19	May_11_2011	93.33	94.21	94.82	95.17			95.23(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	121	0.61	70%	0.01	95	0.38%	0	1.4	75	0
20	May_10_2011	93.32	94.08	94.69	95.06			94.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	5	116	0.66	70%	0.01	90.2	0.38%	0	1.1	65	0

21	May_9_2011	93.31	93.95	94.62	94.97			95.35(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	13	122	0.56	74%	0.02	74.4	0.38%	0	1.6	73	0
22	May_6_2011	93.29	93.79	94.46	94.74			95.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	8	103	1.04	68%	0.02	61.3	0.39%	0	1.6	74	0
23	May_5_2011	93.27	93.64	94.29	94.59			95.16(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	9	101	0.9	68%	0.03	54.3	0.4%	0	1.8	79	0
24	May_4_2011	93.24	93.5	94.11	94.42			94.69(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	9	94	1.17	62%	0.02	45.5	0.39%	0	1.5	70	0
25	May_3_2011	93.22	93.39	94.01	94.26			94.45(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	3	94	1.66	62%		41.7	0.4%	0	1.4	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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