Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $95.1900 (0.28%) ($95.1300 - $95.8700) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $95.1900(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(80%)    LQD(68%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(38%)    GLD(29%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    EWI(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    EWP(-29%)    IWM(-28%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.25(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.88(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95(0.2%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2009	93.75	95	94.88	95.25			95.19(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-1	38	0.34	52%	0.05	-55.9	0.71%	0	0.2	52	0
2	Feb_19_2009	93.7	95.04	94.77	95.28			94.92(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	0.23	54%	0.06	-66	0.75%	0	-0.1	51	0
3	Feb_18_2009	93.64	95.13	94.68	95.36			95.45(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	5	23	0.42	56%	0.07	-66.3	0.76%	0	0.3	45	0
4	Feb_17_2009	93.57	95.23	94.56	95.19			96.15(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	15	4	0.42	56%	0.12	-64.2	0.76%	0	0.8	45	0
5	Feb_13_2009	93.46	95.3	94.44	94.64			94.56(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.3	53%	0.06	-70.5	0.73%	0	-0.6	41	0

6	Feb_12_2009	93.4	95.49	94.45	94.43			95.31(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.38	54%	0.06	-60.5	0.73%	0	-0.1	42	0
7	Feb_11_2009	93.34	95.65	94.38	94.2			95.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	8	-79	0.32	54%	0.08	-54.2	0.74%	0	-0.2	43	0
8	Feb_10_2009	93.27	95.79	94.42	93.91			94.61(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	1	-105	0.44	53%	0.05	-52.5	0.73%	0	-0.7	34	0
9	Feb_9_2009	93.22	95.97	94.6	93.86			93.36(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-11	-125	0.47	50%	0.05	-49.5	0.71%	0	-1.5	19	0
10	Feb_6_2009	93.17	96.19	94.86	94.23			93.55(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-36	-10000	-7	-121	0.67	50%	0.02	-45.1	0.72%	0	-1.6	19	0

11	Feb_5_2009	93.15	96.38	95.13	94.46			94.12(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-4	-133	0.64	50%	0.03	-48.8	0.71%	0	-1.5	18	0
12	Feb_4_2009	93.12	96.53	95.34	94.58			93.9(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-10000	-12	-153	0.32	53%	0.03	-58	0.71%	0	-1.8	15	0
13	Feb_3_2009	93.09	96.7	95.64	95			94.38(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-13	-145	0.44	53%	0.03	-65.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	24	0
14	Feb_2_2009	93.06	96.84	95.97	95.45			95.2(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-130	0.35	55%	0.06	-72.4	0.71%	0	-1.4	27	0
15	Jan_30_2009	93	96.94	96.23	95.6			94.7(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-124	0.3	53%	0.04	-80.3	0.71%	0	-2	30	0

16	Jan_29_2009	92.96	97.14	96.63	95.91			94.74(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.33	53%	0.05	-84.8	0.72%	0	-2.4	36	0
17	Jan_28_2009	92.91	97.38	97.04	96.2			95.99(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-71	0.27	54%	0.06	-87	0.7%	0	-1.5	45	0
18	Jan_27_2009	92.85	97.56	97.27	96.37			96.61(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-7	-54	0.27	54%	0.06	-75.2	0.7%	0	-1	50	0
19	Jan_26_2009	92.79	97.7	97.44	96.59			95.98(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-11	-35	0.32	54%	0.08	-66.7	0.7%	0	-1.6	43	0
20	Jan_23_2009	92.72	97.86	97.62	96.97			96.22(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-15	-15	0.36	54%	0.06	-56.9	0.7%	0	-1.5	43	0

21	Jan_22_2009	92.66	98.01	97.74	97.48			96.2(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-15	-1	0.26	56%	0.06	-42.9	0.7%	0	-1.8	32	0
22	Jan_21_2009	92.6	98.17	97.83	98.01			96.84(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-9	6	0.48	58%	0.09	-20.2	0.7%	0	-1.4	29	0
23	Jan_20_2009	92.52	98.31	97.86	98.3			97.71(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-3	2	0.36	60%	0.09	0	0.69%	0	-0.6	34	0
24	Jan_16_2009	92.44	98.41	97.79	98.4			97.86(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.29	60%	0.1	18	0.69%	0	-0.6	33	0
25	Jan_15_2009	92.35	98.47	97.72	98.35			98.77(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	10	-28	0.41	64%		30.5	0.68%	0	0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.