Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $93.5800 (1.39%) ($93.0900 - $93.6100) on Fri. Jun. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $93.5800(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(70%)    TIP(64%)    GLD(32%)    SHY(31%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-30%)    SPY(-29%)    EWP(-29%)    OIH(-28%)    IWM(-27%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.87(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.11(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.55(1.11%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2010	90.55	92.55	93.11	92.87			93.58(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	8	30	0.73	60%	0.04	51.6	0.47%	0	1.2	65	0
2	Jun_3_2010	90.51	92.47	93.08	92.69			92.3(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-13	36	0.27	56%	0.03	59.6	0.44%	0	-0.2	63	0
3	Jun_2_2010	90.48	92.42	93.12	92.95			92.43(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-13	77	0.52	56%	0.03	71.3	0.44%	0	0	66	0
4	Jun_1_2010	90.45	92.35	93.13	93.21			92.96(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-5	118	0.98	58%	0.07	77.2	0.44%	0	0.7	68	0
5	May_28_2010	90.39	92.22	93.02	93.31			93.1(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10000	-3	138	0.51	58%	0.04	75.2	0.44%	0	0.8	71	0

6	May_27_2010	90.35	92.1	92.92	93.38			92.68(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	31	-10000	-7	144	0.52	57%	0.04	78.8	0.44%	0	0.5	58	0
7	May_26_2010	90.31	91.98	92.8	93.52			93.57(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	11	164	0.55	61%	0.06	80.2	0.42%	0	1.4	63	0
8	May_25_2010	90.26	91.81	92.56	93.3			93.76(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-10000	14	148	1.06	61%	0.06	77.9	0.42%	0	1.7	73	0
9	May_24_2010	90.21	91.64	92.32	93.03			93.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	48	-10000	18	137	2.95	61%	0.03	76.7	0.42%	0	1.6	73	0
10	May_21_2010	90.18	91.45	92.09	92.69			93.44(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	15	123	1.2	63%	0.06	69.5	0.42%	0	1.8	77	0

11	May_20_2010	90.13	91.25	91.92	92.39			93.39(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	-10000	20	115	1.22	63%	0.04	64.9	0.43%	0	2.1	69	0
12	May_19_2010	90.09	91.07	91.78	91.99			92.49(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	15	114	0.84	61%	0.04	62.6	0.41%	0	1.6	69	0
13	May_18_2010	90.05	90.94	91.64	91.71			92.41(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	12	107	1.71	61%	0.04	60.4	0.41%	0	1.7	70	0
14	May_17_2010	90.01	90.81	91.48	91.49			91.74(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	5	91	0.54	56%	0.02	60	0.41%	0	1.1	61	0
15	May_14_2010	89.99	90.7	91.34	91.39			91.94(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	0	91	0.49	56%	0.03	59.6	0.41%	0	1.5	68	0

16	May_13_2010	89.96	90.6	91.22	91.38			91.35(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	-9	106	0.42	53%	0.02	66.7	0.41%	0	0.9	66	0
17	May_12_2010	89.94	90.5	91.11	91.55			91.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	33	-10000	-0	132	0.42	53%	0.01	73.3	0.41%	0	0.7	61	0
18	May_11_2010	89.93	90.41	91.01	91.56			91.33(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	38	-10000	5	138	0.89	53%	0.02	74.7	0.41%	0	1.1	61	0
19	May_10_2010	89.91	90.32	90.93	91.46			91.22(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	45	-10000	11	145	0.84	53%	0.01	78.9	0.41%	0	1.1	63	0
20	May_7_2010	89.9	90.22	90.78	91.26			91.92(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	-10000	13	133	3.86	54%	0	76.9	0.4%	0	2.1	69	0

21	May_6_2010	89.9	90.08	90.54	91.02			92.17(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	-10000	22	112	0.9	54%	0.02	77.1	0.4%	0	2.8	69	0
22	May_5_2010	89.88	89.91	90.29	90.62			91.17(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	13	83	0.67	50%	0.01	74.2	0.38%	0	2.1	67	0
23	May_4_2010	89.87	89.8	90.17	90.39			90.82(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	4	71	0.36	52%	0	66.7	0.38%	0	1.8	67	0
24	May_3_2010	89.87	89.69	90.06	90.32			90.21(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	6	72	0.3	46%	0	55.2	0.38%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Apr_30_2010	89.87	89.59	90.01	90.21			90.72(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	14	72	0.42	46%		41.8	0.38%	0	1.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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