Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $95.1200 (0.71%) ($94.7800 - $95.1300) on Mon. Jun. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $95.1200(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(31%)    SHY(31%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-29%)    SPY(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    EWP(-28%)    IWM(-27%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.46(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.97(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.61(1.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2010	91.1	93.61	93.97	94.46			95.12(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	15	84	0.92	66%	0.04	47.2	0.48%	0	2.3	63	0
2	Jun_25_2010	91.06	93.5	93.78	94.13			94.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	49	0.46	63%	0.04	35.5	0.48%	0	1.6	54	0
3	Jun_24_2010	91.02	93.41	93.67	93.94			94.3(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	33	1.08	60%	0.05	23.3	0.48%	0	1.6	57	0
4	Jun_23_2010	90.97	93.36	93.52	93.83			94.38(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	10	32	0.63	60%	0.04	28.6	0.5%	0	2	69	0
5	Jun_22_2010	90.93	93.33	93.44	93.61			94.03(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	8	31	0.55	60%	0.04	32	0.5%	0	1.5	65	0

6	Jun_21_2010	90.89	93.33	93.4	93.41			93.47(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	22	0.57	59%	0.03	37.5	0.49%	0	0.4	55	0
7	Jun_18_2010	90.86	93.29	93.4	93.38			93.54(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	1	31	0.46	59%	0.03	52.1	0.49%	0	0.6	54	0
8	Jun_17_2010	90.83	93.28	93.44	93.35			93.73(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	43	0.79	59%	0.03	72.3	0.5%	0	1	59	0
9	Jun_16_2010	90.8	93.22	93.3	93.17			93.29(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	0.62	60%	0.03	73.5	0.49%	0	0.2	47	0
10	Jun_15_2010	90.77	93.18	93.23	93.25			93.03(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10000	-6	0	1.11	60%	0.03	83	0.49%	0	-0.3	44	0

11	Jun_14_2010	90.74	93.12	93.22	93.38			93.32(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	4	0.63	60%	0.03	82.3	0.49%	0	0.3	49	0
12	Jun_11_2010	90.71	93.06	93.2	93.5			93.4(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-2	11	0.4	60%	0.03	80.9	0.49%	0	0.5	49	0
13	Jun_10_2010	90.68	92.96	93.13	93.54			92.81(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	5	-10000	4	8	0.66	58%	0.02	67.1	0.49%	0	-0.2	45	0
14	Jun_9_2010	90.66	92.89	93.21	93.44			93.68(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	11	17	0.26	62%	0.04	56.2	0.47%	0	1	61	0
15	Jun_8_2010	90.62	92.77	93.2	93.19			93.67(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	6	13	0.6	62%	0.03	48.9	0.47%	0	1	62	0

16	Jun_7_2010	90.59	92.65	93.17	93.05			93.96(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	8	24	0.41	62%	0.04	48.5	0.47%	0	1.5	70	0
17	Jun_4_2010	90.55	92.55	93.11	92.87			93.58(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	8	30	0.73	60%	0.04	51.6	0.47%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Jun_3_2010	90.51	92.47	93.08	92.69			92.3(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-13	36	0.27	56%	0.03	59.6	0.44%	0	-0.2	63	0
19	Jun_2_2010	90.48	92.42	93.12	92.95			92.43(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-13	77	0.52	56%	0.03	71.3	0.44%	0	0	66	0
20	Jun_1_2010	90.45	92.35	93.13	93.21			92.96(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-5	118	0.98	58%	0.07	77.2	0.44%	0	0.7	68	0

21	May_28_2010	90.39	92.22	93.02	93.31			93.1(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10000	-3	138	0.51	58%	0.04	75.2	0.44%	0	0.8	71	0
22	May_27_2010	90.35	92.1	92.92	93.38			92.68(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	31	-10000	-7	144	0.52	57%	0.04	78.8	0.44%	0	0.5	58	0
23	May_26_2010	90.31	91.98	92.8	93.52			93.57(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	11	164	0.55	61%	0.06	80.2	0.42%	0	1.4	63	0
24	May_25_2010	90.26	91.81	92.56	93.3			93.76(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-10000	14	148	1.06	61%	0.06	77.9	0.42%	0	1.7	73	0
25	May_24_2010	90.21	91.64	92.32	93.03			93.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	48	-10000	18	137	2.95	61%		76.7	0.42%	0	1.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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