Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $98.7800 (0.72%) ($98.5400 - $98.8100) on Mon. Aug. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $98.7800(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(31%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-29%)    SPY(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    XOP(-26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.95(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.23(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.5(2.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20100916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2010	93.11	96.5	97.23	97.95			98.78(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	17	165	1.45	74%	0.11	72.8	0.46%	0	2.3	79	0
2	Aug_13_2010	93.01	96.33	96.92	97.57			98.07(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	-10000	11	140	0.71	74%	0.1	78.2	0.46%	0	2.1	72	0
3	Aug_12_2010	92.92	96.21	96.73	97.33			97.65(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	13	139	1.7	74%	0.09	86.1	0.45%	0	1.9	69	0
4	Aug_11_2010	92.84	96.09	96.54	97.05			97.9(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	-10000	19	121	0.91	74%	0.09	81.6	0.45%	0	2.5	67	0
5	Aug_10_2010	92.76	95.93	96.29	96.63			97.35(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	11	78	0.64	70%	0.08	69	0.45%	0	2.1	57	0

6	Aug_9_2010	92.69	95.78	96.07	96.39			96.86(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	10	52	0.46	69%	0.08	58.5	0.46%	0	1.7	59	0
7	Aug_6_2010	92.62	95.68	95.92	96.17			96.88(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	5	32	0.44	71%	0.06	47.6	0.46%	0	2	60	0
8	Aug_5_2010	92.56	95.57	95.77	96.05			96.25(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	4	18	0.82	70%	0.06	39.7	0.47%	0	1.2	53	0
9	Aug_4_2010	92.5	95.5	95.72	95.95			95.79(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	2	15	0.78	71%	0.06	30.9	0.47%	0	0.5	55	0
10	Aug_3_2010	92.44	95.47	95.77	95.9			96.19(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	10	33	0.91	68%	0.06	25.9	0.47%	0	1.4	64	0

11	Aug_2_2010	92.38	95.42	95.72	95.68			95.74(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	3	31	1.16	67%	0.06	17	0.48%	0	0.6	65	0
12	Jul_30_2010	92.32	95.4	95.7	95.62			96.29(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	7	39	0.56	71%	0.07	21.2	0.47%	0	1.8	64	0
13	Jul_29_2010	92.26	95.35	95.65	95.46			95.73(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	-0	39	0.74	70%	0.07	22.9	0.48%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Jul_28_2010	92.2	95.35	95.61	95.47			95.53(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-7	42	0.93	68%	0.05	38.3	0.48%	0	0.4	57	0
15	Jul_27_2010	92.15	95.35	95.55	95.63			95.12(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-5	52	0.53	69%	0.05	63.8	0.48%	0	-0.5	51	0

16	Jul_26_2010	92.1	95.34	95.49	95.75			95.45(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	50	0.63	69%	0.07	87.2	0.49%	0	0.2	50	0
17	Jul_23_2010	92.04	95.29	95.43	95.78			95.48(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-3	48	0.8	69%	0.05	92.2	0.49%	0	0.4	53	0
18	Jul_22_2010	91.99	95.24	95.36	95.86			95.79(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	4	48	0.66	69%	0.05	94.6	0.49%	0	1	53	0
19	Jul_21_2010	91.94	95.17	95.27	95.76			96.32(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	13	38	0.47	72%	0.07	96.6	0.48%	0	2.1	55	0
20	Jul_20_2010	91.88	95.05	95.14	95.46			95.71(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	12	11	0.9	71%	0.05	92.9	0.48%	0	1.2	51	0

21	Jul_19_2010	91.83	94.94	95.1	95.19			95.61(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	7	-7	0.49	71%	0.05	73	0.48%	0	1.1	55	0
22	Jul_16_2010	91.78	94.84	95.05	95.03			95.86(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	10	-9	0.86	72%	0.05	60.9	0.48%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Jul_15_2010	91.73	94.74	94.99	94.79			95.31(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.7	71%	0.07	58	0.48%	0	0.9	63	0
24	Jul_14_2010	91.67	94.64	95.02	94.71			94.82(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.57	70%	0.04	48.6	0.48%	0	0.3	57	0
25	Jul_13_2010	91.63	94.56	95.09	94.78			94.35(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-9	10	0.68	69%		43.9	0.47%	0	-0.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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