Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $95.2300 (0.36%) ($94.7600 - $95.2700) on Wed. May. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $95.2300(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(78%)    LQD(69%)    TIP(63%)    GLD(33%)    PCY(29%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    EWI(-28%)    XOP(-26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.17(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.82(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.21(1.08%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2011	93.33	94.21	94.82	95.17			95.23(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	121	0.61	70%	0.01	95	0.38%	0	1.4	75	0
2	May_10_2011	93.32	94.08	94.69	95.06			94.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	5	116	0.66	70%	0.01	90.2	0.38%	0	1.1	65	0
3	May_9_2011	93.31	93.95	94.62	94.97			95.35(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	13	122	0.56	74%	0.02	74.4	0.38%	0	1.6	73	0
4	May_6_2011	93.29	93.79	94.46	94.74			95.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	8	103	1.04	68%	0.02	61.3	0.39%	0	1.6	74	0
5	May_5_2011	93.27	93.64	94.29	94.59			95.16(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	9	101	0.9	68%	0.03	54.3	0.4%	0	1.8	79	0

6	May_4_2011	93.24	93.5	94.11	94.42			94.69(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	9	94	1.17	62%	0.02	45.5	0.39%	0	1.5	70	0
7	May_3_2011	93.22	93.39	94.01	94.26			94.45(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	3	94	1.66	62%	0.01	41.7	0.4%	0	1.4	71	0
8	May_2_2011	93.21	93.32	93.93	94.21			94.2(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	4	110	0.63	62%	0	43	0.41%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Apr_29_2011	93.21	93.26	93.85	94.13			94.47(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	10	128	0.44	57%	0.01	40.8	0.41%	0	1.7	79	0
10	Apr_28_2011	93.2	93.18	93.68	93.93			94.28(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	9	115	0.98	57%	0	32.9	0.42%	0	1.7	72	0

11	Apr_27_2011	93.2	93.12	93.55	93.75			93.92(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	1	110	1.38	57%	-0.01	23.4	0.42%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Apr_26_2011	93.21	93.07	93.43	93.72			94.19(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	6	111	0.52	57%	-0.03	14.8	0.42%	0	2	66	0
13	Apr_25_2011	93.24	93.01	93.23	93.61			93.79(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	4	90	0.83	55%	-0.04	3.6	0.42%	0	1.5	55	0
14	Apr_21_2011	93.28	93.01	93.06	93.53			93.46(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	7	73	0.67	55%	-0.03	-13.7	0.42%	0	1	55	0
15	Apr_20_2011	93.31	92.97	92.95	93.39			93.39(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	4	52	0.71	51%	-0.05	-31.5	0.42%	0	0.8	54	0

16	Apr_19_2011	93.36	92.98	92.84	93.32			93.76(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	11	35	0.53	51%	-0.03	-39.7	0.43%	0	1.4	54	0
17	Apr_18_2011	93.39	92.98	92.73	93.1			93.64(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	15	16	0.9	51%	-0.04	-50	0.43%	0	1.2	57	0
18	Apr_15_2011	93.43	92.99	92.66	92.8			93.41(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	-10000	13	-10	0.88	51%	0	-56.7	0.43%	0	0.7	50	0
19	Apr_14_2011	93.43	93.04	92.6	92.53			92.73(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	4	-40	1.04	47%	-0.04	-56.8	0.43%	0	-0.4	43	0
20	Apr_13_2011	93.47	93.12	92.63	92.45			93.04(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	7	-53	0.68	51%	-0.05	-49.4	0.43%	0	-0.1	42	0

21	Apr_12_2011	93.52	93.2	92.64	92.45			92.68(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-10000	0	-78	1.06	51%	-0.05	-42.4	0.43%	0	-0.7	31	0
22	Apr_11_2011	93.57	93.27	92.66	92.3			92.16(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-10	-97	0.36	48%	-0.06	-34.5	0.43%	0	-1.4	21	0
23	Apr_8_2011	93.63	93.35	92.76	92.5			92.04(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-10000	-9	-93	0.6	48%	-0.05	-23.1	0.43%	0	-1.8	20	0
24	Apr_7_2011	93.68	93.43	92.88	92.69			92.31(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-7	-95	0.74	51%	-0.05	-12.5	0.43%	0	-1.7	18	0
25	Apr_6_2011	93.73	93.5	93	92.83			92.3(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10000	-9	-99	0.86	51%		4.5	0.44%	0	-1.9	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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