Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $93.6000 (1.72%) ($92.8500 - $95.7000) on Tue. Nov. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $93.6000(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    LQD(66%)    TIP(64%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(27%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-31%)    OIH(-30%)    EWI(-30%)    IWM(-29%)    EWP(-29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.83(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.46(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.08(3.91%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2008	89.1	90.08	91.46	92.83			93.6(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	15	181	0.41	57%	0.06	53	0.77%	0	1.9	71	0
2	Nov_24_2008	89.05	89.82	91.01	92.3			92.02(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10000	10	164	0.61	54%	0.03	50	0.75%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Nov_21_2008	89.02	89.67	90.68	91.94			92.89(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	18	163	0.79	56%	0.07	50	0.74%	0	2.1	78	0
4	Nov_20_2008	88.96	89.48	90.25	91.33			93.75(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	59	-10000	29	148	0.73	58%	0.07	49.7	0.73%	0	3.2	82	0
5	Nov_19_2008	88.9	89.25	89.74	90.37			91.9(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	39	-10000	15	109	0.43	54%	0.05	54.7	0.69%	0	2.8	76	0

6	Nov_18_2008	88.86	89.12	89.45	89.91			90.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	12	90	0.54	52%	0.03	67.5	0.68%	0	2.4	64	0
7	Nov_17_2008	88.83	89.02	89.22	89.54			90.22(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	10	72	0.47	51%	0.02	75.7	0.67%	0	1.8	62	0
8	Nov_14_2008	88.81	88.9	88.98	89.24			89.84(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	8	42	0.32	51%	0.03	74.6	0.67%	0	1.5	52	0
9	Nov_13_2008	88.78	88.81	88.78	89.24			88.96(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	12	0.3	48%	0.02	63.5	0.66%	0	0.2	45	0
10	Nov_12_2008	88.76	88.74	88.7	89			89.61(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	3	-2	0.27	52%	0.02	50.6	0.65%	0	1.2	46	0

11	Nov_11_2008	88.74	88.63	88.6	88.92			89.06(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-16	0.13	50%	0.03	31.1	0.65%	0	0.5	42	0
12	Nov_10_2008	88.71	88.52	88.55	88.86			88.73(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	7	-21	0.21	50%	0.02	5.2	0.66%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Nov_7_2008	88.69	88.44	88.6	88.66			88.64(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	5	-22	0.21	52%	0.02	-20.6	0.66%	0	0.2	56	0
14	Nov_6_2008	88.67	88.39	88.66	88.51			88.96(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	6	-18	0.17	52%	0.03	-39.2	0.66%	0	0.7	60	0
15	Nov_5_2008	88.64	88.39	88.73	88.33			89.23(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	3	-8	0.29	51%	0.03	-48.5	0.66%	0	1	66	0

16	Nov_4_2008	88.61	88.38	88.76	88.24			88.76(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	-10000	1	7	0.27	51%	0.03	-44.7	0.66%	0	0.4	64	0
17	Nov_3_2008	88.58	88.47	88.78	88.21			87.71(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-11	22	1.94	49%	0.01	-33.6	0.65%	0	-0.7	64	0
18	Oct_31_2008	88.57	88.62	88.83	88.53			87.89(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-10	52	0.26	50%	0.02	-22.9	0.65%	0	-0.6	60	0
19	Oct_30_2008	88.55	88.73	88.86	88.83			88.07(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-12	73	0.41	50%	0.01	-11.5	0.65%	0	-0.6	55	0
20	Oct_29_2008	88.54	88.81	88.82	89.17			88.75(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-6	85	0.26	52%	0.02	0	0.65%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Oct_28_2008	88.52	88.84	88.69	89.35			88.62(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-2	78	0.28	53%	0.02	4.6	0.65%	0	-0.2	42	0
22	Oct_27_2008	88.5	88.85	88.52	89.42			89.34(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	9	50	0.21	55%	0.01	6	0.64%	0	0.4	38	0
23	Oct_24_2008	88.49	88.89	88.29	89.16			89.39(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	-10000	10	-1	1.92	56%	0.02	3.8	0.65%	0	0.4	38	0
24	Oct_23_2008	88.47	88.86	88.11	88.88			89.77(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	17	-38	0.33	56%	0.02	-3.8	0.65%	0	0.8	45	0
25	Oct_22_2008	88.45	88.81	87.98	88.4			89.65(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	16	-77	0.35	56%		-22	0.65%	0	0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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