Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $95.3100 (0.52%) ($95.0200 - $95.4800) on Thu. Jul. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $95.3100(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(31%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-29%)    SPY(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    IWM(-27%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.79(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.99(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.74(0.6%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2010	91.73	94.74	94.99	94.79			95.31(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.7	71%	0.07	58	0.48%	0	0.9	63	0
2	Jul_14_2010	91.67	94.64	95.02	94.71			94.82(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.57	70%	0.04	48.6	0.48%	0	0.3	57	0
3	Jul_13_2010	91.63	94.56	95.09	94.78			94.35(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-9	10	0.68	69%	0.05	43.9	0.47%	0	-0.3	58	0
4	Jul_12_2010	91.58	94.51	95.17	94.99			94.82(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	50	0.69	71%	0.07	44.8	0.47%	0	0.4	70	0
5	Jul_9_2010	91.52	94.45	95.15	95.07			94.66(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-7	66	0.44	71%	0.05	45.6	0.47%	0	0.2	68	0

6	Jul_8_2010	91.47	94.36	95.13	95.22			94.91(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-7	87	0.51	71%	0.05	50.5	0.47%	0	0.6	68	0
7	Jul_7_2010	91.42	94.3	95.08	95.37			95.14(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-3	115	0.47	72%	0.05	61.9	0.47%	0	0.9	75	0
8	Jul_6_2010	91.37	94.22	94.98	95.45			95.44(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	37	-10000	3	139	0.91	72%	0.05	68.8	0.47%	0	1.4	81	0
9	Jul_2_2010	91.32	94.14	94.79	95.38			95.21(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	7	138	1.07	68%	0.07	77.5	0.48%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Jul_1_2010	91.26	94.06	94.63	95.23			95.38(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	10	133	1.29	66%	0.05	74.5	0.48%	0	1.5	74	0

11	Jun_30_2010	91.21	93.91	94.47	95.01			95.67(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	11	131	0.89	66%	0.07	62.4	0.48%	0	2	83	0
12	Jun_29_2010	91.15	93.74	94.23	94.76			95.53(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	13	110	0.92	66%	0.05	53	0.48%	0	2.3	66	0
13	Jun_28_2010	91.1	93.61	93.97	94.46			95.12(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	15	84	0.92	66%	0.04	47.2	0.48%	0	2.3	63	0
14	Jun_25_2010	91.06	93.5	93.78	94.13			94.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	49	0.46	63%	0.04	35.5	0.48%	0	1.6	54	0
15	Jun_24_2010	91.02	93.41	93.67	93.94			94.3(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	33	1.08	60%	0.05	23.3	0.48%	0	1.6	57	0

16	Jun_23_2010	90.97	93.36	93.52	93.83			94.38(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	10	32	0.63	60%	0.04	28.6	0.5%	0	2	69	0
17	Jun_22_2010	90.93	93.33	93.44	93.61			94.03(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	8	31	0.55	60%	0.04	32	0.5%	0	1.5	65	0
18	Jun_21_2010	90.89	93.33	93.4	93.41			93.47(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	22	0.57	59%	0.03	37.5	0.49%	0	0.4	55	0
19	Jun_18_2010	90.86	93.29	93.4	93.38			93.54(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	1	31	0.46	59%	0.03	52.1	0.49%	0	0.6	54	0
20	Jun_17_2010	90.83	93.28	93.44	93.35			93.73(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	43	0.79	59%	0.03	72.3	0.5%	0	1	59	0

21	Jun_16_2010	90.8	93.22	93.3	93.17			93.29(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	0.62	60%	0.03	73.5	0.49%	0	0.2	47	0
22	Jun_15_2010	90.77	93.18	93.23	93.25			93.03(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10000	-6	0	1.11	60%	0.03	83	0.49%	0	-0.3	44	0
23	Jun_14_2010	90.74	93.12	93.22	93.38			93.32(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	4	0.63	60%	0.03	82.3	0.49%	0	0.3	49	0
24	Jun_11_2010	90.71	93.06	93.2	93.5			93.4(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-2	11	0.4	60%	0.03	80.9	0.49%	0	0.5	49	0
25	Jun_10_2010	90.68	92.96	93.13	93.54			92.81(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	5	-10000	4	8	0.66	58%		67.1	0.49%	0	-0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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