Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $96.7600 (0.28%) ($95.4900 - $96.7700) on Fri. Dec. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $96.7600(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    LQD(67%)    TIP(65%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(28%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    EWI(-29%)    IWM(-28%)    EWP(-28%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.07(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.97(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.29(2.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2008	90.05	94.29	95.97	96.07			96.76(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	102	0.28	55%	0.1	82.4	0.81%	0	1.2	73	0
2	Dec_11_2008	89.96	93.91	95.74	95.83			96.49(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	-0	96	0.33	55%	0.1	73.4	0.81%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Dec_10_2008	89.87	93.57	95.51	95.84			95.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	-0	115	0.74	55%	0.1	72.5	0.81%	0	1	70	0
4	Dec_9_2008	89.78	93.24	95.3	95.86			96(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	1	138	1.42	56%	0.1	71.1	0.81%	0	1.1	73	0
5	Dec_8_2008	89.69	92.88	94.92	95.82			95.19(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	-1	154	0.52	54%	0.09	71.3	0.8%	0	0.9	74	0

6	Dec_5_2008	89.61	92.56	94.71	95.85			95.55(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	6	185	0.56	54%	0.09	71.5	0.8%	0	1.1	77	0
7	Dec_4_2008	89.53	92.23	94.53	95.61			96.57(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	-10000	13	220	0.44	57%	0.1	71.3	0.79%	0	1.6	84	0
8	Dec_3_2008	89.44	91.85	94.06	95.13			95.97(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	-10000	13	221	0.35	57%	0.08	71.6	0.79%	0	1.6	78	0
9	Dec_2_2008	89.37	91.48	93.56	94.65			95.82(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	-10000	21	222	0.28	57%	0.09	70.6	0.79%	0	1.8	79	0
10	Dec_1_2008	89.29	91.07	93	93.89			95.32(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	13	200	0.66	57%	0.08	62.2	0.79%	0	1.9	79	0

11	Nov_28_2008	89.22	90.69	92.46	93.41			94.36(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10000	3	189	0.13	56%	0.07	57	0.78%	0	1.7	78	0
12	Nov_26_2008	89.16	90.37	91.93	93.29			94.17(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	13	195	0.48	56%	0.07	56.3	0.77%	0	1.9	74	0
13	Nov_25_2008	89.1	90.08	91.46	92.83			93.6(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	15	181	0.41	57%	0.06	53	0.77%	0	1.9	71	0
14	Nov_24_2008	89.05	89.82	91.01	92.3			92.02(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10000	10	164	0.61	54%	0.03	50	0.75%	0	1.4	68	0
15	Nov_21_2008	89.02	89.67	90.68	91.94			92.89(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	18	163	0.79	56%	0.07	50	0.74%	0	2.1	78	0

16	Nov_20_2008	88.96	89.48	90.25	91.33			93.75(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	59	-10000	29	148	0.73	58%	0.07	49.7	0.73%	0	3.2	82	0
17	Nov_19_2008	88.9	89.25	89.74	90.37			91.9(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	39	-10000	15	109	0.43	54%	0.05	54.7	0.69%	0	2.8	76	0
18	Nov_18_2008	88.86	89.12	89.45	89.91			90.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	12	90	0.54	52%	0.03	67.5	0.68%	0	2.4	64	0
19	Nov_17_2008	88.83	89.02	89.22	89.54			90.22(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	10	72	0.47	51%	0.02	75.7	0.67%	0	1.8	62	0
20	Nov_14_2008	88.81	88.9	88.98	89.24			89.84(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	8	42	0.32	51%	0.03	74.6	0.67%	0	1.5	52	0

21	Nov_13_2008	88.78	88.81	88.78	89.24			88.96(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	12	0.3	48%	0.02	63.5	0.66%	0	0.2	45	0
22	Nov_12_2008	88.76	88.74	88.7	89			89.61(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	3	-2	0.27	52%	0.02	50.6	0.65%	0	1.2	46	0
23	Nov_11_2008	88.74	88.63	88.6	88.92			89.06(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-16	0.13	50%	0.03	31.1	0.65%	0	0.5	42	0
24	Nov_10_2008	88.71	88.52	88.55	88.86			88.73(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	7	-21	0.21	50%	0.02	5.2	0.66%	0	0.2	48	0
25	Nov_7_2008	88.69	88.44	88.6	88.66			88.64(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	5	-22	0.21	52%		-20.6	0.66%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.