Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $98.8500 (0.56%) ($98.7000 - $99.2200) on Wed. Jan. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $98.8500(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(80%)    LQD(67%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(38%)    GLD(28%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    EWI(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    EWP(-29%)    IWM(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.03(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.68(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.46(0.4%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2009	92.26	98.46	97.68	98.03			98.85(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	11	-50	0.32	64%	0.11	33	0.68%	0	0.4	44	0
2	Jan_13_2009	92.16	98.37	97.72	97.65			98.3(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	9	-69	0.16	62%	0.1	31.1	0.68%	0	-0.1	39	0
3	Jan_12_2009	92.07	98.3	97.82	97.36			98.23(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	8	-84	0.75	62%	0.11	27.9	0.69%	0	-0.1	36	0
4	Jan_9_2009	91.97	98.23	97.94	97.11			97.62(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	3	-99	0.28	57%	0.1	19.7	0.71%	0	-0.5	27	0
5	Jan_8_2009	91.88	98.16	98.08	97.01			97.17(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-8	-108	0.26	54%	0.09	17.1	0.72%	0	-0.8	32	0

6	Jan_7_2009	91.8	98.12	98.28	97.28			96.91(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-15	-93	0.3	54%	0.09	22.7	0.74%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Jan_6_2009	91.72	98.05	98.53	97.82			96.89(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-14	-53	0.9	55%	0.09	32.4	0.74%	0	-0.9	54	0
8	Jan_5_2009	91.64	98.01	98.8	98.34			96.95(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-15	-10	1.38	55%	0.09	43.4	0.75%	0	-0.7	56	0
9	Jan_2_2009	91.56	98	99.1	98.88			97.12(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-11	41	0.46	55%	0.13	57.8	0.75%	0	-0.6	59	0
10	Dec_31_2008	91.44	97.96	99.33	99.28			98.53(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-4	91	0.4	58%	0.11	70.9	0.72%	0	0.4	74	0

11	Dec_30_2008	91.34	97.83	99.35	99.42			99.63(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	2	123	0.2	58%	0.13	82.5	0.71%	0	1.1	84	0
12	Dec_29_2008	91.22	97.61	99.1	99.34			99.49(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	-0	132	0.21	60%	0.12	87.9	0.73%	0	1.1	86	0
13	Dec_26_2008	91.11	97.36	98.85	99.35			99.64(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	35	-10000	-1	141	0.18	60%	0.16	86.7	0.75%	0	1.3	82	0
14	Dec_24_2008	90.96	97.09	98.55	99.39			99.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	-0	148	0.13	60%	0.13	92.9	0.74%	0	1.1	67	0
15	Dec_23_2008	90.84	96.82	98.25	99.4			99.21(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	4	154	0.32	60%	0.12	96.9	0.74%	0	1.3	71	0

16	Dec_22_2008	90.73	96.47	97.93	99.26			99.26(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	12	156	0.8	60%	0.12	91.9	0.74%	0	1.4	72	0
17	Dec_19_2008	90.62	96.15	97.54	98.81			99.52(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	15	138	0.6	56%	0.13	93	0.74%	0	1.6	76	0
18	Dec_18_2008	90.5	95.86	97.13	98.25			99.85(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	18	119	0.48	54%	0.13	102	0.78%	0	2	82	0
19	Dec_17_2008	90.38	95.46	96.77	97.58			99.18(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	40	-10000	17	107	0.67	55%	0.13	102	0.79%	0	2	81	0
20	Dec_16_2008	90.26	95.05	96.43	96.93			98.51(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	-10000	13	96	0.41	55%	0.12	97	0.79%	0	1.8	81	0

21	Dec_15_2008	90.15	94.63	96.14	96.43			96.97(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	10	104	0.33	56%	0.11	90.9	0.77%	0	1.2	83	0
22	Dec_12_2008	90.05	94.29	95.97	96.07			96.76(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	102	0.28	55%	0.1	82.4	0.81%	0	1.2	73	0
23	Dec_11_2008	89.96	93.91	95.74	95.83			96.49(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	-0	96	0.33	55%	0.1	73.4	0.81%	0	1.1	64	0
24	Dec_10_2008	89.87	93.57	95.51	95.84			95.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	-0	115	0.74	55%	0.1	72.5	0.81%	0	1	70	0
25	Dec_9_2008	89.78	93.24	95.3	95.86			96(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	1	138	1.42	56%		71.1	0.81%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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