Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $93.0500 (0.64%) ($92.7800 - $93.1400) on Wed. Oct. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $93.0500(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(79%)    LQD(69%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(29%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-31%)    SPY(-30%)    EWP(-30%)    OIH(-28%)    IWM(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.77(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.5(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.01(1.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2009	90.72	92.01	92.5	92.77			93.05(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	5	84	0.27	51%	0	59.1	0.55%	0	1.7	70	0
2	Oct_6_2009	90.72	91.91	92.36	92.63			92.46(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	79	0.38	48%	-0.01	51.6	0.55%	0	0.9	70	0
3	Oct_5_2009	90.73	91.83	92.26	92.6			92.76(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	81	0.51	48%	-0.01	45.3	0.54%	0	1.6	74	0
4	Oct_2_2009	90.74	91.75	92.1	92.52			92.77(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	5	73	0.94	48%	-0.01	42.6	0.55%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Oct_1_2009	90.75	91.7	91.94	92.4			92.81(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	8	59	1.76	48%	-0.01	46.4	0.55%	0	2.2	58	0

6	Sep_30_2009	90.76	91.65	91.81	92.2			92.37(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	6	45	0.67	48%	-0.01	46.9	0.55%	0	1.6	57	0
7	Sep_29_2009	90.77	91.61	91.7	92.04			92.3(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	37	0.28	48%	-0.01	44.4	0.55%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Sep_28_2009	90.78	91.57	91.59	91.85			92.34(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	9	30	0.51	48%	0	43.9	0.55%	0	2	66	0
9	Sep_25_2009	90.78	91.51	91.5	91.61			92.18(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	8	16	0.45	53%	0	40.5	0.55%	0	2	61	0
10	Sep_24_2009	90.78	91.46	91.47	91.41			91.81(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	2	-10000	1	3	0.5	53%	-0.02	23.5	0.57%	0	1.1	49	0

11	Sep_23_2009	90.8	91.44	91.46	91.38			91.56(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	3	-1	0.79	53%	-0.01	24.2	0.57%	0	0.4	43	0
12	Sep_22_2009	90.81	91.42	91.41	91.31			91.36(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.44	53%	-0.02	24.2	0.57%	0	-0.2	48	0
13	Sep_21_2009	90.83	91.41	91.38	91.3			91.12(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.62	53%	-0.02	20	0.57%	0	-0.9	45	0
14	Sep_18_2009	90.85	91.38	91.39	91.37			91.18(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-7	-19	0.91	49%	-0.03	22.5	0.58%	0	-0.5	49	0
15	Sep_17_2009	90.88	91.39	91.45	91.54			91.67(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-0	0	0.85	49%	-0.02	50	0.59%	0	0.8	57	0

16	Sep_16_2009	90.9	91.36	91.48	91.55			91.22(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	3	-10000	1	9	0.74	49%	-0.03	72.5	0.59%	0	-0.4	49	0
17	Sep_15_2009	90.93	91.35	91.52	91.52			91.29(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	2	11	0.71	49%	-0.04	79.1	0.59%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Sep_14_2009	90.97	91.34	91.55	91.46			91.48(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	13	0.48	49%	-0.03	97.7	0.6%	0	0.4	57	0
19	Sep_11_2009	91	91.29	91.54	91.41			92.02(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	2	19	1.32	49%	-0.02	106.4	0.59%	0	1.7	69	0
20	Sep_10_2009	91.02	91.2	91.45	91.35			91.75(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-3	11	0.63	49%	-0.03	110.2	0.6%	0	1.2	53	0

21	Sep_9_2009	91.05	91.1	91.41	91.42			91.07(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-4	17	0.57	46%	-0.05	96.7	0.6%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Sep_8_2009	91.1	91.04	91.43	91.52			90.99(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-4	28	0.41	46%	-0.09	91.3	0.6%	0	-0.1	53	0
23	Sep_4_2009	91.18	90.96	91.44	91.64			91.2(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-1	36	0.52	39%	-0.04	66	0.61%	0	0.3	51	0
24	Sep_3_2009	91.22	90.84	91.38	91.67			91.75(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	5	40	0.25	39%	-0.04	50.5	0.62%	0	1	63	0
25	Sep_2_2009	91.26	90.71	91.34	91.54			92.08(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	44	0.38	39%		41.1	0.63%	0	1.4	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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