Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $93.8300 (-0.51%) ($93.4400 - $93.8700) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $93.8300(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(80%)    LQD(68%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(38%)    GLD(29%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    EWI(-30%)    EWP(-29%)    OIH(-28%)    IWM(-28%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $94.54
5 Day Moving Average   $94.03(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.42(-0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.54(-0.75%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2009	94.2	94.54	94.42	94.03			93.83(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-66	0.33	43%	0.08	-33.3	0.65%	0	-1	40	0
2	Mar_3_2009	94.12	94.57	94.58	94.07			94.31(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.53	43%	0.07	-47.4	0.66%	0	-0.4	49	0
3	Mar_2_2009	94.05	94.62	94.76	94.19			94.43(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-29	0.5	43%	0.07	-46.8	0.66%	0	-0.3	58	0
4	Feb_27_2009	93.98	94.63	94.78	94.36			93.74(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-9	-14	0.29	44%	0.05	-50.6	0.66%	0	-1.2	54	0
5	Feb_26_2009	93.93	94.69	94.94	94.65			93.82(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-7	13	0.22	44%	0.05	-51.4	0.66%	0	-1.2	50	0

6	Feb_25_2009	93.88	94.79	95.1	94.87			94.06(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-9	37	0.43	49%	0.03	-46.8	0.67%	0	-1	53	0
7	Feb_24_2009	93.85	94.91	95.18	95.15			94.92(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-8	53	0.56	49%	0.04	-38.8	0.69%	0	0	54	0
8	Feb_23_2009	93.81	94.96	95.04	95.4			95.28(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	5	56	0.44	49%	0.06	-39.8	0.7%	0	0.4	50	0
9	Feb_20_2009	93.75	95	94.88	95.25			95.19(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-1	38	0.34	52%	0.05	-55.9	0.71%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Feb_19_2009	93.7	95.04	94.77	95.28			94.92(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	0.23	54%	0.06	-66	0.75%	0	-0.1	51	0

11	Feb_18_2009	93.64	95.13	94.68	95.36			95.45(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	5	23	0.42	56%	0.07	-66.3	0.76%	0	0.3	45	0
12	Feb_17_2009	93.57	95.23	94.56	95.19			96.15(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	15	4	0.42	56%	0.12	-64.2	0.76%	0	0.8	45	0
13	Feb_13_2009	93.46	95.3	94.44	94.64			94.56(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.3	53%	0.06	-70.5	0.73%	0	-0.6	41	0
14	Feb_12_2009	93.4	95.49	94.45	94.43			95.31(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.38	54%	0.06	-60.5	0.73%	0	-0.1	42	0
15	Feb_11_2009	93.34	95.65	94.38	94.2			95.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	8	-79	0.32	54%	0.08	-54.2	0.74%	0	-0.2	43	0

16	Feb_10_2009	93.27	95.79	94.42	93.91			94.61(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	1	-105	0.44	53%	0.05	-52.5	0.73%	0	-0.7	34	0
17	Feb_9_2009	93.22	95.97	94.6	93.86			93.36(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-11	-125	0.47	50%	0.05	-49.5	0.71%	0	-1.5	19	0
18	Feb_6_2009	93.17	96.19	94.86	94.23			93.55(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-36	-10000	-7	-121	0.67	50%	0.02	-45.1	0.72%	0	-1.6	19	0
19	Feb_5_2009	93.15	96.38	95.13	94.46			94.12(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-4	-133	0.64	50%	0.03	-48.8	0.71%	0	-1.5	18	0
20	Feb_4_2009	93.12	96.53	95.34	94.58			93.9(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-10000	-12	-153	0.32	53%	0.03	-58	0.71%	0	-1.8	15	0

21	Feb_3_2009	93.09	96.7	95.64	95			94.38(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-13	-145	0.44	53%	0.03	-65.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	24	0
22	Feb_2_2009	93.06	96.84	95.97	95.45			95.2(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-130	0.35	55%	0.06	-72.4	0.71%	0	-1.4	27	0
23	Jan_30_2009	93	96.94	96.23	95.6			94.7(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-124	0.3	53%	0.04	-80.3	0.71%	0	-2	30	0
24	Jan_29_2009	92.96	97.14	96.63	95.91			94.74(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.33	53%	0.05	-84.8	0.72%	0	-2.4	36	0
25	Jan_28_2009	92.91	97.38	97.04	96.2			95.99(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-71	0.27	54%		-87	0.7%	0	-1.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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