Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $91.2100 (0.03%) ($90.6200 - $91.2400) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $91.2100(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(69%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(30%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-31%)    SPY(-30%)    EWP(-29%)    OIH(-28%)    IWM(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $91.26
5 Day Moving Average   $90.99(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.97(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.26(-0.05%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2009	91.14	91.26	90.97	90.99			91.21(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	6	-18	0.37	44%	0.02	-42.6	0.44%	0	-0.1	50	0
2	Nov_11_2009	91.12	91.27	90.98	90.86			91.18(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.28	48%	0.02	-61.8	0.44%	0	-0.2	45	0
3	Nov_10_2009	91.1	91.29	91.02	90.73			90.92(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.52	48%	0.01	-76.3	0.45%	0	-0.7	40	0
4	Nov_9_2009	91.09	91.36	91.08	90.7			90.85(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.53	48%	0.02	-78.3	0.46%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Nov_6_2009	91.07	91.42	91.07	90.72			90.81(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-11	-80	0.33	48%	0.02	-83.3	0.46%	0	-1.1	40	0

6	Nov_5_2009	91.05	91.47	91.11	90.96			90.54(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-7	-69	0.15	48%	0.01	-73.8	0.46%	0	-1.6	39	0
7	Nov_4_2009	91.04	91.58	91.22	91.11			90.52(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-11	-55	0.5	48%	0	-64.7	0.47%	0	-1.7	44	0
8	Nov_3_2009	91.04	91.7	91.37	91.36			90.77(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-6	-32	0.35	42%	0.02	-53.1	0.47%	0	-1.6	43	0
9	Nov_2_2009	91.02	91.79	91.5	91.5			90.98(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.67	42%	0.02	-46	0.5%	0	-1.4	39	0
10	Oct_30_2009	91	91.88	91.6	91.44			91.99(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	7	-24	0.6	52%	0.03	-46.8	0.49%	0	0.2	48	0

11	Oct_29_2009	90.97	91.91	91.57	91.29			91.31(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.35	48%	0.03	-49.2	0.49%	0	-1	45	0
12	Oct_28_2009	90.94	91.99	91.59	91.36			91.75(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-1	-53	0.68	48%	0.04	-39.1	0.48%	0	-0.4	40	0
13	Oct_27_2009	90.9	92.02	91.57	91.39			91.47(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-70	0.67	48%	0.03	-31.3	0.48%	0	-0.9	35	0
14	Oct_26_2009	90.87	92.06	91.65	91.53			90.69(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-11	-66	0.76	43%	0.02	-19.4	0.47%	0	-2.4	35	0
15	Oct_23_2009	90.85	92.15	91.8	91.77			91.21(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-6	-55	0.42	41%	0.02	3.8	0.47%	0	-2	36	0

16	Oct_22_2009	90.83	92.21	91.87	91.89			91.66(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.42	44%	0.01	20.8	0.48%	0	-1.2	38	0
17	Oct_21_2009	90.82	92.22	91.97	91.83			91.93(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.41	50%	0.02	18.8	0.49%	0	-0.7	40	0
18	Oct_20_2009	90.8	92.21	92.07	91.78			92.14(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-1	-57	0.64	50%	0.02	17.3	0.5%	0	-0.1	48	0
19	Oct_19_2009	90.78	92.17	92.1	91.81			91.93(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-1	-53	0.49	50%	0.01	19	0.5%	0	-0.5	47	0
20	Oct_16_2009	90.77	92.14	92.18	91.84			91.79(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-0	-46	0.77	47%	0.01	16.4	0.51%	0	-0.6	45	0

21	Oct_15_2009	90.76	92.11	92.27	91.85			91.37(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-11	-44	0.83	42%	0.02	9.7	0.51%	0	-1.3	43	0
22	Oct_14_2009	90.74	92.14	92.42	92.12			91.67(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-11	-14	0.52	40%	0	22.2	0.54%	0	-0.8	51	0
23	Oct_13_2009	90.74	92.12	92.5	92.39			92.3(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	17	0.49	42%	0.02	35.9	0.54%	0	0.3	62	0
24	Oct_12_2009	90.72	92.07	92.51	92.43			92.09(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-5	28	0.46	42%	0	40	0.54%	0	0	62	0
25	Oct_9_2009	90.72	92.05	92.54	92.56			91.82(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-7	51	0.54	42%		49.2	0.54%	0	-0.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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