Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $99.8500 (0.68%) ($99.6700 - $100.3100) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $99.8500(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(80%)    LQD(67%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(28%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    EWI(-29%)    IWM(-28%)    EWP(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.25(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.13(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.86(4.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2008	90.5	95.86	97.13	98.25			99.85(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	18	119	0.48	54%	0.13	102	0.78%	0	2	82	0
2	Dec_17_2008	90.38	95.46	96.77	97.58			99.18(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	40	-10000	17	107	0.67	55%	0.13	102	0.79%	0	2	81	0
3	Dec_16_2008	90.26	95.05	96.43	96.93			98.51(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	-10000	13	96	0.41	55%	0.12	97	0.79%	0	1.8	81	0
4	Dec_15_2008	90.15	94.63	96.14	96.43			96.97(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	10	104	0.33	56%	0.11	90.9	0.77%	0	1.2	83	0
5	Dec_12_2008	90.05	94.29	95.97	96.07			96.76(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	102	0.28	55%	0.1	82.4	0.81%	0	1.2	73	0

6	Dec_11_2008	89.96	93.91	95.74	95.83			96.49(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	-0	96	0.33	55%	0.1	73.4	0.81%	0	1.1	64	0
7	Dec_10_2008	89.87	93.57	95.51	95.84			95.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	-0	115	0.74	55%	0.1	72.5	0.81%	0	1	70	0
8	Dec_9_2008	89.78	93.24	95.3	95.86			96(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	1	138	1.42	56%	0.1	71.1	0.81%	0	1.1	73	0
9	Dec_8_2008	89.69	92.88	94.92	95.82			95.19(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	-1	154	0.52	54%	0.09	71.3	0.8%	0	0.9	74	0
10	Dec_5_2008	89.61	92.56	94.71	95.85			95.55(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	6	185	0.56	54%	0.09	71.5	0.8%	0	1.1	77	0

11	Dec_4_2008	89.53	92.23	94.53	95.61			96.57(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	-10000	13	220	0.44	57%	0.1	71.3	0.79%	0	1.6	84	0
12	Dec_3_2008	89.44	91.85	94.06	95.13			95.97(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	-10000	13	221	0.35	57%	0.08	71.6	0.79%	0	1.6	78	0
13	Dec_2_2008	89.37	91.48	93.56	94.65			95.82(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	-10000	21	222	0.28	57%	0.09	70.6	0.79%	0	1.8	79	0
14	Dec_1_2008	89.29	91.07	93	93.89			95.32(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	13	200	0.66	57%	0.08	62.2	0.79%	0	1.9	79	0
15	Nov_28_2008	89.22	90.69	92.46	93.41			94.36(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10000	3	189	0.13	56%	0.07	57	0.78%	0	1.7	78	0

16	Nov_26_2008	89.16	90.37	91.93	93.29			94.17(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	13	195	0.48	56%	0.07	56.3	0.77%	0	1.9	74	0
17	Nov_25_2008	89.1	90.08	91.46	92.83			93.6(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	15	181	0.41	57%	0.06	53	0.77%	0	1.9	71	0
18	Nov_24_2008	89.05	89.82	91.01	92.3			92.02(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10000	10	164	0.61	54%	0.03	50	0.75%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Nov_21_2008	89.02	89.67	90.68	91.94			92.89(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	18	163	0.79	56%	0.07	50	0.74%	0	2.1	78	0
20	Nov_20_2008	88.96	89.48	90.25	91.33			93.75(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	59	-10000	29	148	0.73	58%	0.07	49.7	0.73%	0	3.2	82	0

21	Nov_19_2008	88.9	89.25	89.74	90.37			91.9(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	39	-10000	15	109	0.43	54%	0.05	54.7	0.69%	0	2.8	76	0
22	Nov_18_2008	88.86	89.12	89.45	89.91			90.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	12	90	0.54	52%	0.03	67.5	0.68%	0	2.4	64	0
23	Nov_17_2008	88.83	89.02	89.22	89.54			90.22(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	10	72	0.47	51%	0.02	75.7	0.67%	0	1.8	62	0
24	Nov_14_2008	88.81	88.9	88.98	89.24			89.84(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	8	42	0.32	51%	0.03	74.6	0.67%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Nov_13_2008	88.78	88.81	88.78	89			88.96(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	12	0.3	48%		63.5	0.66%	0	0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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