Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $99.7900 (-0.29%) ($99.7300 - $100.2600) on Tue. Oct. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $99.7900(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(78%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(30%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    EWI(-28%)    OIH(-27%)    XOP(-26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.93(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.52(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.9(0.9%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2010	96.39	98.9	99.52	99.93			99.79(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	5	73	0.99	67%	0.06	72	0.48%	0	1	65	0
2	Oct_11_2010	96.33	98.79	99.48	99.81			100.08(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	78	0.4	67%	0.07	64.6	0.48%	0	1.4	71	0
3	Oct_8_2010	96.26	98.65	99.37	99.63			99.98(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	10	85	0.87	67%	0.07	59.2	0.48%	0	1.4	77	0
4	Oct_7_2010	96.19	98.49	99.2	99.4			99.94(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	8	81	0.53	67%	0.07	48.5	0.48%	0	1.5	79	0
5	Oct_6_2010	96.12	98.35	99.08	99.21			99.84(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	6	87	0.61	67%	0.08	39.1	0.49%	0	1.7	79	0

6	Oct_5_2010	96.04	98.24	98.96	99.07			99.2(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-1	92	1.09	66%	0.08	31	0.48%	0	1.2	70	0
7	Oct_4_2010	95.96	98.18	98.88	99.1			99.18(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	1	107	1.26	66%	0.07	28.6	0.48%	0	1.2	64	0
8	Oct_1_2010	95.89	98.08	98.73	99.08			98.83(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-10000	5	112	0.85	66%	0.08	24.4	0.48%	0	0.9	66	0
9	Sep_30_2010	95.81	98.03	98.59	98.97			99.01(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	2	111	0.81	66%	0.08	13.8	0.48%	0	1.3	72	0
10	Sep_29_2010	95.73	97.99	98.4	98.92			99.13(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	112	0.82	66%	0.08	10.4	0.48%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Sep_28_2010	95.65	97.98	98.23	98.82			99.37(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	7	101	0.78	67%	0.08	6.4	0.49%	0	1.8	61	0
12	Sep_27_2010	95.57	97.94	98.06	98.64			99.04(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	12	88	0.78	67%	0.07	2.8	0.49%	0	1.5	56	0
13	Sep_24_2010	95.5	97.89	97.87	98.35			98.28(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	9	69	1.32	66%	0.06	-11.8	0.48%	0	0.6	58	0
14	Sep_23_2010	95.44	97.93	97.73	98.14			98.77(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	15	45	0.51	67%	0.08	-14.9	0.48%	0	1.2	55	0
15	Sep_22_2010	95.36	97.92	97.55	97.8			98.63(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	11	4	0.98	69%	0.08	-24.3	0.48%	0	1	50	0

16	Sep_21_2010	95.28	97.92	97.45	97.55			98.48(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	6	-33	1.28	69%	0.09	-26.9	0.48%	0	0.7	42	0
17	Sep_20_2010	95.19	97.93	97.39	97.4			97.57(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.62	67%	0.07	-34.6	0.47%	0	-0.5	40	0
18	Sep_17_2010	95.12	97.96	97.37	97.34			97.27(0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	4	-69	1.74	67%	0.07	-35.9	0.47%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	Sep_16_2010	95.05	98.03	97.43	97.34			97.05(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	0	-94	2.9	67%	0.07	-35.1	0.47%	0	-1.3	36	0
20	Sep_15_2010	94.98	98.09	97.55	97.24			97.39(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0.9	67%	0.07	-36.1	0.47%	0	-1	42	0

21	Sep_14_2010	94.91	98.14	97.72	97.33			97.73(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-27	-10000	-3	-98	0.59	67%	0.08	-27.1	0.47%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Sep_13_2010	94.83	98.19	97.82	97.4			97.24(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-1	-90	1.45	66%	0.08	-12.7	0.47%	0	-1.4	44	0
23	Sep_10_2010	94.75	98.24	97.91	97.42			96.78(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0.73	63%	0.07	-4.5	0.47%	0	-2.2	42	0
24	Sep_9_2010	94.68	98.3	98.15	97.64			97.06(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-11	-73	0.93	63%	0.07	16.7	0.49%	0	-2.1	42	0
25	Sep_8_2010	94.61	98.35	98.33	97.89			97.83(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-13	-52	1.12	66%		50.9	0.47%	0	-1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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