Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $94.8100 (0.85%) ($94.3200 - $95.2900) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $94.8100(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(78%)    LQD(69%)    TIP(63%)    GLD(32%)    PCY(28%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-29%)    SPY(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    XOP(-26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.93(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.28(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.06(1.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2011	94.52	93.06	93.28	93.93			94.81(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	16	61	1.59	57%	-0.04	80	0.52%	0	2.5	63	0
2	Mar_15_2011	94.56	92.91	93.07	93.54			94.01(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	14	33	1.66	55%	-0.05	81.5	0.51%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Mar_14_2011	94.61	92.8	92.98	93.21			93.67(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	9	9	0.81	50%	-0.06	68.8	0.51%	0	1.5	55	0
4	Mar_11_2011	94.67	92.71	92.93	92.99			93.46(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	5	5	0.69	50%	-0.05	59.4	0.53%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Mar_10_2011	94.72	92.61	92.92	92.86			93.68(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	12	13	1.58	48%	-0.06	42.6	0.53%	0	1.7	63	0

6	Mar_9_2011	94.78	92.5	92.92	92.55			92.89(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	1	0	0.63	44%	-0.07	21.5	0.53%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Mar_8_2011	94.85	92.42	92.85	92.53			92.35(-0.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-4	-10000	-7	5	0.54	39%	-0.08	5.6	0.53%	0	-0.1	56	0
8	Mar_7_2011	94.93	92.4	92.93	92.71			92.57(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-6	32	0.49	35%	-0.06	0	0.54%	0	0.3	61	0
9	Mar_4_2011	94.99	92.36	92.9	92.87			92.8(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-4	46	0.64	38%	-0.07	-9.5	0.58%	0	0.6	64	0
10	Mar_3_2011	95.06	92.34	92.9	92.99			92.14(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	11	-10000	-7	64	0.62	35%	-0.07	-13.7	0.57%	0	-0.3	63	0

11	Mar_2_2011	95.13	92.37	92.85	93.18			92.77(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-10000	-1	83	0.43	36%	-0.08	-8	0.57%	0	0.6	66	0
12	Mar_1_2011	95.21	92.38	92.78	93.2			93.26(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	97	0.53	33%	-0.07	-13.2	0.56%	0	1.3	78	0
13	Feb_28_2011	95.28	92.4	92.64	93.17			93.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	8	96	0.37	33%	-0.07	-12.5	0.59%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Feb_25_2011	95.35	92.42	92.48	92.94			93.41(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	9	83	0.57	33%	-0.06	-14.8	0.59%	0	1.2	67	0
15	Feb_24_2011	95.41	92.42	92.27	92.7			93.11(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	61	0.51	31%	-0.07	-19.8	0.59%	0	0.8	55	0

16	Feb_23_2011	95.48	92.43	92.12	92.46			92.87(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	6	32	0.65	31%	-0.07	-30.4	0.61%	0	0.5	47	0
17	Feb_22_2011	95.55	92.48	91.95	92.29			93.1(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	9	4	1.38	33%	-0.09	-32.7	0.61%	0	0.7	46	0
18	Feb_18_2011	95.64	92.49	91.8	92.03			92.21(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	3	-34	0.42	29%	-0.07	-42.4	0.59%	0	-0.3	30	0
19	Feb_17_2011	95.71	92.55	91.8	91.95			92.23(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	7	-62	0.78	29%	-0.07	-48	0.59%	0	-0.3	28	0
20	Feb_16_2011	95.78	92.59	91.76	91.77			91.89(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	1	-91	0.62	32%	-0.08	-53.8	0.59%	0	-0.7	31	0

21	Feb_15_2011	95.86	92.69	91.85	91.73			92.02(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	7	-96	0.6	30%	-0.07	-54.3	0.6%	0	-0.7	36	0
22	Feb_14_2011	95.93	92.77	91.95	91.55			91.81(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	0	-116	1.31	30%	-0.07	-61.9	0.62%	0	-1	30	0
23	Feb_11_2011	96	92.88	92.13	91.54			91.78(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-0	-116	1.49	29%	-0.07	-63.5	0.62%	0	-1.1	36	0
24	Feb_10_2011	96.07	93	92.35	91.55			91.36(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-7	-114	0.62	29%	-0.07	-59.6	0.62%	0	-1.7	32	0
25	Feb_9_2011	96.14	93.11	92.59	91.75			91.66(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-9	-99	0.79	28%		-55.2	0.62%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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