Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $94.5600 (-0.79%) ($94.4200 - $95.0300) on Mon. Feb. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $94.5600(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $95.3
5 Day Moving Average   $94.64(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.44(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.3(-0.78%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2009	93.46	95.3	94.44	94.64			94.56(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.3	53%	0.06	-70.5	0.73%	0	-0.6	41	0
2	Feb_12_2009	93.4	95.49	94.45	94.43			95.31(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.38	54%	0.06	-60.5	0.73%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Feb_11_2009	93.34	95.65	94.38	94.2			95.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	8	-79	0.32	54%	0.08	-54.2	0.74%	0	-0.2	43	0
4	Feb_10_2009	93.27	95.79	94.42	93.91			94.61(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	1	-105	0.44	53%	0.05	-52.5	0.73%	0	-0.7	34	0
5	Feb_9_2009	93.22	95.97	94.6	93.86			93.36(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-11	-125	0.47	50%	0.05	-49.5	0.71%	0	-1.5	19	0

6	Feb_6_2009	93.17	96.19	94.86	94.23			93.55(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-36	-10000	-7	-121	0.67	50%	0.02	-45.1	0.72%	0	-1.6	19	0
7	Feb_5_2009	93.15	96.38	95.13	94.46			94.12(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-4	-133	0.64	50%	0.03	-48.8	0.71%	0	-1.5	18	0
8	Feb_4_2009	93.12	96.53	95.34	94.58			93.9(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-10000	-12	-153	0.32	53%	0.03	-58	0.71%	0	-1.8	15	0
9	Feb_3_2009	93.09	96.7	95.64	95			94.38(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-13	-145	0.44	53%	0.03	-65.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	24	0
10	Feb_2_2009	93.06	96.84	95.97	95.45			95.2(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-130	0.35	55%	0.06	-72.4	0.71%	0	-1.4	27	0

11	Jan_30_2009	93	96.94	96.23	95.6			94.7(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-124	0.3	53%	0.04	-80.3	0.71%	0	-2	30	0
12	Jan_29_2009	92.96	97.14	96.63	95.91			94.74(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.33	53%	0.05	-84.8	0.72%	0	-2.4	36	0
13	Jan_28_2009	92.91	97.38	97.04	96.2			95.99(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-71	0.27	54%	0.06	-87	0.7%	0	-1.5	45	0
14	Jan_27_2009	92.85	97.56	97.27	96.37			96.61(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-7	-54	0.27	54%	0.06	-75.2	0.7%	0	-1	50	0
15	Jan_26_2009	92.79	97.7	97.44	96.59			95.98(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-11	-35	0.32	54%	0.08	-66.7	0.7%	0	-1.6	43	0

16	Jan_23_2009	92.72	97.86	97.62	96.97			96.22(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-15	-15	0.36	54%	0.06	-56.9	0.7%	0	-1.5	43	0
17	Jan_22_2009	92.66	98.01	97.74	97.48			96.2(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-15	-1	0.26	56%	0.06	-42.9	0.7%	0	-1.8	32	0
18	Jan_21_2009	92.6	98.17	97.83	98.01			96.84(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-9	6	0.48	58%	0.09	-20.2	0.7%	0	-1.4	29	0
19	Jan_20_2009	92.52	98.31	97.86	98.3			97.71(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-3	2	0.36	60%	0.09	0	0.69%	0	-0.6	34	0
20	Jan_16_2009	92.44	98.41	97.79	98.4			97.86(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.29	60%	0.1	18	0.69%	0	-0.6	33	0

21	Jan_15_2009	92.35	98.47	97.72	98.35			98.77(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	10	-28	0.41	64%	0.1	30.5	0.68%	0	0.3	45	0
22	Jan_14_2009	92.26	98.46	97.68	98.03			98.85(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	11	-50	0.32	64%	0.11	33	0.68%	0	0.4	44	0
23	Jan_13_2009	92.16	98.37	97.72	97.65			98.3(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	9	-69	0.16	62%	0.1	31.1	0.68%	0	-0.1	39	0
24	Jan_12_2009	92.07	98.3	97.82	97.36			98.23(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	8	-84	0.75	62%	0.11	27.9	0.69%	0	-0.1	36	0
25	Jan_9_2009	91.97	98.23	97.94	97.11			97.62(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	3	-99	0.28	57%		19.7	0.71%	0	-0.5	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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