Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $96.8800 (0.65%) ($96.5300 - $96.8900) on Fri. Aug. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $96.8800(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(31%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-29%)    SPY(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    IWM(-27%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.17(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.92(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.68(1.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20100906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2010	92.62	95.68	95.92	96.17			96.88(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	5	32	0.44	71%	0.06	47.6	0.46%	0	2	60	0
2	Aug_5_2010	92.56	95.57	95.77	96.05			96.25(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	4	18	0.82	70%	0.06	39.7	0.47%	0	1.2	53	0
3	Aug_4_2010	92.5	95.5	95.72	95.95			95.79(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	2	15	0.78	71%	0.06	30.9	0.47%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Aug_3_2010	92.44	95.47	95.77	95.9			96.19(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	10	33	0.91	68%	0.06	25.9	0.47%	0	1.4	64	0
5	Aug_2_2010	92.38	95.42	95.72	95.68			95.74(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	3	31	1.16	67%	0.06	17	0.48%	0	0.6	65	0

6	Jul_30_2010	92.32	95.4	95.7	95.62			96.29(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	7	39	0.56	71%	0.07	21.2	0.47%	0	1.8	64	0
7	Jul_29_2010	92.26	95.35	95.65	95.46			95.73(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	-0	39	0.74	70%	0.07	22.9	0.48%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Jul_28_2010	92.2	95.35	95.61	95.47			95.53(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-7	42	0.93	68%	0.05	38.3	0.48%	0	0.4	57	0
9	Jul_27_2010	92.15	95.35	95.55	95.63			95.12(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-5	52	0.53	69%	0.05	63.8	0.48%	0	-0.5	51	0
10	Jul_26_2010	92.1	95.34	95.49	95.75			95.45(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	50	0.63	69%	0.07	87.2	0.49%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Jul_23_2010	92.04	95.29	95.43	95.78			95.48(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-3	48	0.8	69%	0.05	92.2	0.49%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Jul_22_2010	91.99	95.24	95.36	95.86			95.79(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	4	48	0.66	69%	0.05	94.6	0.49%	0	1	53	0
13	Jul_21_2010	91.94	95.17	95.27	95.76			96.32(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	13	38	0.47	72%	0.07	96.6	0.48%	0	2.1	55	0
14	Jul_20_2010	91.88	95.05	95.14	95.46			95.71(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	12	11	0.9	71%	0.05	92.9	0.48%	0	1.2	51	0
15	Jul_19_2010	91.83	94.94	95.1	95.19			95.61(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	7	-7	0.49	71%	0.05	73	0.48%	0	1.1	55	0

16	Jul_16_2010	91.78	94.84	95.05	95.03			95.86(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	10	-9	0.86	72%	0.05	60.9	0.48%	0	1.6	65	0
17	Jul_15_2010	91.73	94.74	94.99	94.79			95.31(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.7	71%	0.07	58	0.48%	0	0.9	63	0
18	Jul_14_2010	91.67	94.64	95.02	94.71			94.82(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.57	70%	0.04	48.6	0.48%	0	0.3	57	0
19	Jul_13_2010	91.63	94.56	95.09	94.78			94.35(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-9	10	0.68	69%	0.05	43.9	0.47%	0	-0.3	58	0
20	Jul_12_2010	91.58	94.51	95.17	94.99			94.82(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	50	0.69	71%	0.07	44.8	0.47%	0	0.4	70	0

21	Jul_9_2010	91.52	94.45	95.15	95.07			94.66(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-7	66	0.44	71%	0.05	45.6	0.47%	0	0.2	68	0
22	Jul_8_2010	91.47	94.36	95.13	95.22			94.91(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-7	87	0.51	71%	0.05	50.5	0.47%	0	0.6	68	0
23	Jul_7_2010	91.42	94.3	95.08	95.37			95.14(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-3	115	0.47	72%	0.05	61.9	0.47%	0	0.9	75	0
24	Jul_6_2010	91.37	94.22	94.98	95.45			95.44(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	37	-10000	3	139	0.91	72%	0.05	68.8	0.47%	0	1.4	81	0
25	Jul_2_2010	91.32	94.14	94.79	95.38			95.21(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	7	138	1.07	68%		77.5	0.48%	0	1.3	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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