Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $99.6300 (0.14%) ($99.1000 - $99.6400) on Tue. Dec. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $99.6300(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(80%)    LQD(67%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(28%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    EWI(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    EWP(-29%)    XOP(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.42(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.35(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.83(1.84%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2008	91.34	97.83	99.35	99.42			99.63(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	2	123	0.2	58%	0.13	82.5	0.71%	0	1.1	84	0
2	Dec_29_2008	91.22	97.61	99.1	99.34			99.49(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	-0	132	0.21	60%	0.12	87.9	0.73%	0	1.1	86	0
3	Dec_26_2008	91.11	97.36	98.85	99.35			99.64(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	35	-10000	-1	141	0.18	60%	0.16	86.7	0.75%	0	1.3	82	0
4	Dec_24_2008	90.96	97.09	98.55	99.39			99.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	-0	148	0.13	60%	0.13	92.9	0.74%	0	1.1	67	0
5	Dec_23_2008	90.84	96.82	98.25	99.4			99.21(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	4	154	0.32	60%	0.12	96.9	0.74%	0	1.3	71	0

6	Dec_22_2008	90.73	96.47	97.93	99.26			99.26(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	12	156	0.8	60%	0.12	91.9	0.74%	0	1.4	72	0
7	Dec_19_2008	90.62	96.15	97.54	98.81			99.52(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	15	138	0.6	56%	0.13	93	0.74%	0	1.6	76	0
8	Dec_18_2008	90.5	95.86	97.13	98.25			99.85(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	18	119	0.48	54%	0.13	102	0.78%	0	2	82	0
9	Dec_17_2008	90.38	95.46	96.77	97.58			99.18(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	40	-10000	17	107	0.67	55%	0.13	102	0.79%	0	2	81	0
10	Dec_16_2008	90.26	95.05	96.43	96.93			98.51(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	-10000	13	96	0.41	55%	0.12	97	0.79%	0	1.8	81	0

11	Dec_15_2008	90.15	94.63	96.14	96.43			96.97(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	10	104	0.33	56%	0.11	90.9	0.77%	0	1.2	83	0
12	Dec_12_2008	90.05	94.29	95.97	96.07			96.76(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	102	0.28	55%	0.1	82.4	0.81%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Dec_11_2008	89.96	93.91	95.74	95.83			96.49(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	-0	96	0.33	55%	0.1	73.4	0.81%	0	1.1	64	0
14	Dec_10_2008	89.87	93.57	95.51	95.84			95.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	-0	115	0.74	55%	0.1	72.5	0.81%	0	1	70	0
15	Dec_9_2008	89.78	93.24	95.3	95.86			96(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	1	138	1.42	56%	0.1	71.1	0.81%	0	1.1	73	0

16	Dec_8_2008	89.69	92.88	94.92	95.82			95.19(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	-1	154	0.52	54%	0.09	71.3	0.8%	0	0.9	74	0
17	Dec_5_2008	89.61	92.56	94.71	95.85			95.55(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	6	185	0.56	54%	0.09	71.5	0.8%	0	1.1	77	0
18	Dec_4_2008	89.53	92.23	94.53	95.61			96.57(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	-10000	13	220	0.44	57%	0.1	71.3	0.79%	0	1.6	84	0
19	Dec_3_2008	89.44	91.85	94.06	95.13			95.97(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	-10000	13	221	0.35	57%	0.08	71.6	0.79%	0	1.6	78	0
20	Dec_2_2008	89.37	91.48	93.56	94.65			95.82(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	-10000	21	222	0.28	57%	0.09	70.6	0.79%	0	1.8	79	0

21	Dec_1_2008	89.29	91.07	93	93.89			95.32(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	13	200	0.66	57%	0.08	62.2	0.79%	0	1.9	79	0
22	Nov_28_2008	89.22	90.69	92.46	93.41			94.36(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10000	3	189	0.13	56%	0.07	57	0.78%	0	1.7	78	0
23	Nov_26_2008	89.16	90.37	91.93	93.29			94.17(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	13	195	0.48	56%	0.07	56.3	0.77%	0	1.9	74	0
24	Nov_25_2008	89.1	90.08	91.46	92.83			93.6(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	15	181	0.41	57%	0.06	53	0.77%	0	1.9	71	0
25	Nov_24_2008	89.05	89.82	91.01	92.3			92.02(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10000	10	164	0.61	54%		50	0.75%	0	1.4	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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