Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $97.5700 (0.31%) ($97.2100 - $97.5700) on Mon. Sep. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $97.5700(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(78%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(30%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-28%)    EWI(-28%)    OIH(-27%)    EWP(-27%)    XOP(-26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $97.93
5 Day Moving Average   $97.4(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.39(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.93(-0.37%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2010	95.19	97.93	97.39	97.4			97.57(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.62	67%	0.07	-34.6	0.47%	0	-0.5	40	0
2	Sep_17_2010	95.12	97.96	97.37	97.34			97.27(0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	4	-69	1.74	67%	0.07	-35.9	0.47%	0	-0.9	45	0
3	Sep_16_2010	95.05	98.03	97.43	97.34			97.05(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	0	-94	2.9	67%	0.07	-35.1	0.47%	0	-1.3	36	0
4	Sep_15_2010	94.98	98.09	97.55	97.24			97.39(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0.9	67%	0.07	-36.1	0.47%	0	-1	42	0
5	Sep_14_2010	94.91	98.14	97.72	97.33			97.73(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-27	-10000	-3	-98	0.59	67%	0.08	-27.1	0.47%	0	-0.6	40	0

6	Sep_13_2010	94.83	98.19	97.82	97.4			97.24(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-1	-90	1.45	66%	0.08	-12.7	0.47%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Sep_10_2010	94.75	98.24	97.91	97.42			96.78(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0.73	63%	0.07	-4.5	0.47%	0	-2.2	42	0
8	Sep_9_2010	94.68	98.3	98.15	97.64			97.06(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-11	-73	0.93	63%	0.07	16.7	0.49%	0	-2.1	42	0
9	Sep_8_2010	94.61	98.35	98.33	97.89			97.83(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-13	-52	1.12	66%	0.1	50.9	0.47%	0	-1	49	0
10	Sep_7_2010	94.52	98.33	98.47	98.18			98.1(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-6	-19	0.78	66%	0.14	73.2	0.47%	0	-0.4	50	0

11	Sep_3_2010	94.39	98.28	98.51	98.32			97.33(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-6	-13	1.31	67%	0.08	71.4	0.49%	0	-1.4	41	0
12	Sep_2_2010	94.31	98.27	98.62	98.47			97.89(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-11	-2	1.27	67%	0.1	72.5	0.49%	0	-0.5	50	0
13	Sep_1_2010	94.22	98.2	98.62	98.73			98.3(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-4	30	1.27	67%	0.08	72.6	0.49%	0	0.1	56	0
14	Aug_31_2010	94.14	98.09	98.7	98.82			99.26(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	0	43	1.28	71%	0.12	70.9	0.47%	0	1.2	60	0
15	Aug_30_2010	94.03	97.94	98.6	98.81			98.82(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	3	56	0.46	71%	0.1	72.5	0.47%	0	0.8	62	0

16	Aug_27_2010	93.94	97.79	98.59	98.74			98.07(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-2	72	1.01	66%	0.11	71.2	0.47%	0	0.3	61	0
17	Aug_26_2010	93.84	97.7	98.6	98.78			99.21(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	5	96	0.85	71%	0.11	71.4	0.46%	0	1.3	72	0
18	Aug_25_2010	93.74	97.53	98.45	98.66			98.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	5	106	0.69	70%	0.11	69.2	0.46%	0	1.1	73	0
19	Aug_24_2010	93.64	97.37	98.36	98.55			99.21(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	8	127	0.97	70%	0.12	61.6	0.46%	0	1.5	80	0
20	Aug_23_2010	93.53	97.17	98.17	98.36			98.43(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	-10000	-3	129	0.58	69%	0.05	56.6	0.45%	0	1.1	71	0

21	Aug_20_2010	93.48	97.02	98.03	98.43			98.3(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	2	154	0.31	71%	0.11	58.5	0.45%	0	1.1	73	0
22	Aug_19_2010	93.38	96.88	97.89	98.39			98.62(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	9	160	0.68	71%	0.1	57.5	0.46%	0	1.5	69	0
23	Aug_18_2010	93.29	96.73	97.66	98.19			98.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	-10000	2	153	1.15	72%	0.1	59.3	0.46%	0	1.3	70	0
24	Aug_17_2010	93.2	96.63	97.43	98.14			98.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	8	158	0.77	72%	0.1	67	0.46%	0	1.6	72	0
25	Aug_16_2010	93.11	96.5	97.23	97.95			98.78(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	17	165	1.45	74%		72.8	0.46%	0	2.3	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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